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re: So everyone be honest, how do you feel about Trump’s chances?

Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:23 pm to
Posted by geaux88
Northshore, LA
Member since Oct 2003
16355 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

TBoy




quote:

It really feels like Trump is behind. Before the last election there was clear momentum for Trump at this point. I don’t get that feeling this time around. Trump may still win, but it feels like this one is slipping away.



Posted by Duzz
Houston
Member since Feb 2008
10219 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:26 pm to
Trump is going to win. At this point in time than last time, I never saw so many hispanic, black , heck even gays openly stump for Trump.

It was pretty much damn near unheard of back in 2015 and 16. Finding blacks and Latino that openly supported him was hard enough but GAY people? Pfff yeah right.

Posted by geaux88
Northshore, LA
Member since Oct 2003
16355 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:31 pm to
quote:

1) a lot of posters will disappear

2) some people will chalk it up to fraud with zero substantial evidence. This is my biggest concerns in the country. There’s way too many fake stories that get circulated and people without critical thinking skills end up believing them.


You just perfectly described bubble dwelling fart sniffing democrat supporters.
Posted by MrFizzle
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2012
496 posts
Posted on 10/25/20 at 11:37 pm to
quote:

You just perfectly described bubble dwelling fart sniffing democrat supporters.



I’d say it’s a problem prevalent in all political spectrums across the world right now
Posted by Mrtommorrow1987
Twilight Zone
Member since Feb 2008
13454 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 6:59 am to
LINK

Here
Posted by Vacherie Saint
Member since Aug 2015
46245 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 7:52 am to
You start with an incumbent. They are reelected 80% of the time.
Then you look at his viability. His approvals are high, and hes trusted most on the central issue; the economy.
Then you look at his opponent: he's not as strong a candidate as HRC and he's got a major scandal to deal with.
Then you look at the electorate: his base is juiced. 30% more enthusiasm. People think they are beter off than 4 years ago. The energy and attendance at his events are 1000 to 1 better than Biden. And republican voters are generally bucking early voting trends whenre it matters. He is also outperforming with black and Hispanic voters, votes that come right out of the dems back pockets.

If there were no polls commissioned by fake news media, there would be nothing signaling a Biden win.
Posted by Floating Change Up
Member since Dec 2013
12883 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:34 am to
quote:

believe more people are voting in 2020 so it comes down to which party motivates their constituents to get out and vote..

Mi think this is the incorrect take. Both bases are fired up beyond anything I’ve ever seen.

This election comes down to the true independent voters. How many of them will be “errr mug gad, Trump is a Russian racist!” And how many will be, “best policy maker gets my vote.”

That is where this election will be decided.

And I truly have no clue how this will play out.
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
71120 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:48 am to
Is say 85/15 that he wins. I dont think there could be enough cheating to overcome the trump enthusiasm. All the trump voters i know are voting.
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34407 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:52 am to
quote:

The people I know that are openly voting Biden are 100% minority or under 30


any side that needs the under 30 vote is gonna lose. they never show up to vote, and this year is going to be no different
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
76964 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 8:54 am to
Trafalgar dude pretty much made me feel like %100 he wins the election; 10% they steal it with cheating.
Posted by Concerned Senior
New England
Member since Oct 2020
771 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:03 am to
In 2016 I woke to a major surprise, ie. Trump won. This year I'm afraid my worst fears will be realized as I doubt if my luck will translate into another Trump win. I've already resigned myself to the hit my IRA's will suffer as a result but pray that the Dems. won't destroy my town with low income housing madness.
Posted by MickeyLikesDags21
Member since Apr 2019
6641 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:06 am to
quote:

This election comes down to the true independent voters. How many of them will be “errr mug gad, Trump is a Russian racist!” And how many will be, “best policy maker gets my vote.”


This is where my optimism is coming from.

I think if you're independent you have enough head on your shoulders to look through all of the BS. They haven't given in to the tribalism that plagues both sides of the aisle. The majority of these independents look at policy and when you compare the two policies I don't think it's close.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:06 am to
I love these threads. It makes it much easier to bookmark.
Posted by riccoar
Arkansas
Member since Mar 2006
4692 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:11 am to
Trafalgar has him up in Michigan with Minn and WI as being toss-ups. Pennsylvania he's within 1 point.

Reminder, Biden must win all 4 of these states to win. Trump simply needs one of those 4.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
27595 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 9:47 am to
quote:

You cannot be a concern troll after you post all the other shrill bullshite you post.


I'm not concerned about Trump. I hope he gets escorted out of the White House by the Secret Service.
Posted by 93and99
Dayton , Oh / Allentown , Pa
Member since Dec 2018
14400 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:16 am to
quote:

TBoy


It must suck to be poor.
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
23313 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:19 am to
If Biden wins, this country is screwed!
If Trump wins, we have 4 more years for greatness!
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
7943 posts
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:20 am to
He'll get more % of the vote this time than last time, Could be a landslide.
Posted by Lsujacket66
Member since Dec 2010
5035 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 2:52 am to
He wins the same states + Nevada
Posted by TomBuchanan
East Egg, Long Island
Member since Jul 2019
6269 posts
Posted on 10/27/20 at 2:57 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/2/23 at 11:27 pm
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