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re: The official Education rankings are out

Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:31 pm to
Posted by Grumpy Nemesis
Member since Feb 2025
2033 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Any more guesses

It wasn't a guess it was an observation that the data wasn't supplied. You're really good at reading into stuff things that aren't there
This post was edited on 5/5/25 at 10:40 pm
Posted by Grumpy Nemesis
Member since Feb 2025
2033 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

Fox - $100k
Windsor - $65k
Festus - $71k

So what are your theories as to why Festus is outperforming Fox?
Posted by PuertoRicanBlaze
Book Board Admin
Member since Apr 2024
7503 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 1:14 am to
Wonder what all those "blue" states have in common...
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128778 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 7:48 am to
quote:

It wasn't a guess it was an observation that the data wasn't supplied.


You were guessing that the confounding variable was going to be income.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128778 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 7:57 am to
quote:

So what are your theories as to why Festus is outperforming Fox?


Fox has issues with corruption/nepotism and a network of insiders who keep the facilities looking nice so parents who aren’t really data analysts think the school is doing fine.

Also, the National problem of having school-related elections on the opposite part of the year keeps a smaller group of engaged voters controlling a school board that is utterly incompetent and has been for 40 years.

Festus has great teacher tenure, lots of experienced teachers. (Missouri retirement system for teachers keeps them pretty locked in once they hit around year 10 of service). Competent but not flashy superintendent and really good elementary principal.
Posted by Grumpy Nemesis
Member since Feb 2025
2033 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 8:14 am to
quote:



You were guessing that the confounding variable was going to be income

I surmised that it was possible because in many cases that is the confounding variable. Surely you will acknowledge that
Posted by LSUnation78
Northshore
Member since Aug 2012
14223 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 8:24 am to
It looks like states that took in the most undocumenteds have fallen drastically in the rankings.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
128778 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 8:47 am to
quote:

I surmised that it was possible because in many cases that is the confounding variable.


When you get past the district level, that is accurate. The data smooths out in the macro as the effects of good local administration and bad local administration regresses to the mean.
Posted by Grumpy Nemesis
Member since Feb 2025
2033 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 9:58 am to
quote:

When you get past the district level, that is accurate. The data smooths out in the macro as the effects of good local administration and bad local administration regresses to the mean


Which is sort of my point really. Sure there are local anomalies but they really can't be attributed to anything the state is doing and if you compare like to like between states you're pretty much going to find very little effect that could be attributed to the states.

We've never figured out how to expand the local anomalies to larger levels. Now my personal position is that's because they're not scalable but I suppose there's an argument to be had there
This post was edited on 5/6/25 at 10:37 am
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