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Don't despair about Senate: 2024 midterms

Posted on 11/17/22 at 3:49 pm
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22628 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 3:49 pm
In 2022, Republicans had 2x as many seats up for grabs than Dems. In 2024, it's reversed. Dems will have 2x more seats exposed. By that time, Joe the Decrepid will have things sufficiently screwed up for a slam dunk.

Keep the faith
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
13413 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 3:53 pm to
I voted proudly for Trump twice.

But DeSantis will do a much better job flipping the Senate than Trump will.

Trump rules in red states. Has trouble in swing States.

We need the swing States.

Posted by Ten Bears
Florida
Member since Oct 2018
4712 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 3:53 pm to
Pray for Clarence Thomas's health
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
62000 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

In 2022, Republicans had 2x as many seats up for grabs than Dems. In 2024, it's reversed. Dems will have 2x more seats exposed.



Just means the Dems will do 3x more cheating
Posted by Pelican fan99
Lafayette, Louisiana
Member since Jun 2013
38856 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:01 pm to
Republicans shouldn't lose a single senate seat in 2024 and should gain several

If they can't retake the Senate in 2024 they may never again
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
35053 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

I voted proudly for Trump twice.

Every time I see that, which is very often, it sorta reminds me of “I was faithful to my spouse for many years, but it was just time to move on. Just so happens to be to a younger woman.”
Posted by Adajax
Member since Nov 2015
8205 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

But DeSantis will do a much better job flipping the Senate than Trump will.


Why do you think this. Democrats hate Desantis.
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
22760 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

Joe the Decrepid will have things sufficiently screwed up for a slam dunk.
Mail-in ballots will still exist so there is very little hope for the GOP going forward. Especially now since NY and CA Dems know they can't count on winning virtually every race.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

By that time, Joe the Decrepid will have things sufficiently screwed up for a slam dunk.



Biden is impeached by Jim Jordan. biden confesses and resigns. vp Harris rules wisely in the midst of lifes storms, and 88 million vote for her in '24 vs desantis. the big ten goes blue. not all Nebraska but the one Omaha district.
dems add 2 senators and take back the house.
president Harris signs partial pardon for trump. out of jail card.
does not cover NY cases or Georgia
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
22760 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

Why do you think this. Democrats hate Desantis.

Because he just won Florida by 20%, including Tampa and Miami, and suburban white women don't hate him. Suburban white women HATE Trump because they are easily swayed by people like Joy Behar and Sonny Hostin. We need to repeal the 19th.
Posted by Adajax
Member since Nov 2015
8205 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:10 pm to
Yes. it's a given he'll win Florida. How will he do in the northeast or Midwest or west? Do you have data that shows his approval ratings are higher than Trump esp among swing voters and Democrats?
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
92293 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:36 pm to
quote:

Just means the Dems will do 3x more cheating


Pfft. Dems won’t cheat if Desantis is the nominee.










Bwhahahahahbababababahha
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18493 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

But DeSantis will do a much better job flipping the Senate than Trump will.


Desantis will not go near this election if Trump is in it. He sits this out and wins easily in 2028.

Posted by tommy2tone1999
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2008
7617 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

I voted proudly for Trump twice.

But DeSantis will do a much better job flipping the Senate than Trump will.

Trump rules in red states. Has trouble in swing States.

We need the swing States.



Trump had a 93% success rate with endorsements
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
22413 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

Don't despair about Senate: 2024 midterms

Off the top of my head Tester (MT), S. Brown (OH) & Manchin (WV) could be at risk. Any others? Maybe Baldwin in Wisconsin? Ds think they can take out Cruz.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35671 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

Trump had a 93% success rate with endorsements

How many of those W's were in districts or constituencies with a partisan index rating of R+10 or more?
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35671 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

Ds think they can take out Cruz.

Hahahaha They will not learn. I hope they run Beto again.

MT, WV, and OH should be easy pickups for the GOP. NV (Rosen), AZ (Sinema), WI (Baldwin), MI (Stabenow), PA (Casey), and VA (Kaine) could all be vulnerable with the right GOP candidates. MN could be a wildcard as well, but Klobuchar is pretty popular there and the GOP can never get over the hump in MN.

There are always some surprises, but none of the GOP seats that are up in 2024 should be a threat for D pickups (UT, WY, SD, NE x2, MO, TN, TX, MS, and FL).
This post was edited on 11/17/22 at 4:52 pm
Posted by oc ogilvey
USA
Member since Jun 2020
59 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

tigerpawl

good, positive post. well done
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100272 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 5:28 pm to
Laughs in mail in vote
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 11/17/22 at 5:38 pm to
quote:

Do you have data that shows desantis approval ratings are higher than Trump esp among swing voters and Democrats?


the immigrant travel story is all people know.
he's being sued about it. it was stagecraft. was that meant to get Yankees to vote for him? I doubt it.
wsj does the approval poll on trump on the 25th.
so far trump is net negative double digits.
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