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re: New Poll: Pennsylvania - Biden 48 Trump 43 (Trafalgar Group)
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:14 pm to LSUbest
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:14 pm to LSUbest
quote:
No way Penn is going to vote to kill their economy.
Sadly the central and western part of PA where the oil and gas is doesn't have the population of Eastern PA. Pittsburgh is blue as well just like the vast majority of larger cities.
2
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:21 pm to Magician2
quote:
Florida - Trump/Biden even at 46
Makes since
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:22 pm to Magician2
3 good polls and one slightly bad.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:24 pm to LB84
So basically Trump needs to win 75% of the 8 or 9 swing States. Not impossible.
The problem is he's losing in everyone of those swing States except (NC).
The problem is he's losing in everyone of those swing States except (NC).
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:24 pm to AUtigR24
quote:
The problem is he's losing in everyone of those swing States except (NC).
Source?
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:32 pm to BarnHater
NPRs latest poll has Trump polling behind in Florida, Penn, Ohio, AZ, Wisconsin, Nevada, and NH, but polling ahead in NC.
Biden is currently polling ahead in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico and Virginia too.
No shocker there except Michigan did vote Trump last go round. Barely.
He needs to win 7 of those States
Biden is currently polling ahead in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico and Virginia too.
No shocker there except Michigan did vote Trump last go round. Barely.
He needs to win 7 of those States
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:33 pm to AUtigR24
quote:
So basically Trump needs to win 75% of the 8 or 9 swing States. Not impossible.
The problem is he's losing in everyone of those swing States except (NC).
AZ
MI
PA
WI
NC
FL
OH
Are your swing states. He's winning Texas, Georgia and Iowa.
I should've included Ohio in that category as it's now a red state and he will win it by 8 points again.
Florida, North Carolina, Arizona should be his as 2 are traditionally red but are getting purple. Florida is trending red especially after 2018 and having desantis with high approvals will help.
So once again it comes down to 3 Midwest states. He only needs one to get to 270
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:34 pm to Magician2
3% is the lying factor so pa is 46-45 trump
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:46 pm to Magician2
Pennsylvania is Biden’s home state. Lots of time but this polling group is accurate
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:49 pm to Magician2
Actually, that includes the people who will NEVER say they are voting for Trump . . . but do. At least 3-4 points there.
Those polls are looking good for him.
Those polls are looking good for him.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:05 pm to AUtigR24
NPR poll 
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:31 pm to LB84
That means Trump is ahead by four points or more.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:33 pm to AUtigR24
quote:
NPRs latest poll has Trump polling behind in Florida, Penn, Ohio, AZ, Wisconsin, Nevada, and NH, but polling ahead in NC.
Yeah ok...
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:33 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
I think it is (somehow) much harder this time around to find people willing to answer a poll and say they are voting for Trump than it was in 2016, though.
This
I think people are even more scared to admit voting for Trump now vs 2016
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:44 pm to Nono
quote:
these numbers are wrong.
everything changes.
wait and see if kanye really runs.
although the typical poliboard poster failed to read the graphs correctly, 538 analysis had trump with a chance to win. percentages. not yes no.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:52 pm to Magician2
In 2016, the only thing you had to fear by being pro-Trump is being laughed at by the elitist. He had no shot at winning, and only Joe 6 pack white nationalists wanted him in office. Now, in 2020, it could cost you your livelihood, not to mention a severe tail whippin’.
Folks simply are not going to be forthcoming about being pro-Trump. Trump rolls bigly in November.
Folks simply are not going to be forthcoming about being pro-Trump. Trump rolls bigly in November.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 3:59 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 4:17 pm to MeatCleaverWeaver
yes sir Trump rolls,how can a cowering man hiding in the shadows,cant speak a coherent sentence,has no plan, be winning in a poll?unless peeps are THINKing Obama or HRC
will be controlling him
will be controlling him
Posted on 7/6/20 at 4:20 pm to CelticDog
quote:
538 analysis had trump with a chance to win. percentages. not yes no.
Hence, all polls are bullshite because they are never "wrong" unless they go 100%-0% in the wrong direction
just like the weatherman
How's that 4 weeks thing going? You people sure are hard to embarrass
Posted on 7/6/20 at 4:59 pm to Magician2
quote:
Every poll to you is bullshite.
This fricking pollster is the only one that fricking called trump winning Michigan and Pennsylvania. They literally predicted 306 electoral votes the day before the election.
its July
Posted on 7/6/20 at 5:25 pm to Hamma1122
quote:
Pennsylvania is Biden’s home state. Lots of time but this polling group is accurate
Please stop with this talking point. No one in Pennsylvania considers Biden a Pennsylvanian, he’s been in Delaware since he was 10 years old. The Biden/Pennsylvania thing is overblown. I’d argue that Trump has a stronger and more recent connection due to his time at Wharton, his two oldest boys going to prep school outside of Philadelphia, and Ivanka, Don Jr and Tiffany going to Penn.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 5:30 pm
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