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Trafalgar polling for Michigan, Wisconsin, and Florida (dead on electorally in 2016)

Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:19 pm
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:19 pm
Trafalgar was the only one to even come close to getting it right electorally in 2016. In fact they were dead on:





Here are the states they’ve polled so far in 2020:


LINK



LINK


LINK



I’d say this is good for Trump. Even if this is based on likely voters, he still has enthusiasm on his side and turnout for his base is much more likely.
This post was edited on 7/5/20 at 2:21 pm
Posted by PrimetimeDaBoss
Swag City, USA
Member since Oct 2008
7144 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:22 pm to
Polls don’t matter, remember?
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:22 pm to
If you read the CEOs statement on how they poll it's really incredible. The realize a lot of people are afraid to say they are voting for trump.

I like how they poll likely voters over registered.

Trump is still in this.

He needs to just keep on his message from Tulsa rally and Rushmore speech. He does that he comes out on top
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

Polls don’t matter, remember?


Fake polls don’t.
Posted by MonroeTigerstripes
Member since Jul 2016
531 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:26 pm to
I just don’t understand how he wouldn’t win Michigan in a landslide. Especially after the insane antics of the Gov during the pandemic...

Those people have to be insane to not vote Trump
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76476 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

If you read the CEOs statement on how they poll it's really incredible. The realize a lot of people are afraid to say they are voting for trump.

I like how they poll likely voters over registered.

Trump is still in this.

He needs to just keep on his message from Tulsa rally and Rushmore speech. He does that he comes out on top


Trump's support is already baked in. It will come down to turnout for him.

Biden is gonna lose voters and enthusiasm if he performs at the debates like most of us think he will. He's been covered in bubble wrap for the past 3 months.
Posted by Flashback
reading the chicken bones
Member since Apr 2008
8299 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

Polls don’t matter, remember?


Good afternoon, bitch.
Posted by Funktopus
Member since Jun 2020
6 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 2:28 pm to
Damn that's impressive.
Posted by ChineseBandit58
Pearland, TX
Member since Aug 2005
42508 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

I like how they poll likely voters over registered.

With mail-in ballots every 'registered' voter will have a ballot cast in his name.
Posted by Lickitty Split
Inside
Member since Apr 2017
3908 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 4:55 pm to
Absentee voting is allowed. I think that’s what can skew some polls. It’s hard to determine turnout but I think the Trump base has the enthusiasm advantage.

Trump 2020 means Chief Justice Roberts is neutered for the rest of his tenure. The Trump Court takeover will be massive. It will finally put the Court back in it’s traditional role as arbiter of the law. He will carry the day.
Posted by friendlysnek
Member since Jun 2020
211 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 11:15 pm to
Am I missing something? Florida, Wisconsin, Michigan.. all within the margin of error?
Posted by Big Jim Slade
Member since Oct 2016
4914 posts
Posted on 7/5/20 at 11:21 pm to
No no no, i heard the man on the TV in the airport say that Biden has a comfortable 12pt lead.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37355 posts
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:35 am to
Those are great for Trump. He wasn’t going to run away with any of those states.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17397 posts
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:03 am to
47/50 states in 2016 is amazing. Plus they were dead on and exactly right on the EV. In a time of crap polls this may be the best pollster group to keep your eyes on for 2020.
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