Protection against collapse

If you think a crash is coming, you move to all cash. The crash happens and then you buy.

Cash, treasuries, blue chip stocks, commodities or precious metals

Silver patience is 30 years. Once every 30 yrs, silver hits a non-inflation adjusted high of $49. We are in yr 12.5 since the last high. Just another 17.5 yrs to go.
It is NOT wealth preservation or a hedge against inflation.

Why do people make this so complicated? If you are near retirement you should already be in conservative funds or stocks. If not, keep putting money in and buy everything cheap. They best way to make money is when the markets are down, then ride them back up.

Long tlt, 40% cash for now, what i do own is pretty agressive but just dont see enough upside to stay all long equities. Been buying long dated tlt calls last couple weeks. I think Inflation will be much more hesitant to just fall off due to commodities and high inventory levels like a lot of bulls are trumpeting, and the fed is going to have to really go over the top to get it to that 2% number theyve been pumping. They doubled down at Jackson hole, so they'd really lose all credibility if they stop now. Even moreso because of the geopolitical and external forces contributing to it, I believe they will be forced to tighten until something breaks or the economy at least experiences a slowdown or shock to earnings. I think we are about to see a record inversion of yield curve with people fleeing out to long end and driving yield down while fed Jacks up the short end.

Protecting against a downturn or limited upside for a given period of time is one thing, protecting against a "crash" is quite ambiguous and seems like a fools errand to me. A "Collapse", not quite sure what that entails time wise.

I'm not that close to retirement so I'm staying fully invested and putting new money to work.

I'm pretty much only buying stocks that pay a decent dividend right now though.

I see why most of you will never retire

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have positions in SQQQ, SDS and QID. The inverse funds I plan to sell when we get to around 3950-3900 and then reassess.

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You are long triple inverse funds? That is a gutsy move with daily resets.

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Been buying long dated tlt calls last couple weeks. I think Inflation will be much more hesitant to just fall off due to commodities and high inventory levels like a lot of bulls are trumpeting, and the fed is going to have to really go over the top to get it to that 2% number theyve been pumping. They doubled down at Jackson hole, so they'd really lose all credibility if they stop now. Even moreso because of the geopolitical and external forces contributing to it, I believe they will be forced to tighten until something breaks or the economy at least experiences a slowdown or shock to earnings. I think we are about to see a record inversion of yield curve with people fleeing out to long end and driving yield down while fed Jacks up the short end.

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That’s a ballsy as frick prediction. Do you really think long dated yields are going down in any substantial way?

Seems like the risk/reward is far more attractive to just buy 3-Month treasuries.

Today I’m buying QQQ. We are a 32% gain away from the highs. Could I get an even better opportunity in the near future? Maybe, but you gotta buy into these dips when you get a chance.