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re: Prof. Jiang's Eerily Scary Iran War Breakdown and Predictions --Big Losers & Winners

Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:50 pm to
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108971 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

You really believe real-time projections and analyses are "propaganda


Do I believe the s guy is slanted towards propaganda? Without question I do.
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
7917 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

You really believe real-time projections and analyses are "propaganda"? (Without watching any of Jiang's interviews and blackboarding out scenarios?)

You think that it isn't? Do you know how propaganda works?
quote:

Jiang's interviews and blackboarding out scenarios

You do realize that anything can seem likely when people pull you in and you don't question their assumptions.

Lord of the Rings is perfectly logical once you accept the premise.

We have people who have been brainwashed into saying in public that they want kids dicks cut off.
Posted by epbart
new york city
Member since Mar 2005
3325 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:52 pm to
Someone started a thread about Prof. Jiang on the OT earlier this week. As I said in that thread, he can be entertaining and thought-provoking. But take him with a grain of salt.

After that thread, I ended up listening to a couple more of his videos this week and I definitely disagree with some of his analysis-- especially when he starts riffing on how China is not much of a threat (not surprising, though, as I think he's currently living there). He also oversimplifies some ideas like how the asymmetrical advantage of Iran's cheap drones present a challenge... but framing it such that the US cannot defeat them due to this. I disagree. It's absolutely a concern and may result in failure-- if combined with heavy Shia resistance and lack of support here in the US (a huge concern between the media and congress). But to simply assume the decentralized, amorphous nature of these drone threats automatically create an undefeatable force rings a bit more like anti-American propaganda (from a Chinese guy) than it does a battlefield certainty.

Again, I listen to the guy now and again and find him engaging... but I absolutely do not trust him in some regards. Discernment is required.
Posted by MemphisGuy
Germantown, TN
Member since Nov 2023
14664 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

You really believe real-time projections and analyses are "propaganda"? (Without watching any of Jiang's interviews and blackboarding out scenarios?)

Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
4839 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Iran is getting obliterated currently, that is an objective fact.


That is exactly what we are being told. Thousands of deaths on their side, 6 on ours.

quote:

The only takeaway is there are a lot of retards who are 5th columnists in this country


So...analysis, speculation, and theoretical projections should be frowned up ("because 5th columnists in this country"?)

You have heard of the Smith-Mundt Act, right? Mockingbird Media?

Who should we listen to for "real truth"?
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
37988 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

He had made three big predictions in 2024: that Donald Trump will return in power; the second was that he would start a war with Iran

Not exactly seismic.

Without the corrvid mail-in ballot nonsense, Trump was going to win office in '24. We didn't know that the fraud would be (mostly) prevented, but we knew Trump would win if the fraud was significantly limited.

Also, we didn't start the war. Iran did, decades ago. We just didn't finish it until now.

I'm worried though because we're essentially imploring the Persian people to fight and reclaim their country from the regime, and I'm not seeing videos of them doing so. An army of Kurds joining the ground game is certainly a boon, but the Persian people themselves (actual victims of regime subjugation) are going to have to step it up.
Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
4839 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:00 pm to
Keep on watching Fox News. Or whomever.

I'm sure they wouldn't lie to you.

You guys

Don't know what y'all are afraid of, but I know this -- between Mockingbird Media and the Smith-Mundt Act restriction assure us all that whatever slop is presented as "news" is exactly what you fear.
Posted by TulsaSooner78
Member since Aug 2025
2858 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

He had made three big predictions in 2024: that Donald Trump will return in power; the second was that he would start a war with Iran.


Has he not been reading the Pol board?

The war has been raging for 47 years! This is not a "new" war!

Get with the program, Professor Jiang!
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108971 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:03 pm to
They aren’t doing so because Trump told them to hunker down and to be ready to reclaim your country. The time will come for them to rise up. Then we can measure the people desire for change.
Posted by dafif
Member since Jan 2019
8420 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:07 pm to
First of all - anyone from Harvard is FOS

Second - in reading your posting over time - you appear to be another out of control screaming liberal so why not just take a few months off and come back in September with a big fat I told you so
Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
4839 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

we didn't start the war. Iran did, decades ago. We just didn't finish it until now.


Disagree. IOW for avenging the past will never end with that tact. Who owes us blood? Who else do we owe? Frankly, Fauxi and those ilk have a big bill to pay. But I digress ;-)

quote:

Without the corrvid mail-in ballot nonsense, Trump was going to win office in '24.


Of course. That's no biggie a prediction. Iran War WAS.

quote:

I'm worried though because we're essentially imploring the Persian people to fight and reclaim their country from the regime, and I'm not seeing videos of them doing so.


I thought that encouragement was strange to begin with. If there's an internet black-out we might not "see" much from them.

At that, what assurances do they have of US or other reinforcements or coordinated efforts to help? Moreover, I don't think we can fully or even partially understand the combat dynamics of "fighting back" when they as well as we are blinded.

I clearly recall when we implored the Kurds to fight back against the Iraqis in 2003? Only to hang them out to dry.

quote:

An army of Kurds joining the ground game is certainly a boon, but the Persian people themselves (actual victims of regime subjugation) are going to have to step it up.


That place is very tribal. Who know whether the Kurds would be seen as "liberators".

The problem with "subjugation" -- people get used to it. Collectively. Restrictions of freedom and even enslavement feels "safe" in an odd way. Remember "Stockholm Syndrome".

Posted by boosiebadazz
Member since Feb 2008
85624 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Jiang teaches philosophy and history in Beijing.


Do we think he would allowed to be this public with an opinion that the US could/ would win?
Posted by geoag58
Member since Nov 2011
2122 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:14 pm to
I would bet our own strategists predicted the strategy the Iranians are following . That is why they are bringing in B52's with guidable gravity bombs.

The percentage of retaliatory strike by Iran continues to drop. And the remaining launch sites are probably in population centers. I would give residents notice to vacate by a certain time and then bomb those areas. The Iranian people were told by Trump to wait for the time and that time is quickly approaching. With the people's help we can throw off the totalitarian butchers. It is now or never the people cannot allow the regime to survive.
Posted by RohanGonzales
Pronoun: Whatever
Member since Apr 2024
10643 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Keep on watching Fox News. Or whomever.


You stupid frick - you spend as much time as you do on here and you don't know how passe Fox is?
Posted by geoag58
Member since Nov 2011
2122 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:15 pm to
Did professor Jiang predict the Iranian despots would massacre over thirty thousand of their own people?
Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
4839 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

First of all - anyone from Harvard is FOS


Generally. But everyone? Did you review the material?

quote:

Second - in reading your posting over time - you appear to be another out of control screaming liberal so...


Thirdly, you seem to have missed today's dose of Midol and Vagisil.

"Screaming liberal" you say?

THAT genuinely made me laugh.
Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
4839 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

You stupid frick


quote:

RohanGonzales


Never change.

Posted by Philzilla
Member since Nov 2011
2214 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

The Illuminati

I'm out
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
89768 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

The war has been raging for 47 years! This is not a "new" war!



It’s not a new war.

For example, We were striking Irans proxies under Biden.

How were we not in war with Iran if we were doing retaliatory strikes on their proxies?

2 years ago we were fighting Iran.



This post was edited on 3/6/26 at 2:21 pm
Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
4839 posts
Posted on 3/6/26 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

Do we think he would allowed to be this public with an opinion that the US could/ would win?


Stop making common sense observations! "Free Speech"?? Constitutional HERESY!! Opinions against the grain? PROPAGANDA!!


As you no doubt note, Trump is allowing another 500,000 students into US universities. Ooof.
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