re: Trump Confirms Iran Bombed the Girls School

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Well, we have munitions experts in here. It's a pretty simple question. Is that angle of attack indicative of an American made cruise missile? It looks more like a ballistic missile, honestly.

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Most likely a tomahawk. And the only country in this war with tomahawks is the US. Bellingcat did a deeper dive into this event

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The evidence is clear, this is not a Tomahawk

Iran alleged that an American Tomahawk Cruise Missile hit a school (buried in an IRGC compound) in southern Iran, killing 165 people.

Analysis of a newly released video tells a different story.

ANALYSIS:
A-I analysis confirms the wings of the munition in question sit about 40%-45% down the body of the munition. On a Tomahawk, the wings sit roughly 49%-50% down the body of the munition.

The wing to body ratio of the munition in question matches an Iranian Kh-55–derived Land Attack Cruise Missile.

Further, the video shows the munition in a steep dive angle for the final attack phase. This places the attack angle at approximately 70%, which is the max attack angle for a Tomahawk.

The attack angle does not match the KH-55. That angle maxes out at about 55 degrees. So what would have caused this?

CONCLUSION:
The wing positioning alone makes the munition impossible to be a Tomahawk. The attack angle is at the max of the Tomahawk's capabilities. The typical attack angle for a Tomahawk is much lower than 70 degrees. The typical angle is between 20-45 degrees.

This is due to the flight pattern of Tomahawks. They fly very low horizontally to the ground, often only 50-100 meters AGL to avoid detection and interception. In order to achieve that attack angle, the missile would have had to gain altitude several kilometers away, this would leave it vulnerable for interception. This is highly unlikely on the first day of US attacks.

So what could have caused this?
Simply put, GPS jamming of an Iranian KH-55. The USA and Israel were, and continue to actively jam the Iranian airspace.

If the KH-55's signal was jammed, this could result in an uncontrollable dive. Think of GPS jamming more like disorienting the missile.

On 03/07 President Trump stated:
“No, in my opinion, based on what I’ve seen, that was done by Iran.”

Today, I concur with the President.

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