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Started By
Message
re: The U. of Washington's model was updated overnight
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:52 am to shawnlsu
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:52 am to shawnlsu
Yeah, 80,000 in a year compared to 9,000 in 2 1/2 months. The covid could catch that for sure but you gotta admit that any society that can ignore 80,000 deaths over one virus yet willfully create the great depression over what may kill a similar number has a screw loose. And the flu had a vaccine and millions upon millions of immune people working against it.
1
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:52 am to Bass Tiger
quote:I mean we have a current case fatality rate of nearly 2.9% nationally and 5.5% globally. So just to get to 1%, then 65% of cases in the USA and 82% of cases globally have to be undetected. And it’s probably has to be more since deaths lag cases (which is why the CFRs rise later on).
Dude said up to 50% of COVID19 victims are a symptomatic.........if he's anywhere near accurate with that percentage it means the mortality rate is gonna be well below 1%
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:55 am to jimdog
quote:61,000 does in 2017-2018 over the course of 8 months and that was one of the deadliest in decades with 4 strains circulating.
Yeah, 80,000 in a year compared to 9,000 in 2 1/2 months.
The peak deaths totals that season were 4,000 WEEKLY. We had 4,500 in just the last 4 days, and it’s still rising. Luckily we’re nearer summer when these types of viruses transmit less easily.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 10:56 am
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:56 am to FredBear
quote:
courtesy of the progressive left
dumbassery by potus. 100%
he wanted to keep market up. he didnt care about a little flu. "maybe it will blow over as if by miracle."
if he had balls he could have shut down usa for 3 weeks. isolate the few cases.
after 30 days we watch europeans die and no one here is dead.
meanwhile vaccines are fast tracked.
antibodies are collected.
hes a hero instead of the moneygrubbing dunce cnn portrays.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 10:58 am
Posted on 4/6/20 at 10:57 am to CelticDog
quote:
dumbassery by potus. 100% he wanted to keep market up. he didnt care about a little flu. "it will blow over as if by miracle." if he had balls he could have shut down usa for 3 weeks. isolate the few cases. after 30 days we watch europeans die and no one here is dead. meanwhile vaccines are fast tracked. antibodies are collected. hes a hero instead of the moneygrubbing dunce cnn portrays.
Well, obviously the left has their Coronavirus AAR talking point out and ready to go...
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:02 am to CelticDog
COLLUSION HOAXER ALERT
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:05 am to anc
quote:
Mississippi was projected to have 1400 deaths, it has been revised to 237.
I think i know where all of the out of work weathermen have jobs, now.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:06 am to buckeye_vol
quote:
then 65% of cases in the USA and 82% of cases globally have to be undetected
The two guys I know who had it never would have even known they had it if they hadn't travelled (Colorado and Hawaii) somewhere that end up requiring them to be tested, one had a headache and the other thought he had a cold. I really don't think it's too outlandish to think that's how it is for the majority of people
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:07 am to Bass Tiger
quote:
Did y'all catch what Fauci said at yesterday's COVID19 update presser? Dude said up to 50% of COVID19 victims are a symptomatic.........if he's anywhere near accurate with that percentage it means the mortality rate is gonna be well below 1%
Also means we are moving towards herd immunity much faster
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:09 am to Powerman
Didn't do the calculations, but LA is the 25th most populous state. So I would imagine it would be right in line.
Also, the post was in response to the poster that indicated if you removed NY & NOLA's totals the total figures would be substantially lower. Was just pointing out, that it looks like LA may not be that much of an outlier, even with NOLA.
Also, the post was in response to the poster that indicated if you removed NY & NOLA's totals the total figures would be substantially lower. Was just pointing out, that it looks like LA may not be that much of an outlier, even with NOLA.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:12 am to anc
But muh measures made this possible
Posted on 4/6/20 at 11:30 am to dcbl
quote:
KY comes up 58 beds short
The models are built using standard hospital utilization. As no one is in the hospital now (practically) who doesn’t have a Covid 19 diagnosis, they will probably be fine.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:05 pm to Enadious
quote:
It also says that it's been 5 days since peak resource use on April 1, 2020, for Louisiana. It also projects 42 deaths on the 6th.
We are reporting 35 in last 24 hours.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 1:46 pm to ImaObserver
quote:
So does anybody think that with the strict lockdowns, maybe the China numbers were honest after all?
No, China's numbers were still off more than Felicity Huffman's kid's SAT numbers.
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:16 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
quote:
For you non-data geeks, keep in mind that THIS IS THE MODEL THAT WAS PRESENTED L:AST WEEK THAT 240,000 WOULD DIE.
This is completely false.
It originally predicted about 84,000 deaths then rose to 94,000 deaths and is now back near its original prediction. It’s been referenced in a number of articles as a counter to the 100,000 to 240,000 projections.
240,000 U.S. Virus Deaths Don't Have to Happen
quote:
This model, which assumes much more rigorous lockdown measures will be broadly implemented soon, predicts a mean death toll of around 94,000. But it also carries a warning: Its latest projection, while lower than the others, has climbed 10,000 since its initial release last week.
Any idea where Birx and Fauci got that 240,000 number? I keep looking through this model data from as far back as 3/30 and I can't find it, I don't see anything further back than that. Birx said the administrations models show 100,000 to 200,000 if we do everything perfectly the day this model was showing 84,000 projected with a high value of 140,000.
This of course was the day after Trump extended the social distancing guidelines to 4/30. I assume the 200,000+ numbers are used to advise the president but even 4/1-4/2 revisions to the posted model which increased to 94,000 projected with a high value of 177,000 their number jumped to 240,000! Where did those numbers come from?
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:17 pm to CelticDog
quote:
CelticDog
Look, the Russia Hoaxer thinks it's people.
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