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Deep South Christmas COLD
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:12 pm
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:12 pm
rds must be busy, but we've got to have a separate thread now.
After beginning the first half of December a whopping 13.2 degrees above average, it felt like a pattern switch had to happen. Well, it is!
A high pressure system is setting up around Greenland that will provide some classic blocking thus allowing the jet stream to dip well into the lower 48. This is known as -NAO or simply, Greenland blocking. Seen in the picture below, -NAO typically means a cold UK as well, which is also happening right now. London has recently experienced highs below freezing (pretty rare).
>
Additionally, cold weather fans are hoping for a ridge to develop near the Pacific Northwest, thus forcing cold air into the middle and eastern half of the US.
For a classic example of blocking, see January through March of 2010. Wow, what a cold year that was. Trees were bare halfway through April!
In January, Baton Rouge had twelve consecutive mornings below freezing, and the month of February was 10.1 degrees below average.
I make no promises for the rest of this winter, but it looks like we'll get a cold shot from 12/22 to 12/28.
This map from the latest GFS ensemble shows the cold entering the lower 48 on 22 December:
There is good agreement on the cold air between the GFS, Euro, and the Canadian, with the Canadian showing temps as low as 16 around Baton Rouge.
Will we get moisture for snow? I'll leave this thread to the experts at this point.
Lastly, I find this info to be quite helpful:
After beginning the first half of December a whopping 13.2 degrees above average, it felt like a pattern switch had to happen. Well, it is!
A high pressure system is setting up around Greenland that will provide some classic blocking thus allowing the jet stream to dip well into the lower 48. This is known as -NAO or simply, Greenland blocking. Seen in the picture below, -NAO typically means a cold UK as well, which is also happening right now. London has recently experienced highs below freezing (pretty rare).
> Additionally, cold weather fans are hoping for a ridge to develop near the Pacific Northwest, thus forcing cold air into the middle and eastern half of the US.
For a classic example of blocking, see January through March of 2010. Wow, what a cold year that was. Trees were bare halfway through April!
In January, Baton Rouge had twelve consecutive mornings below freezing, and the month of February was 10.1 degrees below average.
I make no promises for the rest of this winter, but it looks like we'll get a cold shot from 12/22 to 12/28.
This map from the latest GFS ensemble shows the cold entering the lower 48 on 22 December:
There is good agreement on the cold air between the GFS, Euro, and the Canadian, with the Canadian showing temps as low as 16 around Baton Rouge.
Will we get moisture for snow? I'll leave this thread to the experts at this point.
Lastly, I find this info to be quite helpful:
This post was edited on 12/19/22 at 9:31 am
54
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:13 pm to bayoubengals88
Somehow this will change and it’ll be 78 and muggy…
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:14 pm to bayoubengals88
Guess I better wrap my pipes this weekend but otherwise bring it on. I like it to be cold this time of year.
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:15 pm to bayoubengals88
34 degrees with freezing rain
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:18 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
I make no promises for the rest of this winter, but it looks like we'll get a cold shot from 12/22 to 12/28.
Good. I’m off work starting on the 23 and I don’t go back until the 3rd. I hope to have some nice wintery views out the window in front of my model desk.
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:21 pm to bayoubengals88
Leave my 65 degree days and sunny alone. I don’t need southern winter of 45 degrees, 100% humidity, overcast with a 15 mph wind out of the north. frick all that shite.
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:26 pm to bayoubengals88
Many people will be out of town for Christmas when their pipes start bursting. Is it best to turn off your meter while you’re away and assess damages later?
This post was edited on 12/15/22 at 6:10 pm
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:35 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
temps as low as 16 around Baton Rouge.
last time it got that low in BR around Christmas THIS happened.....
The experience of hearing what sounded like an atomic bomb exploding while procrastinating to get ready for Christmas Eve mass will forever be etched in my mind.
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:57 pm to bayoubengals88
Locking in my prediction on page 1
Christmas eve snow 2-7” for SELA
11°- Coldest temp we’ll see in SELA
2 days of below freezing (for highs)
Christmas eve snow 2-7” for SELA
11°- Coldest temp we’ll see in SELA
2 days of below freezing (for highs)
Posted on 12/15/22 at 4:58 pm to bayoubengals88
I’m fine with the cold. Just want it to stay dry. Too much travel happening.
This post was edited on 12/15/22 at 5:00 pm
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:04 pm to bayoubengals88
I love it. Freeze my arse off, please
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:14 pm to bayoubengals88
I’ll take it!!!
I hope you are right
My kids will be thrilled
Was it 2018 that we had a TON of snow in Baton Rouge and Lafayette the first week of December. Like enough to make frosty the snowman and still have the ground entirely covered. Everything was truly covered in REAL snow
I hope you are right
My kids will be thrilled
Was it 2018 that we had a TON of snow in Baton Rouge and Lafayette the first week of December. Like enough to make frosty the snowman and still have the ground entirely covered. Everything was truly covered in REAL snow
This post was edited on 12/15/22 at 5:15 pm
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:20 pm to bayoubengals88
I’m trying to get my dad to cut a sledding run in the hill…just in case. Crossing fingers
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:33 pm to bayoubengals88
great. my ferns finally came back to life since the last one
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:48 pm to bayoubengals88
Current forecast is lows in low 20s along i10 corridor christmas weekend
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:55 pm to bayoubengals88
My son's bus driver told the kids it's going to snow on Christmas Eve & Christmas Day 
Posted on 12/15/22 at 5:59 pm to bayoubengals88
if i wanted a white christmas i would move up north. Please change your forecast to reflect no cold or snow thanks in advance
Posted on 12/15/22 at 6:22 pm to bayoubengals88
Of course it would snow on Christmas on the year that I have to work a 24 hour shift on Christmas.
Posted on 12/15/22 at 7:04 pm to bayoubengals88
My "bet" is a goodly snow storm for the Carolinas. Miller B if you speak wxnerd.
And for the doubters, this cold front is gonna be one yall remember for a long while.
Also, looking at two mornings under -10 for me coming up. Looking forward to you baws getting the cold.
And for the doubters, this cold front is gonna be one yall remember for a long while.
Also, looking at two mornings under -10 for me coming up. Looking forward to you baws getting the cold.
This post was edited on 12/15/22 at 7:09 pm
Posted on 12/15/22 at 7:19 pm to bayoubengals88
Apple says low of 25 and sunny on Xmas eve so it’s probably going to cloudy with expected rain in ___ mins notifications spam.
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