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1
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:02 pm to Magician2
Those numbers should make any Trump supporter happy. That means Trump has narrowed Biden's lead.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:03 pm to notsince98
He lost Minnesota by 45k votes
He lost NH by 2k.
He lost Nevada by 27k
Everyone loves to talk about how he barely won WI, Mi, Pa. by the same standards he almost had Nevada and NH.
I don't think he can flip Minnesota but I do think he can NH this election.
He lost NH by 2k.
He lost Nevada by 27k
Everyone loves to talk about how he barely won WI, Mi, Pa. by the same standards he almost had Nevada and NH.
I don't think he can flip Minnesota but I do think he can NH this election.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:06 pm to Magician2
quote:
Trafalgars polls
quote:
Most accurate pollster in 2016.
"The Trafalgar Group was somewhat prolific on Monday, the day before the [2016] election, releasing surveys in Florida (Trump ahead by 4 points), Michigan (Trump ahead by 2 points) and Georgia (Trump ahead by 7 points)."
How could the [2016] polling be so wrong?
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:06 pm to Magician2
quote:
I don't think he can flip Minnesota but I do think he can NH this election.
Well that Republican governor Sununu needs to work his arse off to make it happen. You know, Sununu. If you don't remember his dad, he was the one who recommended David Souter for the Supreme Court.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:08 pm to Magician2
As long as OP is ok with a thread bump in 121 days if these numbers are wrong.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:10 pm to aTmTexas Dillo
quote:
If you don't remember his dad, he was the one who recommended David Souter for the Supreme Court.
At the advice of NH Senator Warren Rudman who boasted afterwards that he "tricked" them into appointing Souter because he knew that it wasn't a conservative pick.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:11 pm to LSUbest
quote:
No way Penn is going to vote to kill their economy.
No way a traditionally democrat state is going to vote for their very own Joe Biden? Yea, no fricking way.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:13 pm to tigerpawl
quote:
"The Trafalgar Group was somewhat prolific on Monday, the day before the [2016] election, releasing surveys in Florida (Trump ahead by 4 points), Michigan (Trump ahead by 2 points) and Georgia (Trump ahead by 7 points)."
I just read that article what is even more amazing is they literally just did 1 poll for each of those states for the whole year...
I know they were a small poster then but now that they have polls cranking out sooner I hope to see more than just one.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:14 pm to Magician2
In the current climate of social media outing, doxing, and whatnot, many are simple not truthful on polls.
If it is a poll from an e-mail, that data is tracked.
If it is a poll from a call related to a personal or business phone, that data is tracked.
People realize more and more that ALL data is tracked and not protected. Your answers can and will probably be used against you in the court of public opinion.
With that in mind, I question any poll.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:16 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
It would be interesting to see their polling back in 2016 from April-August.
Unfortunately, we were having a primary then.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:17 pm to Magician2
Polls this far out are more than worthless. All it will take is one debate to get this back in Trump’s favor
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:19 pm to CoachChappy
quote:
It would be interesting to see their polling back in 2016 from April-August.
To answer your question - they had none, zero
The literally polled Mi, Pa, Fl, Ga and just did only one poll for each state and it was conducted in either late October or early November leading up to the election. I just checked RCP.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:22 pm to Magician2
That means Trump is up in every one of those states.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:23 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
much harder this time around to find people willing to answer a poll and say they are voting for Trump than it was in 2016, though.
Why? What’s the consequence?
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:33 pm to Magician2
If accurate, I see Trump taking Wisonsin and Florida. That'll put him at 263. Iowa most likely will go to Trump and give him 269 so Trump will need 1 more since the House is Dem controlled and if the Maine electorate he pulled last time comes through he's got it. If not, he will need 1 more state like New Hampshire.
I think Trump will win it IF his supporters show up.
I think Trump will win it IF his supporters show up.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:34 pm to imjustafatkid
quote:they really are, and OP is correct in saying that some people won't answer that they are for Trump
Those are all great numbers for Trump.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:03 pm to TDsngumbo
I wonder if Trump’s ads are hammering Biden’s promise to ban fracking by EO on his first day. It might be popular with progs in Philadelphia but would destroy jobs in western PA. Not to mention ND, Texas,Ohio , La, NM, Mt, and a few others.
I know the oil business is down but you ban fracking and there would be no hope as prices rise.
I know the oil business is down but you ban fracking and there would be no hope as prices rise.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:07 pm to Magician2
Before or after Mount Rushmore speech? With more Rushmore speeches, Joe doesn’t stand a chance.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:10 pm to Magician2
Just moved to PA last year. Hoping to make this purple state a littler redder.
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