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Will Trump be able to get gas prices to sub $2 again?

Posted on 2/14/25 at 9:56 am
Posted by Yaboylsu63
Member since Mar 2014
3179 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 9:56 am
Simple question.
I don’t think if he doesn’t that it would mean it’s a failure on his part per se, but I do know it’s a goal of his.

I’m sure there’s a lot of factors to this, but I feel like this would have the biggest effect in everyday life if accomplished.
Posted by BurlesonCountyAg
Member since Jan 2014
4525 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 9:57 am to
Yes
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19570 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:00 am to
I think $2.00, give or take a quarter, would be a huge win as it will not only lower the gas we buy, but it should also lower the cost of everything else we buy.

Unfortunately, companies get greedy and might choose to leave the price where it is, despite their lower cost, to increase profits..

Either way, gas around $2.00 would be a very good thing for this country, and I think we have a good chance of getting there..
This post was edited on 2/14/25 at 10:02 am
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
5028 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:06 am to
We need massive drilling. World wide demand is supposed to increase by about 1.5M barrels/day (bpd) in 2025. Oil supply was estimated to increase by about 1.6M bpd. So, even slight increases in production over original estimates can shift the balance pretty hard. I'm guessing if we can get oil production to increase by .5-1.0M bpd here in the US there's a good chance oil prices can drop to $50 or less. Which should get us below $2/gal. It may take 6 mos or more but it's very doable.
This post was edited on 2/14/25 at 10:07 am
Posted by Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
25044 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:08 am to
Probably not. No matter how much more oil we extract, we're still limited by the amount of refinery capacity.

We haven't built a new oil refinery in the US since 1977...and that's highly unlikely to change.


ETA: gas prices bottoming out are a sign of economic problems. The only times we've had average gas prices below $2 in the past 20 years were during the 2008-09 recession and in during the earlier parts of the Covid nonsense when most people were barely leaving their house.
This post was edited on 2/14/25 at 12:09 pm
Posted by DGuillory
Member since Nov 2024
147 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:10 am to
No.

Even with US oil production at its highest ever under Dementia Joe, prices were still high.

Oil companies are beholden to shareholders, not the consumer. They don't care how much Trump beats his desk and says, "Drill baby, drill."

They all know his 4 Big Macs daily have his blood looking like crude.
Posted by offshoretrash
Farmerville, La
Member since Aug 2008
10715 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:16 am to
There would have to be some major changes in the cost of getting it out of the ground to the the pump to get it back below $2.

They will not be over producing oil anytime soon. Infact, major oil companies have cut back on drilling because they see the economy being flat for the next year or so.

The permian basin (which is our largest producing basin) is seeing a decline in production due to the aging of wells.
Posted by Enadious
formerly B5Lurker City of Central
Member since Aug 2004
18505 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:17 am to
No. There oil companies would go out of business
Posted by aero1126
Member since Oct 2016
1159 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Simple question.
I don’t think if he doesn’t that it would mean it’s a failure on his part per se, but I do know it’s a goal of his.

I’m sure there’s a lot of factors to this, but I feel like this would have the biggest effect in everyday life if accomplished.


Nope. That would mean very low oil prices. This would destroy the economy of his best bud Putin. Won't happen.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27306 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Oil companies are beholden to shareholders, not the consumer.


Well they kind of need shareholders to be able to raise capital for new E&P projects, so...
Posted by Giantkiller
the internet.
Member since Sep 2007
24446 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Will Trump be able to get gas prices to sub $2 again?



That would be great but $2 in today money is $1.50 in 2016 money. If you can get McD's to lower the prices of Big Mac's and Ford to lower the prices of F150's, then sure you can get sub-$2 gas. But thanks to POTATUS, it's not apples to apples anymore.
Posted by aero1126
Member since Oct 2016
1159 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Unfortunately, companies get greedy and might choose to leave the price where it is, despite their lower cost, to increase profits..


This is how it works. This is why Trump himself has said its next to impossible to get prices to go down once they go up (after he was elected) despite running on lowering the price of everything.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
19202 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:32 am to
On an equivalency, yes. But the dollar is far too weak right now to get fuel to that price. As the dollar strengthens, you will see fuel drop.
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
27306 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:39 am to
quote:

there's a good chance oil prices can drop to $50 or less


Over about the past 20 years, oil prices have dropped below $50 for a stretch of multiple months three times. Those three stretches also had something else in common, a recession.

Two of them were major recessions...08-09, and COVID 2020 stretch, where unemployment also spiked.

Not sure consistent sub-$50 oil is a good thing, especially if it's a signal of less demand and economic commerce.
Posted by Wally Sparks
Atlanta
Member since Feb 2013
32402 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:47 am to
Are you factoring inflation? Because they've rarely been under $2 (in today's dollars).

Posted by moontigr
Commanders/LA Kings/Detroit Tigers
Member since Nov 2020
6971 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:50 am to
I hope so, just so liberals will stfu about it
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85531 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:51 am to
We may see that in some areas like TX, LA, MS.


But it's never getting that low in California.
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85531 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Even with US oil production at its highest ever under Dementia Joe, prices were still high.




When it reached the highest and we had the least border crossings is when gas was the cheapest under biden and inflation was the lowest.


High energy costs raises the cost of everything. Unfettered immigration raises the demand of everything. Putting more upward pressure on prices.





This post was edited on 2/14/25 at 10:55 am
Posted by Bunkie7672
Member since Mar 2020
980 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 12:26 pm to
Nope
Posted by Swamp Angel
Somewhere on a river
Member since Jul 2004
9624 posts
Posted on 2/14/25 at 12:32 pm to
If the dollar actually had the value that it hade four years ago there would be a very good possibility we could see gas at or below $2.00/gal. Unfortunately, the dollar has devalued quickly and significantly thanks to Sleepy Joe and his secret cadre - so getting down to $2.00/gal with the current real value of a dollar is probably not going to happen.
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