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re: Shreveport Mayor runoff election

Posted on 12/9/22 at 12:01 pm to
Posted by ksayetiger
Centenary Gents
Member since Jul 2007
70319 posts
Posted on 12/9/22 at 12:01 pm to
Tarver is as corrupt as they come. Thay is why JBE supports him
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117509 posts
Posted on 12/9/22 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

I know S. La. has a good number of "black" people like that, but I didn't realize N. La. did.


It's Shreveport and Monroe. Bossier and Ruston are doing fine.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40803 posts
Posted on 12/9/22 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

The other black mayors who got in bed with TA are trying to hold on to what they think is power. Tarver will prevail and prove to them who the most powerful black man is in the City of Shreveport.

Tarver will unite the black community in a landslide win.



I just don't get that feeling.

quote:


Primary Results:

Republican Tom Arceneaux 14,709 28.46%
Democratic Gregory Tarver 12,202 23.61%
Independent Mario Chavez 9,458 18.30%
Democratic Adrian Perkins (incumbent) 9,090 17.59%
Democratic LeVette Fuller 5,029 9.73%
Democratic Tracy Mendels 379 0.73%
Democratic Darryl Ware 298 0.58%
Libertarian Lauren Ray Anderson 233 0.45%
Republican Melvin Slack 147 0.28%
Independent Julius Romano 132 0.26%
Total votes 51,677 100%


Put Arceneaux's 28.6% with Chavez' 18.3% and you're at 46.76%.

Fuller and Perkins endorsed Arceneaux so you only have to pull 3.25% from their combined 27.32% to get over 50.1%.

Now let's look at turnout. Shreveport had 51.677 total votes in the primary. Only 7000 early votes have been cast in the runoff. That's low and we know early voting favors democrats.

As I mentioned, Arceneaux's voters are motivated and Tarver's are more lack luster. Sprinkle in the rain tomorrow and I don't see how Arceneaux loses.

This post was edited on 12/9/22 at 1:47 pm
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
15632 posts
Posted on 12/9/22 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

Now let's look at turnout. Shreveport had 51.677 total votes in the primary. Only 7000 early votes have been cast in the runoff. That's low and we know early voting favors democrats.

As I mentioned, Arceneaux's voters are motivated and Tarver's are more lack luster. Sprinkle in the rain tomorrow and I don't see how Arceneaux loses.


Black churches and preachers don’t bother with the first round of primary elections. They organize for the runoffs. Be careful pulling numbers and percentages from November elections because historically the December turnout nullifies those numbers.

Tarver is ahead in early voting, and I’d be shocked if those numbers don’t increase throughout Election Day tomorrow.
Posted by Ole Boy
Member since Dec 2018
937 posts
Posted on 12/9/22 at 7:16 pm to
Both POS politicians nothing will be gained.
Posted by Keltic Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2006
21981 posts
Posted on 12/9/22 at 8:45 pm to
"That's why JBE supports him". Tarver & EWE were in bed together going back decades. He's as corrupt as any of EWE's cronies.
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40803 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 10:40 am to
Tarver riding dirty…

Posted by White Bear
probably
Member since Jul 2014
17594 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Is that guy really black or is this one of them Homer Plessy situations?
he says “Battin Rueydge” so…
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102302 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:04 pm to
Arceneaux won early voting 6,578-5,157 (56%)


There's 5 precincts in so far

Highland Line Av area: 200-29 Arceneaux

Queensborough: 114-22 Tarver

Hollywood/Linwood: 157-27 Tarver

Allendale-Lakeside: 71-11 Tarver

Fair Park: 115-30 Tarver



Black vote is overwhelmingly Tarver at this point. Not a good trend even though it's a small sample.

This post was edited on 12/10/22 at 9:05 pm
Posted by lsursb
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
12306 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:41 pm to
John Couvillion just called the race for Arceneaux. Did Shreveport actually elect a Republican mayor???
Posted by austin2015
Member since Feb 2015
609 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:42 pm to
Target has already given a concession speech
Posted by 9Fiddy
19th Hole
Member since Jan 2007
66956 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Shreveport actually elect a Republican mayor???

A republican mayor endorsed by the last 3 democratic mayors so I’m not sure what they’ve actually accomplished.
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102302 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

Did Shreveport actually elect a Republican mayor???


100% reporting

Arceneaux 20,724 56.37%
Tarver 16,040 43.63%
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40803 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:44 pm to
KSLA has called it for Arceneaux 56% vs Tarver 44% with 99% reporting.
Posted by bricksandstones
Member since Nov 2015
1712 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 9:47 pm to
I’m shocked.
Posted by Twenty 49
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2014
21314 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 10:01 pm to
Tom is a lifelong Republican and a strong Christian, but unlike many in that crowd he is not racist at all. He will likely have as many black folks in his administration as a democrat winner would. He is a good, honest guy.

The city is broke, so I’m not sure anyone could do much to turn it around, but Tom gives us as much hope as possible.
Posted by JumpingTheShark
America
Member since Nov 2012
24833 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 10:07 pm to
I voted for Tom but doubted entirely he would win. I am very, very glad he did. Tarver is so corrupt.
Posted by LSUGUMBO
Shreveport, LA
Member since Sep 2005
9747 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

A republican mayor endorsed by the last 3 democratic mayors so I’m not sure what they’ve actually accomplished


They all had an axe to grind with Tarver. Obviously Perkins, and I’m sure Tarver and Heavy G didn’t play nice down in Baton Rouge. My bet is that it was more of a ‘frick You’ to Tarver than a ‘Arceneaux is the right man for the job’. Regardless, I bet that was the tipping point.
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
15632 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 10:13 pm to
The incumbent was so widely despised that the overwhelming majority wanted him gone.

That opened the door for Areceneaux and other candidates to rally support. Perkins tenure also created rifts within local Dem and Black political circles. There wasn’t a unified front, which is unprecedented with an incumbent mayor.

Tarver has a lot of enemies, especially locally. Tarver’s legislative agenda in BR often clashes with local Democrat’s plans.

Democrats couldn’t rally behind Perkins. Republicans did with Arceneaux, allowing him to make the runoff. Then Democrats couldn’t rally behind Tarver either. A perfect storm.
Posted by Captain Rumbeard
Member since Jan 2014
7095 posts
Posted on 12/10/22 at 10:22 pm to
Yeah, but even Perkins endorsed Arceneaux at the end. He even thanked him in the acceptance speech.

And I missed this thread so I just launched another thread on this subject. My bad.
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