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The Hill: Will Harris Lose The Popular Vote?

Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:26 pm
Posted by Red Stick Rambler
https://i.imgur.com/2j5cbGm.jpg
Member since Jun 2011
2552 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:26 pm
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:27 pm to
I think so when you see how down the return % is in CA, WA, OR and you see how much closer DJT is in NY and NJ.
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
37067 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:30 pm to
I think Trump winning the popular vote is possible. I also think NY State will be closer than predicted.

What do y'all think about the Peanut factor in NY State?
Posted by USAFTiger42
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2016
3841 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:31 pm to
Not sure if PNut can save that state. Afterall this is the state that charged Trump.
Posted by Wildcat1996
Lexington, KY
Member since Jul 2020
10381 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:32 pm to
Would be the first time since Bush '88?

Is that really correct?
Posted by vl100butch
Ridgeland, MS
Member since Sep 2005
37067 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:33 pm to
I don't think P'nut can save NY State, but he could swing some votes toward Trump or keep some voters demoralized and home.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:33 pm to
I will say anecdotally that there are now (sadly) as many Harris yard signs in my general vicinity as there were Biden signs in 2020. The Biden signs were up way sooner if that matters.

Also I remain blessed that my 14-house cul de sac has never had a political yard sign in the 6 years I've lived here. No HOA preventing it, either. We just don't do that in this little circle.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59878 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Would be the first time since Bush '88?

Is that really correct?


I'm assuming you are talking about a republican winning the popular vote, it happened in 2004.

2004 election
Posted by Wildcat1996
Lexington, KY
Member since Jul 2020
10381 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:36 pm to
Thanks. I had forgotten that Lurch lost the popular vote.
Posted by wareagle7298
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2013
3651 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:36 pm to
Really need to reign in the expectations here i.e New York. They went 59-36 to Hillary and 60-37 to Biden. You underestimate the total amount of dumb asses in that one big city (that rules over the rest of the state). You also have to remember all the policies and crime that have sent hundreds of thousands of people to move to other states. If Trump gets 40% of the vote it is a victory in that state.
Posted by SirWinston
Say NO to War
Member since Jul 2014
104464 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

If Trump gets 40% of the vote it is a victory in that state.


I'm pretty confident that he'll do better than ever % wise in NY and that Harris will get nowhere near the sheer quantity of NY votes that Biden received.
Posted by VoxDawg
Glory, Glory
Member since Sep 2012
77483 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:39 pm to
LFG
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476357 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

I think so when you see how down the return % is in CA, WA, OR and you see how much closer DJT is in NY and NJ.


DEM enthusiasm is terrible and 2024 will be putrid compared to 2020 turnout
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476357 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

that Harris will get nowhere near the sheer quantity of NY votes that Biden received.


Yes, yes....kill the fraud narrative for me, SirWinston.

You may get me on board hating the cuck caps if you get the crazies to read the data properly comparing 24 and 20
Posted by bamaguy17
Member since Jul 2022
1282 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:41 pm to
Dems picked up 22 million votes in 20 years
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23222 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:41 pm to
Will Trump win NY? No.

Could Trump make it close enough to flip house seats? Possibly.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
25893 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:42 pm to
No one thinks he will win NY, but if he does better and she does worst it can be big for the PV.
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51747 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:42 pm to
14 house culdesac?

Must be some tiny places. I live in a culdesac house. There are three homes.
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
14437 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:42 pm to
Washington state?

That state seems lost politically for good
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23222 posts
Posted on 11/4/24 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

You underestimate the total amount of dumb asses in that one big city

It’s not just NYC.

It’s Buffalo, Rochester, Albany and the marxists driving Subarus in the finger lakes.
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