re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

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This certainly seems to be the case. Rio Grande valley getting hit hard along with other border areas. Tarrant seems to be on the downside with ER visits related to covid symptoms and % positive peaking 10 days ago. Hospital number should start to drop within a week or so.

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Seems like almost a fake number, but I watched the Abbott presser yesterday and I'm almost positive that's what it was.

Check out each state's department of public health site, most of them have that data. Here's a link to Georgia's, puts a little context to my posts the last few days. Anything inside of 14 days in the past is still subject to change, hence my harping on the 14 days. You can see at the state and county levels.

LINK

This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases

The US is testing 5M people a week and as the testing volume has increased we are now seeing a definite flattening of the positivity rate as you can tell by this near term graph.



With testing driving the new caseload if testing continues to increase and the positivity rate starts to fall, then we can expect to see a leveling off in the new case rate and the start of a decline maybe. What is more important is the death rate.

Deaths today were 736 which reflects the normal Tuesday bump. What I am looking at is the last week, where deaths spiked up, but are still following the downward trend since the spike. It looks like we reset the death curve back to 6/9 levels. Lets hope it resumes the downward pattern that it was displaying on 6/9

Latest excess deaths info, which is the best way to do international comparisons (makes up for vast differences in testing). Mind that the latest available data is different for each country, so comparisons are still difficult.

LINK

Texas Nursing Homes story

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Two Wednesdays ago we were above 700, so that's still not that bad considering all the states dumping deaths randomly.

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Yeah. It’s looking more like a flattening of the tail based on regional outbreaks that didn’t experience an initial outbreak.

I'm not sure how this impacts the great data tracking & analysis done in this thread but this was from the official Texas Covid Dashboard which Gov Abbott frequently cites when he makes his decisions-->

Texas is reporting 10,791 new confirmed COVID-19 cases for Wednesday, July 15. The San Antonio Metro Health District has clarified its reporting to separate confirmed and probable cases, so the Bexar County and statewide totals have been updated to remove 3,484 probable cases. The local case count previously included probable cases identified by antigen testing but not those from antibody testing or other sources.

New Cases are up to the 2nd highest day yet and the highest Wednesday new cases to date. This is a result of 756K tests with a positivity rate of 8.6%.

The short term positivity rate remains flat while testing volume increases. This is a good thing.

More concerning are the 855 new deaths. This is against the downward trending, the next few days will tell us if we're seeing a rise in the death rate.

We're adding 65K of positive cases a day and our hospitals are feeling the pressure, but think of it this way, that VAST majority of those daily 65K cases are not ending up in the hospital. If they were, our hospitals would be overrun in a matter of days and that is not happening. That said, even a continued slow steady increase on hospitalizations and we will start seeing some strain in the system before long.

The US is now running an average of 5 Million tests a week. That is pretty amazing. Think of the supply chain needed to support that. I hope its all made in the USA, does anyone know where the testing supplies are being sourced?