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re: Stock Market is about to drop 20-40% - are you nervous?

Posted on 9/18/22 at 7:47 pm to
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 7:47 pm to
If you believe that why would you be nervous when you could get rich from it?
Posted by JColtF
Lake Charles, LA
Member since Aug 2008
4749 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 9:37 pm to
"The stock market crash is [Trump, Climate Change, and/or some combination Racism, Sexism Transphobia etc. -MSM"
Posted by mtb010
San Antonio
Member since Sep 2009
4368 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 9:42 pm to
Been placing my money in building a small farm on my property. Also, a whole bunch of seeds, ammo, and fresh water.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
11143 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 9:50 pm to
quote:

Yeah, you can go to cash. Why lose it in the market and take the inflation hit?? I'd rather just take the inflation hit only.

This always makes me laugh.

Scenario 1: Invest $100 that will lose 20% and then get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $65

Scenario 2: Sit on $100 and get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $82.

I’m not happy with either but if those are my options I’ll stick with scenario 2 and use the $17 to invest when the dust settles.

Inflation is going to screw us no matter what you do, no reason to compound a bad situation by investing in a market with incredible headwinds and a clueless administration running things in DC.
Posted by Townedrunkard
Member since Jan 2019
8754 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Morons on the left would have you believe this is all Trumps fault.


Go read the comments on Facebook on an anti Biden article. They truly believe everything is so bad all because of Trump and Biden is having to pass all these bills to fix it. Absolutely retarded people.
Posted by LRB1967
Tennessee
Member since Dec 2020
15482 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 10:36 pm to
I knew this was going to happen over a year ago. Nothing to do but try to ride it out.
Posted by AUFANATL
Member since Dec 2007
3856 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 10:48 pm to

Ypu can also limit the damage of inflation by controlling your spending habits. I'm nursing an old car, cooking all of my meals at home, streaming movies instead of going to the theatre, getting my hair cut at a new barber, drinking beer on a friends porch instead of going out and taking cheap trips to stay with friends and family instead of full blown vacations. All of that sucks - FJB - but it has at least softened the blow.

There's nothing you can do to control the stock market. You either pull your money out (often with tax consequences) or you watch it rise and fall while sweating.

It's like the difference between driving a car and sitting in the back of a plane.
Posted by Drizzt
Cimmeria
Member since Aug 2013
12857 posts
Posted on 9/18/22 at 11:27 pm to
I’ve been going cash the last month. Set sell orders at higher prices to capitalize on variability but I’ve liquidated about 20% so far of non retirement holdings.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
10144 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 2:44 am to
quote:

All of that sucks

Sounds like good living to me.
Posted by davidsheroes
Los Angeles
Member since May 2007
3523 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:38 am to
How low can it go?
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61136 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:42 am to
Only a tick down for now.
Posted by ocelot4ark
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2009
12458 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:42 am to
Buy, buy, buy.
Posted by LSUAngelHere1
Watson
Member since Jan 2018
8119 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:45 am to
Same here
Posted by LSUAngelHere1
Watson
Member since Jan 2018
8119 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:47 am to
quote:

Go read the comments on Facebook on an anti Biden article. They truly believe everything is so bad all because of Trump and Biden is having to pass all these bills to fix it. Absolutely retarded people.

Bot farms activated
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39123 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:52 am to
quote:

I guess the metals market is pretty good but you can't eat gold.

Ha! Y'all are Saps! I bought $350,000 on August 11, 2020. You can quickly detect that point on the price graph because it was 24 hours after the highest peak. It's been steadily downhill since. About -20%
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39123 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 8:56 am to
quote:

I've missed two "bottoms" before because I could never gauge where the bottom actually was, so I'm just steady buying on the way down this time.


That's smart!
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
27320 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 9:02 am to
quote:

Scenario 1: Invest $100 that will lose 20% and then get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $65

Scenario 2: Sit on $100 and get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $82.


Or do like smart investors and keep cash, reverse index funds and buy as the market drops then make bank when it recovers eventually.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39123 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 9:04 am to
quote:

Scenario 1: Invest $100 that will lose 20% and then get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $65

Scenario 2: Sit on $100 and get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $82.
quote:

Scenario 1: Invest $100 that will lose 20% and then get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $65

Scenario 2: Sit on $100 and get hit with 18% inflation.
Outcome = you now have $82.


There are two problems with this. Tax implications make scenario #2 worse than you portray. And no one knows that the market is going down. If I knew the market was going down this year, not only would I have not done scenario 1, but I would have shorted and made a fortune. That's scenario 3, and it's way better than 1 or 2...if only I knew.
Posted by idlewatcher
County Jail
Member since Jan 2012
78946 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 9:16 am to
quote:

In a mattress


I used to work with a Vietnamese guy right after college. We became baws and one day we were going to grab lunch and he asked me to come help him with a dining room light.

After I got him fixed up, he said "hey, come have a look". He moved his mattress out of the way and there was $400K in cash money under his mattress in a false compartment

He escaped VN on a bamboo raft and headed to Singapore. When asked why he kept that much cash under his mattress, he said he didn't trust banks Hope he never has a fire.
Posted by minister of truth
Somewhere new for 6-12 months
Member since May 2022
1138 posts
Posted on 9/19/22 at 9:19 am to
picking a bottom is tough - in my experience it's more difficult than picking a peak

buying on the way down is buying at a discount if the market does what it has always done in the past - rise to new levels. Just don't know when that will be. No one can predict with persistent accuracy the market peaks or bottoms. Don't expect to be able to do so yourself. I learned the hard way by missing out on several profitable market rallies

Remember the old adage:

Bulls make money
Bears make money
Pigs get slaughtered
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