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re: What’s the off-ramp in Iran?

Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:56 am to
Posted by White Bear
probably
Member since Jul 2014
17606 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:56 am to
We’ll get back to you 2046-ish.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476312 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:56 am to
quote:

This is always going to be the case…. In perpetuity.

Just pray that in 10 years you have a President willing to knock them back to no-nukes square one.


If we just let the same/a similar regime take back over, I have to imagine China is going to exert a lot more influence in that version of Iran
Posted by imjustafatkid
Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
65670 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Revolution is not happening.


Just nonsense.

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Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
6571 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Where are they?


One would presume somewhere safe trying to not get blown up.
Posted by GreatLakesTiger24
Member since May 2012
60574 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:59 am to
quote:

What’s the off-ramp in Iran?
Israel feeling like their (not our) goals have been accomplished
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 8:59 am to
quote:

Listen to what this lady is saying the Iranians are telling each other.


I hope that lady is not in Iran right now.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23209 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

What’s the off-ramp in Iran?

I had hoped that it was a negotiated deal with the IRGC to put in place a transitional government that would be pro-western while creating a vatican style paralel control for Shia religion like the Pope is for Catholics (people fail to grasp that the Ayatollah is the head of the entire Shia branch of Islam).

Basically picture Saudi Arabia for Shias to moderate their jihad tendencies while building a westernized nation as you see in UAE, etc.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87290 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

the struggle will become the beacon for all Shia jihadists globally to come in and cause chaos


I'm just not seeing where their help is going to come from at this point.
Posted by geauxEdO
Member since Aug 2017
255 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:00 am to
quote:

I bet you are fun to watch football games with


i am pretty fun, impressive observation based on this post.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
6571 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:02 am to
Do we have actual numbers on their remaining munitions?
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
11514 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:03 am to
quote:

I hope that lady is not in Iran right now


With the nose ring she's wearing I kinda doubt that she is, but I'm guessing she has family over there or something. Anyways, the point is that it's pretty frickin obvious why they aren't in the streets yet.
Posted by LARancher1991
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2015
2243 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:06 am to
Most likely no. We are saying they have been severely diminished and they are saying they have more than enough left. I would think their missile supply is probably running low but who knows about the drones.
Posted by geauxEdO
Member since Aug 2017
255 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

That isnt how revolutions happen. They dont "wait"


exactly. so many wishful thinkers here acting like millions of people are ready to take over the government as soon as Trump gives them the thumbs up.

and even if you do get some protests in the streets, then what? the Iranian people have shown zero ability to organize an actual political/military movement to counter the regime.

Pahlavi giving orders from the comfort of Maryland isn’t gonna get it done.
Posted by AlterEd
Cydonia, Mars
Member since Dec 2024
11514 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Do we have actual numbers on their remaining munitions?


They should be running out of ballistic missiles soon, but they have large numbers of short range missiles and drones.

The Ukrainians are on their way to Iran now to help address the drone situation and they apparently have equipment with them to begin work right away. Which is a good thing. Ukraine shot down over 2,000 Russian drones yesterday. They're quite good at it.
Posted by Tiger n Austin
Austin, Tx
Member since Dec 2005
6846 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:08 am to
No matter what happens, Trump will say this has been the best military conflict the world has ever seen.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
6571 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:10 am to
quote:


Most likely no. We are saying they have been severely diminished and they are saying they have more than enough left. I would think their missile supply is probably running low but who knows about the drones.


I gotcha. In both of those cases, at least to me, those statements are quite vague. How does one define severly diminished? How does one define more than enough left? And when they say more than enough left, more than enough left for what exactly? For clarity, I'm not trying to come at you specifically, it just seems like there are lots of predictions and even more speculation on a lot of vague claims going on.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
6571 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:12 am to
quote:

They should be running out of ballistic missiles soon, but they have large numbers of short range missiles and drones.

The Ukrainians are on their way to Iran now to help address the drone situation and they apparently have equipment with them to begin work right away. Which is a good thing. Ukraine shot down over 2,000 Russian drones yesterday. They're quite good at it.


Thanks for the reply. Like I said to the other guy, there are so many predictions and so much speculation going on over what people think is going to happen but it just seems all we have right now is vague information. I'm not sure how anyone can make definitive claims with this much still up in the air.
Posted by JiminyCricket
Member since Jun 2017
6571 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:13 am to
quote:

exactly. so many wishful thinkers here acting like millions of people are ready to take over the government as soon as Trump gives them the thumbs up.


Would you march on the capital if there was live ordinance being dropped down Pennsylvania avenue?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476312 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:16 am to
quote:

I'm just not seeing where their help is going to come from at this point.


Do you mean in terms of geography/travel or the population?
Posted by Blizzard of Chizz
Member since Apr 2012
21444 posts
Posted on 3/9/26 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Revolution is not happening. The Islamic regime doesn’t look to be going anywhere, whether it’s Mojtaba or his eventual successor(s).


Just say you haven’t been paying even the slightest bit of attention to what’s going on.
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