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Texas folks... what's your gut feeling on Paxton's chances?

Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:02 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
14348 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:02 am
The early voting data so far is making me more worried that Talafreako is going to win. If it had to guess today, Abbott wins by 3-5 points and the Senate race is a coin flip won by <1 point.
Posted by BurlesonCountyAg
Member since Jan 2014
5646 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:04 am to
Talarico, I call him Talafreako, he doesn’t have a chance
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
100316 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:05 am to
Leaning Paxton for the very thin win.

Very thin.
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
11784 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:06 am to
based on the number of signs outside the voting building yesterday, Paxton had about a 100 to 1 advantage over Talericho.
Posted by 3nOut
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Jan 2013
32964 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:06 am to
thin win either way, but still feeling like the weirdo wins unfortunately.

Abbott has H1B'd and tax breaked California companies enough to give the state away.
Posted by BoomerandSooner
Top of Texas
Member since Sep 2025
3863 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:08 am to
Not for me to say, I can't predict the future. I am voting for Paxton along with my sisters who already early voted because they live in Dallas suburbs. We find out November 3rd.

Posted by 3nOut
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Jan 2013
32964 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:12 am to
quote:

based on the number of signs outside the voting building yesterday, Paxton had about a 100 to 1 advantage over Talericho.




i live in a red town/county and my area is 20:1 in favor of Talrico. But I live in an artsy historic district.
Posted by FluffyBunnyFeet
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2014
4159 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Texas folks... what's your gut feeling on Paxton's chances?

He's going to win, and then we'll get another round of 'Texas turning blue' horseshite in two years.
Posted by Timeoday
Easter Island
Member since Aug 2020
28094 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:15 am to
Paxton by 8 - 10 easily.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
14348 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:18 am to
if you believe this you can make like 10X in the prediction markets. I think a safer bet would be betting NO on Talarico winning by more than 3 points, that earns you about 1.75X on your money.
Posted by Spocks Brain
Member since Nov 2025
554 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:21 am to
Last 3 Senate races in Texas:


GOP margin
2018 — Ted Cruz vs. Beto O’Rourke
4,260,553. 4,045,632 214,921
2020 — John Cornyn vs. MJ Hegar
5,962,983 4,888,764. 1,074,219
2024 — Ted Cruz vs. Colin Allred
5,990,741 5,031,249. 959,492
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 10:23 am
Posted by HogBalls
Member since Nov 2014
9454 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:22 am to
Unfortunately the freak wins. Brainwashed youth and bat shite white women will turn out to vote like never before.
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
23560 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:23 am to
quote:

Texas folks... what's your gut feeling on Paxton's chances?


I think he loses and Bo French loses. Abbot and Patrick ( ) are reelected.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
14219 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:26 am to
Nobody knows.
Posted by BearCrocs
Member since Aug 2013
8945 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:27 am to
It's unfortunate, but it will come down to liberal women vs conservative women.

They are going to absolutely show up for Talarico in the metro metro areas, it's can we get enough women to vote in the rural areas.

Paxton is painted as a slime ball and women in general, don't like that.

Talarico is painted as the typical liberal left dem, and conservative women don't like that.

Will be close.

Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
41102 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:30 am to
Freako has it locked up, it’s over
Posted by FATBOY TIGER
Valhalla
Member since Jan 2016
14302 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:31 am to
Bush cartel would be happy with the split but, French will win and Paxton will be close.

Abbott and Patrick are who they are but, far better than the 2 bitches running against them.
Posted by MSMHater
Houston
Member since Oct 2008
23560 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Abbott and Patrick are who they are but, far better than the 2 bitches running against them


I, generally, don't mind Abbot. But he and Patrick essentially centralized all of the decison making on data centers and transmission lines in Austin. Removing any local authority or input. For a supposed conservative gov't, I feel that's pretty inexcusable. They will still win. Closer than most people expect though.
This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 10:37 am
Posted by texas tortilla
houston
Member since Dec 2015
5153 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:39 am to
Trump having to go to lubbock is not a good sign. It will be close.
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
31269 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 10:42 am to
When the Real Texans vote they (we) will send the little freak back into his underground homosexual lifestyle.


The Dems will turn on him too, once he loses and isn't a useful idiot to them anymore.
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