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Live in a hot rental market and the economy is catering, what to do?

Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:01 pm
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:01 pm
So live in Houston, moved here from Covington, have a young family. Starting with a new company Monday and our lease is coming up. Assuming I don't get laid off due to the economy I would plan to stay with this new company for at least 2-3yrs+.

To get something livable rent wise is 2200 to 2500 a month so would like to buy.

With that said it is hard to buy with what looks like a cliff headed our way in the economy and the banking bs.

What say the MB?

Rent another year or buy knowing it is not our forever or even longterm home.
This post was edited on 5/4/23 at 8:03 pm
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
12210 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:11 pm to
Rent.

Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
83735 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:13 pm to
Houston’s housing has been mostly insulated from anything over the past year to two where others saw a pullback.

Wouldn’t bank on Houston going the way of others… if you’re gonna be in it for years, any pullback would be recouped by the time you sold.
Posted by Im4datigers
Northern Virginia
Member since Oct 2003
4649 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:15 pm to
Rent 100%.

Unless you plan to live there 5+ years. If you sell in the short run, you’re going to take a 5-6% haircut right off the top for realtor fees. Not enough time to make that up with appreciation in that short amount of time.

Ps - stop watching the news. We are not headed off a cliff.
Posted by SaintsTiger
1,000,000 Posts
Member since Oct 2014
1958 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:31 pm to
Try to go month to month or shorter renewable terms like 3 or 6 months. That way you still have flexibility to evaluate job security and pounce on a house you like .
Posted by Im4datigers
Northern Virginia
Member since Oct 2003
4649 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:49 pm to
Also if it’s a hot rental market, you can always negotiate an early lease termination even if you sign a 12 month lease. I did it take here in dc. They will tell you that you are on the hook until they can re-lease it but that shouldn’t take them longer than a month. You might have to agree to pay for their marketing and advertising for it as well, up to a certain dollar amount of course.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 8:49 pm to
That would be nice but just finding a 12 month is hard as hell.

The rental market is just as bad or worse than the purchase market was. Three times we got bumped for corporate contracts and had one bastard who gave them a month rent for free.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
37153 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 9:19 pm to
Rent

You don't seem sure you will be there 4+ years even if there's no deflation in property values
Posted by Zappas Stache
Utility Muffin Research Kitchen
Member since Apr 2009
42432 posts
Posted on 5/4/23 at 11:58 pm to
quote:

Unless you plan to live there 5+ years.


This, and if you can afford the down payment on a buy. We may or may not have a downturn in the next year but I would assume we will. But over 5 years, you are going to have appreciation. Just be prepared to be upside down for a couple of years, not saying you will be, but assume you will be. Don't get freaked out if it happens, it will come back. We fell off a cliff in 2007, I'm in Dallas, I lost a chunk of value but by 2012 I was above where I was in 2006.
Posted by Asharad
Tiamat
Member since Dec 2010
6301 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 5:42 am to
quote:

economy is catering
What's on the menu?
Posted by Motownsix
Boise
Member since Oct 2022
3143 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 8:34 am to
I’m a big fan of suggesting that you get into something you own as fast as you can. I don’t love the Houston area so it’s hard to say. I’d rather own than rent, and if moving attempt to keep the property and rent it out.

If you really think the economy is catering you’re getting your economic news from the wrong sources. You’re probably going to make a series of bad decisions.
This post was edited on 5/5/23 at 8:36 am
Posted by PetroBabich
Donetsk Oblast
Member since Apr 2017
5066 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Three times we got bumped for corporate contracts


What's a corporate contract? A corporation rents places for its workers?
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 9:00 am to
Yes
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 9:01 am to
Maybe not cratering but definitely heading for a slowdown.
This post was edited on 5/5/23 at 10:34 am
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57978 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 9:34 am to
quote:

What's on the menu?






We haven't seen an inversion like this for this long since the economic troubles of the late 70s/early 80s. The closest we've been was just over a generation ago.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 10:38 am to
Fed is still going to raise rates, which it should. Lending is drying up, inflation is still high, good chance we are still at the beginning of these bank troubles, debt levels across the board are climbing. What am I missing that I should be optimistic about?

Manufacturing is slowing down big time as well due to inventory piling up.
This post was edited on 5/5/23 at 10:59 am
Posted by HighlyFavoredTiger
TexLaArk
Member since Jun 2018
934 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 10:59 am to
I’ve never looked for real estate in Houston but I’m aware that most all Texas real estate near any medium to large city is in high demand, most is overpriced and it all faces escalating property taxes that jump more each year, at least that’s been our experience since moving to Texas 4 years ago.
You mentioned $2000-2500 for something worth renting, I’d shop the area I was interested in and see what kind of homes are available on the market in that monthly price range.
Our property taxes alone are $970 a month and have increased significantly each year since we bought, if you buy a house that has a principle amount of $2500, you may have taxes in the $600-900 range to add to that. Many buyers probably have to concede a loss on taxes when they sell unless the real estate values stay brisk and continue to climb.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 11:04 am to
I am in Katy/Cinco area, taxes are high as hell.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
23428 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 11:10 am to
If you have lived there awhile and don't know the answer, I think you are much better off continuing to rent until you KNOW the answer is to buy.

Like you said there's too many variables in play to buy without knowing exactly what you want.

Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20580 posts
Posted on 5/5/23 at 11:14 am to
I know I just hate pissing money away on rent but it is the safer route.
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