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Started By
Message
re: Our President: Sleepy Joe is already beginning to pull out of certain states!
Posted on 11/1/20 at 7:33 am to Drew Orleans
Posted on 11/1/20 at 7:33 am to Drew Orleans
And yet there are plenty of games each week without close to equal money on each side. They take stances all the time
0
Posted on 11/1/20 at 7:33 am to josh336
quote:
josh336
I love how there’s just enough wiggle room hedging in your posts that, if Trump wins, nobody will be able to really “call you out,” but if Biden does you will still be able to come on here and gloat afterward.
Nicely played.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 7:43 am to Ed Osteen
quote:
Vegas essentially assigns a power ranking to each team, uses tons of algorithms to then set lines
Yes. That is how the lines are initially set at the beginning of the week.
quote:
and finally tweaks them as they see fit
They tweak the lines as the game approaches based on the flow of money. Vegas wants even money on each side. Vegas makes money off the juice which is 10% paid by the loser. Vegas doesn’t get it perfect every time but with the law of large numbers they are making 10% from the loser over the year. There is much better profit in sports betting than 1% from the loser in blackjack.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 7:56 am to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
I love how there’s just enough wiggle room hedging in your posts that, if Trump wins, nobody will be able to really “call you out,” but if Biden does you will still be able to come on here and gloat afterward.
I wont be gloating. I honestly dont even vote. I just find the hard stances based on confirmation bias on both sides fascinating. Where logic is applied by most adults in everyday life, it goes out the window when it comes to religion and politics
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:03 am to Ed Osteen
quote:I understand that. I should have said bettors influence the movement if the line. But, my point about them not being prescient still stands.
How does a line open each week with no betting history?
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:06 am to josh336
quote:
I honestly don’t even vote
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:07 am to josh336
quote:
You do know biden is favored to win the election in vegas, right? Not saying its a guarantee or anything, but its gonna be alot closer than some of you realize
I wish Vegas had odds to bet on your IQ. Apparently you don’t know how odds are generated for gambling houses
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 8:08 am
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:10 am to Brood211
Check out 538 if you still want to live in denial. He breaks dowm the chances for both candidates for the election as a whole and per state.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:12 am to Jake88
quote:Not so, Jake.
quote:
LSU was -1.5 yesterday
This is a perfect example of Vegas not knowing shite
There are highly paid professional odds makers who possess massive inside connections, along with proven algorithms. These people start the process by formulating the opening line.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:14 am to josh336
quote:
Where logic is applied by most adults in everyday life...I honestly don’t even vote.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:15 am to josh336
quote:
Check out 538 if you still want to live in denial
Check out his odds from 2016 Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:52 am to Proximo
I would like to see where he was at this point in 2016.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:54 am to Seldom Seen
I have noticed that the constant barrage of Biden commercials stopped since yesterday here in Florida.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:55 am to josh336
quote:
Check out 538 if you still want to live in denial. He breaks dowm the chances for both candidates for the election as a whole and per state.
Just when I thought you couldn't get any dumber...yet here we are.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:57 am to josh336
Oh I have no doubt the numbers will be close, but In reality Biden isn’t favored.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:57 am to josh336
quote:
I honestly dont even vote.
Then you have no stake, so just STFU.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 8:58 am to josh336
quote:
josh336
You obviously don't understand betting lines.
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:04 am to josh336
quote:
Check out 538 if you still want to live in denial. He breaks dowm the chances for both candidates for the election as a whole and per state.
I’m not saying he will win in a landslide. Check out my post history to see where I stand. I’m just saying you are an idiot for using betting odds as a proxy for the election probability
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:14 am to josh336
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:16 am to Brood211
quote:
you are an idiot for using betting odds as a proxy for the election probability
He’s also an idiot for basing his response on 538
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 9:17 am
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