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re: Warnock outperformed all other Dems in statewide election in GA

Posted on 11/9/22 at 12:58 pm to
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
72911 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

More votes tallied in the Senate race than any other race.

7,000 fewer votes in the Governor’s race than in the Senate race.


It was at the top of the ballot. The governor was the second on the ballot. There's always top of ballot skew with higher numbers. I'm not saying frickery wasn't involved, but 7000 more votes in a state of 10 million people isn't enough of a top of ballot skew to raise red flags.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
19314 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

I’m not alleging anything, just trying to put my finger on who the crossovers are?

It's hard to beat an incumbent in a tight state?
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
72911 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

It’s really a shame General Sherman didn’t permanently burn Atlanta to the ground


If you really think about, you could really blame Sherman for a lot of this bullshite in Atlanta right now.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125104 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

This is rich considering the only reason we have Warnock in office now is because of bleeding trump vaginas not showing up for the runoff.


I will ask without expecting a response yet again.

What is the normal or expected turnout for a runoff election expressed as a percentage of the general election votes in a Presidential election year?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125104 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

I'm not saying frickery wasn't involved, but 7000 more votes in a state of 10 million people isn't enough of a top of ballot skew to raise red flags.


I wasn’t raising red flags. I was countering the argument that a lot of people voted for Kemp and left the Senate race blank.
Posted by philter
Member since Dec 2004
8967 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:05 pm to
Baris breaking down numbers still, but he says what jumps out was that non-college voters were way down for Rs vs. 2020, 2018, 2016.

He says RNC focused on getting "Karens" back and sacrificed working class Rs...and they didn't show up to vote in same #s.
Posted by LafTiger
Member since Dec 2008
1560 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

Couldn’t it just be that Walker is a truly bad political candidate? This is Occam’s razor to me


Now do FETTERMAN?
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
12478 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:08 pm to
People didn’t like Walker.

I know that’s hard you you and me to register but 1% is the difference.
Posted by concrete_tiger
Member since May 2020
7477 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:10 pm to
They spent like $250 million here. There were some TV shows where EVERY AD was his. The ads were VERY well done, and made him look like a good guy. They relied on PACS to constantly attack Herschel. It was relentless, whether on OTA, radio, print, streaming, satellite radio... you couldn't escape it.

This is not surprising.
Posted by WDE24
Member since Oct 2010
54836 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

quote:

Couldn’t it just be that Walker is a truly bad political candidate? This is Occam’s razor to me
Now do FETTERMAN?
Didn’t he underperform the Governor by about the same rate that Walker did in Georgia?
This post was edited on 11/9/22 at 1:11 pm
Posted by Boss
Member since Dec 2007
1738 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:12 pm to
Voted for Kemp. Didn't vote for Walker. Kemp has been good for the state. When we have a surplus he puts it back in our pockets.

Walker is a scumbag Trump wannabe. He will do absolutely nothing for me.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40191 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

More votes tallied in the Senate race than any other race. 7,000 fewer votes in the Governor’s race than in the Senate race.


So…more libs hate Walker than conservatives that hate gap tooth?
Posted by tigerterrace
Mobile, Alabama
Member since Sep 2016
3475 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Walker was percentage points behind Kemp.

He massively underperformed.


And that could just be people NOT VOTING for Abrams.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
125104 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

more libs hate Walker than conservatives that hate gap tooth?


Don’t know. I don’t have the cross tabs on GA voter turnout.
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
72911 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

They spent like $250 million here. There were some TV shows where EVERY AD was his. The ads were VERY well done, and made him look like a good guy. They relied on PACS to constantly attack Herschel. It was relentless, whether on OTA, radio, print, streaming, satellite radio... you couldn't escape it.

This is not surprising.


What surprised me was how lame the Walker ads were. All the experts said keep Herschel locked in the basement so he doesn't sound dumb, but I think the opposite would have been true. The guy has made a career of folksy motivational speaking, he should have been stumping everywhere, showing people he isn't an imbecile, and actually can speak and spell. Sure he has a deep south GA accent, but that helps, not hurts, in Georgia. He's folksy, not retarded. But too many people would not know that, because of shitty campaign strategy. He speaks a hell of a lot better than Fetterman, Pelosi, Biden, and is actually more coherent than AOC and Kamala Harris.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21792 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:34 pm to
They overcame it because they had 72 hours after Election Day to turn in ballots. DUH
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40191 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Don’t know. I don’t have the cross tabs on GA voter turnout.


Here's where I would look, if this becomes available.

Senate race at top of ballot. Maube more left hates Walker/Trump than right hates gap tooth.

Early voting. How many early voting ballots / mail-in ballots only cast a vote for Warnock and left rest of ballot blank?

I'll take a step further. How much of this was by college students who really don't care but were "shown" to do this?

Posted by glb
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2008
1606 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Voted for Kemp. Didn't vote for Walker. Kemp has been good for the state. When we have a surplus he puts it back in our pockets.

Walker is a scumbag Trump wannabe. He will do absolutely nothing for me.


So you basically gave half a vote to Warnock. What do you think Warnock is going to do for you? Do you think it's better to have Warnock in office than Herschel? If you don't, then how can you come to the conclusion it's in your best interest to not vote for Herschel?
Posted by IceTiger
Really hot place
Member since Oct 2007
26584 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

I’m not alleging anything, just trying to put my finger on who the crossovers are?



If it's not computer glitches, it's black inner city men.

I heard a dude say "frick that fat bitch" last week.
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
23664 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

This is rich considering the only reason we have Warnock in office now is because of bleeding trump vaginas not showing up for the runoff.

Yup.
The supposed "leader of the Republican party" in America told Republicans in GA not to vote in the runoff because he was all up in his feelings at the time.
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