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Started By
Message
re: Fed Pivot Coming? See this tweet from Charlie Gasparino
Posted on 9/30/22 at 1:47 pm to TigerTatorTots
Posted on 9/30/22 at 1:47 pm to TigerTatorTots
A pivot meaning what, faster interest rate hikes or interest rate cuts?
3
Posted on 9/30/22 at 1:48 pm to shoelessjoe
Stop with increases
Posted on 9/30/22 at 1:51 pm to cadillacattack
quote:
Interesting tidbit .... Winn Resorts (casino gambling) reported a 91% decline in revenues from Chinese gambling operations ... -91%. What do you suppose that says about the state of the Chinese economy ?
China is quietly in an enormous amount of trouble. If Russia and the EU weren't in a more visible conflict that would be front and center right now
Posted on 9/30/22 at 1:55 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
A pivot meaning what, faster interest rate hikes or interest rate cuts?
I'd think a pause comes first. I don't think we are close to that though unless we have some sort of unforseen economic shock.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 2:04 pm to Walter White Jr
quote:
Cue the Spider-Man point meme
Im just the one that called this 24 months out lol
Posted on 9/30/22 at 2:13 pm to Strannix
quote:
You have no credibility here
Posted on 9/30/22 at 2:14 pm to wutangfinancial
Fed pauses, dollar weakens, inflation goes up more.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 2:18 pm to Diseasefreeforall
Inflation is white hot WITH the increases
Posted on 9/30/22 at 2:34 pm to Strannix
quote:
Inflation is white hot WITH the increases
Damn you’re so close
Posted on 9/30/22 at 2:37 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:Stop the hikes and/or start cutting and/or begin QE again
A pivot meaning what, faster interest rate hikes or interest rate cuts?
Posted on 9/30/22 at 3:08 pm to TigerTatorTots
What affect would this have on mortgage rates.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 3:37 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:Probably move lower, but not back to where we got used to in the 2-3s
What affect would this have on mortgage rates.
They won't move that much if all they do is pause hikes
This post was edited on 9/30/22 at 3:38 pm
Posted on 9/30/22 at 3:41 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
begin QE again
So give crack to a crackhead
Posted on 9/30/22 at 3:50 pm to Strannix
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/18/22 at 11:01 am
Posted on 9/30/22 at 4:24 pm to Strannix
quote:
Inflation is white hot WITH the increases
First increase was March, inflation is running 6.6% annualized since then.
Rates went above 1% in June, and since then inflation is running at 1.2% annualized.
Not really commenting on the accuracy of your white hot statement, just posting some facts.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 4:30 pm to slackster
Just wait until the yoy comps are looking at jan-march 2022.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 4:35 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Fed Pivot Coming?
So they reacted too late and then when they did, their efforts did nothing to bring inflation down… so frick it, quit trying and let it all burn eh?
Posted on 9/30/22 at 4:38 pm to Pendulum
quote:
Just wait until the yoy comps are looking at jan-march 2022.
So what's the play?
Dump depressed equities and cut your losses?
Where do you go?
Hard to live off hard assets. Can't eat art and land (well sorta)...
Some sort of variable/ guaranteed annuities?
Maybe the OT Board has it right... Coke & hookers.....
Thoughts?
Posted on 9/30/22 at 4:41 pm to Klondikekajun
The 2020 me can't believe it but bonds don't seem like such a bad place to hide out right now. I bought some bills, and notes last month. Maybe look at some quality corporates if you need more yield.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 4:51 pm to Pendulum
quote:
Just wait until the yoy comps are looking at jan-march 2022.
Inflation MoM in July was flat. In August it was up .1%. Even if we say it will go up .2% per month in September through next June, it will be sub 3% YoY by April and sub 2% YoY by May.
The FFR would be higher than the inflation rate by March under those conditions.
This post was edited on 9/30/22 at 4:53 pm
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