re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

I know you are busy. I’ll eagerly anticipating this next update. We’re almost over the hump.

This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.

Yes

quote:

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I know you are busy. I’ll eagerly anticipating this next update. We’re almost over the hump.

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Just got home...did I miss it or are they really late??

Wasn’t the press conference supposed to start at 7:00 CDT??

This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the US state level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker

On the state level tracker the states I have available right now are listed below. I will be adding additional states in the coming days.
Arkansas, Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Florida, California

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

NOTE: I have added a prediction number to the bottom of the data grid. This simply takes the previous days numbers and grows them at the previous day's growth rate. It should give the viewer some idea of what the numbers will look like today. Obviously, the final number for the day will be higher or lower based on what today's growth rate actualy is. This is just a simple indicator.

A nice decline in the number of deaths reported today. Is this the first indicator of the downward turn? The fact that weekend reporting has been spotty makes me view this skeptically until we see a several day trend.

The days to double for deaths continues to rise which is a great thing to see.

Testing...137K tests today, that number is starting to sound like a broken record as 5 out of the last 9 days have finished very close to this number. Is 137K some type of capacity limit?

Positive test results @ 22.2% for the day on 137K tests gives us that very repetitive 30kish number of new cases.

Mortality...upward it goes, it looks like it will cross into the 4% range tomorrow.

The week is now done for reporting. I started out the week saying we hit our peak this week and we would know for sure by the end of the week.

Conclusion? We did hit the peak and that is great news.

What is next? A continuation in flatlining and a gradual decline in new cases and it spreads its way through various communities.

Every week there are more and more testing available.

When we get back to work? When we do, I expect temperatures will be taken and contact tracing will be done for those who test positive.

If you are running a fever when you get to work, you will be told to go get tested, IMO. Once we have vaccine sometime next year, then we can go back to normal.

We have not peaked in deaths, IMO. Would love to be wrong on that. There's going to be a lot of deaths coming from the peak numbers that we hit. I'd wait two weeks before looking for trends in deaths.

The first thing you always do is wait for the peak in cases. Then go out two weeks to wait if more deaths happen. If more deaths do not happen, then it means most that tested positive were minor cases and that would coincide with fewer people in the ICU nationally.

What I expect to happen is a continued increase in deaths since the old people who were long-time smokers, have advanced diabetes, are morbind obese, etc, there are a lot of those still out there that will get this virus and die and I bet a good percentage of the cases from the peak ahve that group in those cases.

It’s weekend data, but we’re about where we were with new cases 10
days ago.