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UNH 2024 New Hampshire primary poll

Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:26 pm
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38237 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:26 pm


Tweet link

Poll link







This post was edited on 7/18/23 at 3:14 pm
Posted by redandright
Member since Jun 2011
9619 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:28 pm to
We love our polls, don’t we folks?
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28590 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:30 pm to
I think Trump hit his ceiling and DeSantis hit his floor. Whether DeSantis can close the gap to actually win this thing seems to be in the “unlikely but definitely possible” zone.

Iowa is winnable for DeSantis.

He’s at least in a position to make a run at a win in NH.

The next 30-60 days should show us whether he truly has a run in him or if Trump really has the nomination locked up like a lot of people think already.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53476 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:30 pm to
Awesome poll. Thanks for sharing
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28590 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:33 pm to
Poll shows DeSantis has the highest “favorable” rating (not net favorability) and is tied with Vivek for most voters’ second choice.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167357 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

I think Trump hit his ceiling and DeSantis hit his floor.


Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28590 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:36 pm to
quote:




Do you think the purple line will go up and the green line will go down from here? We can check back in 45 days and see.

Purple = Trump
Green = DeSantis

This post was edited on 7/18/23 at 12:38 pm
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
72127 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:37 pm to
How can this be happening? JjGoebbels has been here spreading the lie that DeSantis stopped running ads here.
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
28131 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:38 pm to
@jbdawgs :)
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27952 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:40 pm to
Thats a bad poll for Rob! (+1)

Because if Trump is losing support, it aint to Rob!. Every one on the list (except Pence) gained more than Rob!. He might end up in 3rd place in the primaries

I'm starting to love your teams 'gotchas'

Keep up the work
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
72127 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:45 pm to


They went from single digits to...single digits.
Posted by KirbySmartsDentist
Member since Feb 2023
226 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:49 pm to
According to that poll, looks like Rob DeSerter should hope the other candidates all stay in. They’re gaining from Trump, not Deserter.
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28590 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Rob DeSerter


^ nickname given to DeSantis after he showed up at Mar A Lago one day, pushed Trump over into some potted plants, and took his McDonalds apple pie.
Posted by riccoar
Arkansas
Member since Mar 2006
2992 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:02 pm to
At this juncture, the polls ain’t moving. DeSantis has gone all in and NH has to be a win for him and it’s not going to be close. He hitched with the wrong crowd.
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
72127 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

At this juncture, the polls ain’t moving. DeSantis has gone all in and NH has to be a win for him and it’s not going to be close. He hitched with the wrong crowd.




DeSantis can absolutely win New Hampshire.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164288 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

While 76 percent of Trump supporters said they were “definitely decided” on the former president, just 14 percent of DeSantis supporters said the same of the Florida governor, according to the poll.

Ouch. Absolutely porous support for DeSantis.
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
72127 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

While 76 percent of Trump supporters said they were “definitely decided” on the former president, just 14 percent of DeSantis supporters said the same of the Florida governor, according to the poll.


Hopefully this clues you in on another point...
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164288 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:24 pm to
That's individual candidate supporters. Not GOP voters as a whole. You need a base if you want to be successful. DeSantis has no base with only 14% of his supporters being strong supporters.
Posted by DisplacedBuckeye
Member since Dec 2013
72127 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

That's individual candidate supporters.


"Supporters."
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164288 posts
Posted on 7/18/23 at 1:25 pm to
"Definitely decided"
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