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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 4/10/20 at 1:14 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 4/10/20 at 1:14 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
FYI I'm going to be away from the keyboard for a while this afternoon. The wife and I are going for a drive to get out of the damn house for a while.
You deserve it. This has been a legitimate informative thread. Great job
0
Posted on 4/10/20 at 1:16 pm to the808bass
My assertion is that even when you are just keeping up with the spread and you look at the death rate graph over time, it will drop like we initially saw, and it will then begin to flatten like we started seeing but it shouldn't ever go up dramatically like it has.
The only time it should go back up is after the spread has stopped. At that point the number of infected will stop and the deaths will still have another two weeks to increase.
This should all be true without injecting the fact that doctors are now saving lives by treating with HCQ which should contribute to further driving the death rate down.
The only time it should go back up is after the spread has stopped. At that point the number of infected will stop and the deaths will still have another two weeks to increase.
This should all be true without injecting the fact that doctors are now saving lives by treating with HCQ which should contribute to further driving the death rate down.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 2:13 pm to omegaman66
quote:
This should all be true without injecting the fact that doctors are now saving lives by treating with HCQ which should contribute to further driving the death rate down.
Doctors (some) were treating with HCQ before Trump said anything.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 2:45 pm to the808bass
quote:
Doctors (some) were treating with HCQ before Trump said anything.
Agree.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 4:24 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 6:39 pm to Chromdome35
WoM revised yesterday's number slightly downward and increased today's death toll
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:12 pm to Chromdome35
So is the consensus about why we’re not testing more that since it’s basically every where there is no point in trying to identify cases? That is really skewing the mortality rate.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:14 pm to Chromdome35
Updated deaths for today just posted is 2,017.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:23 pm to SquatchDawg
We are doing more testing, but focusing it more in areas that are bigger hot spots. It's pointless to even test anyone in my city at this time considering not a single person tested positive since this whole shite storm started.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:29 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Updated deaths for today just posted is 2,017.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:50 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:50 pm to BamaPig
OK docs -- was working remotely from home and see that one of our residents is on *** 6L *** O2 with an O2 sat of 92 (was in the uppers 80s). Covid +, on day 3 of the doxy; can't remember if I noted a zpac ordered or not. 70 yo, less than 100# and she's a full code. 
For those that you're seeing improvement with the meds, has it worked before day 3???
For those that you're seeing improvement with the meds, has it worked before day 3???
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:54 pm to Chromdome35
Continuation of the flattening of the curve. Considering ICU numbers are down all across the country and hospitalizations, a lot of these confirmed cases for COVID19 must be mild cases. In most cases they aren't going to wast a test on a person not showing any symptoms for your average Joe.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:58 pm to uppermidwestbama
The death numbers seem to becoming a big whippy doo these days. With the random dead from whatever disease, they are counting them as COVID19 and there is only one location anywhere in the country that still has large death totals - NYC.
The data is showing that the death numbers are rising because there is more even spread of deaths happening across the country instead of there being a handful of hot zone death areas. In other words, a normal day prior to COVID19.
The data is showing that the death numbers are rising because there is more even spread of deaths happening across the country instead of there being a handful of hot zone death areas. In other words, a normal day prior to COVID19.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 9:00 pm to Chromdome35
Another day of flat testing, # positive tests, and number of new cases.
Deaths rose to their highest point yet and breached 2000 for the first time. The days to double rate increased to 6 so the growth rate is definitely slowing. According to the newly revised IHME model, today is supposed to be the peak. I hope that is correct, we'll know in the next couple of days.
Mortality continues to rise quickly and is approaching 4%.
Cases have been growing at a steady 31.8K per day for the last 8 days. Daily Positive tests have averaged 31.7K over the same time period. The daily % positives has averaged 20.4%. We will see the exact daily case growth of around 31K cases until the number of tests given gets substantially bigger.
Deaths rose to their highest point yet and breached 2000 for the first time. The days to double rate increased to 6 so the growth rate is definitely slowing. According to the newly revised IHME model, today is supposed to be the peak. I hope that is correct, we'll know in the next couple of days.
Mortality continues to rise quickly and is approaching 4%.
Cases have been growing at a steady 31.8K per day for the last 8 days. Daily Positive tests have averaged 31.7K over the same time period. The daily % positives has averaged 20.4%. We will see the exact daily case growth of around 31K cases until the number of tests given gets substantially bigger.
Posted on 4/10/20 at 9:01 pm to uppermidwestbama
I like your graphics, are you creating them or pulling them from somewhere?
Posted on 4/10/20 at 9:07 pm to Chromdome35
Sure looks like we may be at the peak of new daily cases. Deaths are semi-flat as well, though it’s only been 3 days. Hopefully, we start seeing some downward movement for both of these shortly.
The forecast models seem to be indicating this as well.
The forecast models seem to be indicating this as well.
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