re: ‘We Are 10 Days Away From Our Hospitals Getting Creamed’

Just keeping his body in shape so he won’t be susceptible to this due to underlying health issues such as obesity and cardiovascular issues

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Tell me about what's happening in Italy. They seem to believe that they have more patients than they can scale capacity to handle

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An aging country that lives in relatively confined quarters and old buildings and relies massively on foreign tourism that over the past few years has increased their dealings with China, including business partnerships requiring travel, locked down their entire country of 65,000,000 over 9,000 infections.

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Re-read what he wrote. He's talking about reaching 1% in any one area, not necessarily 1% across the country. Absent intervention, that could very much happen and right now we are not aggressively intervening.

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Straight up martial law quarantine is the only thing that maybe even might stop this, and for a disease that isn’t nearly as deadly as the concern trolls want it to be, this isn’t justified

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His modest suggestion is that we plan for that contingency as opposed to doing nothing.

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Nothing modest about quarantining the entire fricking country

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not clogging up hospitals because you’re a healthy 25 year old with a cough” approach

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As of today, a healthy 25 year old with a cough and fever who has normal vital signs is going to be discharged from the emergency department in 99% of the cases (particularly if they have a normal chest x-ray and normal vitals). Even if they have presumptive pneumonia on chest x-ray, an abnormal CBC, and a fever they are probably going to be discharged based on the recommendation of something like the CURB65 score with an RX for outpatient antibiotics.

Old? Comorbidities? Elevated lactate? Hypoxic?
Admitted, possibly the to the ICU.

So consider the specific thresholds you have to meet to get admitted in the first place before you talk about hospitals getting clogged up by sick 25 year olds. Medicare and private insurance companies have established guidelines on who they are willing to let doctors admit to the hospital, even in observation status.

Italy is suffering revenge, for Marco Polo stealing the noodles.

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The WHO believes the Chinese numbers. Do you seriously think that the CCP would have quarantined over half a Billion people, canceled Golden week, and trashed 16% of their 2020 GDP for 3000 people?

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Yes. They play the long game and if this damages the US economy and trump enough to get him out of office, they win the next decade plus.

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But I’m still taking a “everyone don’t be an idiot and practice good hygiene and make sure to let the people who need help get it by not clogging up hospitals because you’re a healthy 25 year old with a cough” approach

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The problem is - the media generated panic is going to drive perfectly healthy folks to go to their doctor and demand a coronavirus test.

And the media want them to.

Already happening. People are panicking and going to the ER for minor cold symptoms. They are overwhelming the system and probably getting themselves exposed to the Coronavirus.

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I don’t think patients can be compelled to quarantine by doctors orders. I don’t think a mass quarantine is possible in most western countries.

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Italy is giving it a go, we'll see how that goes. I agree that will always be a tough sell here.