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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 6/29/20 at 6:05 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 6/29/20 at 6:05 pm to Chromdome35
One thing to note about Tennessee. Due to a computer problem, the total released today was for TWO days of data.
0
Posted on 6/29/20 at 6:08 pm to Chicken
4.6% of those positives die....per your qualifications.
Posted on 6/29/20 at 8:20 pm to Chicken
quote:The "dumb" rate is now under 5%. The adjusted rate based on extrapolated infection is 60-80bps.
well, don't we know total number of positives and a total number of deaths?
Sure, the total number of positives are understated and the total number of deaths is overstated, but isn't there a fatality figure out there for the entire country?
In some ways, the main unknown before us is if the rate settles in at 80bps or 20bps.
Posted on 6/29/20 at 8:46 pm to jeffsdad
Didn't mean that to sound bad, I was thinking along those lines also..
Posted on 6/29/20 at 9:16 pm to dafif
quote:
would love to know the antibody numbers. Alas, they are combined for some reason. I guess just padding...
Wife and I were just talking about this. Why would +antibody tests be counted on the same scale as new cases? Makes no sense. Start a new chart if necessary, unless it's political.
Is not the big story that the Monday new cases count is below the Friday count? Are we going to see a sharp decline in this spike?
And what could have accounted for such a spike other than events occurring over the past 3-4 weeks?
Posted on 6/29/20 at 9:19 pm to Chicken
quote:
well, don't we know total number of positives and a total number of deaths?
Chicken, in this thread, Chromedome tries to track that statistic in real time, day over day, depending on the best sources out there.
And it does change and shift with data reported, if all you want is that gross ratio of official numbers, this thread is the place.
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:14 pm to PhDoogan
quote:
Is not the big story that the Monday new cases count is below the Friday count?
The way the data is reported, you want to compare this Monday to last Monday, and so on.
Posted on 6/30/20 at 12:48 am to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
The way the data is reported, you want to compare this Monday to last Monday, and so on.
That’s not even consistent.
I’d say look at positivity rates of tests over a rolling 7-day average.
Posted on 6/30/20 at 5:14 am to Teddy Ruxpin
quote:
The way the data is reported, you want to compare this Monday to last Monday, and so on.
Wouldn't you also have to correlate those figures with the testing percentage?
Posted on 6/30/20 at 7:51 am to the808bass
quote:
That’s not even consistent.
I’d say look at positivity rates of tests over a rolling 7-day average.
Ya, that would be better, but I was responding to comparison he set, which was a straight day to day. More variables would of course mean a better comparison.
This post was edited on 6/30/20 at 8:00 am
Posted on 6/30/20 at 3:35 pm to Teddy Ruxpin
Saw this posted...fwiw:
" we demonstrate that the protests had little effect on the spread of COVID19 for the entire population of the counties with protests during the more than three weeks
following protest onset. In most cases, the estimated longer-run effect (post-21 days) was
negative, though not statistically distinguishable from zero."
LINK
" we demonstrate that the protests had little effect on the spread of COVID19 for the entire population of the counties with protests during the more than three weeks
following protest onset. In most cases, the estimated longer-run effect (post-21 days) was
negative, though not statistically distinguishable from zero."
LINK
This post was edited on 6/30/20 at 3:36 pm
Posted on 6/30/20 at 3:36 pm to Poncho and Lefty
quote:Other studies show opposite.
" we demonstrate that the protests had little effect on the spread of COVID19 for the entire population of the counties with protests during the more than three weeks
following protest onset. In most cases, the estimated longer-run effect (post-21 days) was
negative, though not statistically distinguishable from zero."
Posted on 6/30/20 at 5:22 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link New COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable New COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link New COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable New COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 6/30/20 at 5:47 pm to Chromdome35
What is the actual mortality rate currently? Surely there aren't many people who Really believe it's near 5%? I sure as hell don't.
Posted on 6/30/20 at 7:36 pm to deuceiswild
quote:Dumb rate is just under 5%. Serology-extrapolated-adjusted is like .7%.
What is the actual mortality rate currently?
Posted on 6/30/20 at 7:55 pm to Big Scrub TX
Big scrub
Deaths down 20% from last Tuesday
Deaths down 20% from last Tuesday
Posted on 6/30/20 at 8:23 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Deaths down a good chunk from last week again.
Everyone remember when we were two weeks behind Italy? And Spain was having a massive spike in deaths as well?
Italy reported 23 deaths today and 6 deaths yesterday. Spain reported 9 deaths today and 3 deaths yesterday.
The United States is testing more than these two countries by a massive amount. I'm wondering if maybe the "2nd wave" of deaths as a result of our "spike" in new cases since reopening is already happening. We just can't see it in the numbers because deaths are decreasing week over week anyway.
Does what I'm saying make sense?
Everyone remember when we were two weeks behind Italy? And Spain was having a massive spike in deaths as well?
Italy reported 23 deaths today and 6 deaths yesterday. Spain reported 9 deaths today and 3 deaths yesterday.
The United States is testing more than these two countries by a massive amount. I'm wondering if maybe the "2nd wave" of deaths as a result of our "spike" in new cases since reopening is already happening. We just can't see it in the numbers because deaths are decreasing week over week anyway.
Does what I'm saying make sense?
Posted on 6/30/20 at 8:46 pm to Eat Your Crow
Yes. We’re going to be #1 in testing by any metric by the time it’s over. That’s why you’re not hearing anything about testing.
We’re testing around 5M/wk.
We’re testing around 5M/wk.
Posted on 6/30/20 at 8:57 pm to the808bass
Right, agreed.
I'm saying maybe the second "spike" in deaths is already happening and being reflected in the new death number each day, and that is why our deaths haven't fallen off as quickly as they have in places like Italy and Spain.
So the fact that they are still falling is a really good sign. If they fall week over week for one more week, we might be really in the clear.
I'm saying maybe the second "spike" in deaths is already happening and being reflected in the new death number each day, and that is why our deaths haven't fallen off as quickly as they have in places like Italy and Spain.
So the fact that they are still falling is a really good sign. If they fall week over week for one more week, we might be really in the clear.
This post was edited on 6/30/20 at 9:02 pm
Posted on 6/30/20 at 9:00 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
So the fact that they are still falling is a really good sign. If they fall week over week for one more week, we might be really in the clear.
I think you’re on the money.
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