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New Poll: Pennsylvania - Biden 48 Trump 43 (Trafalgar Group)
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:35 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:35 pm
Trafalgars polls so far
Florida - Trump/Biden even at 46
Michigan - Biden 45 Trump 44
Wisconsin - Trump 45 Biden 44
LINK
Most accurate pollster in 2016.
Florida - Trump/Biden even at 46
Michigan - Biden 45 Trump 44
Wisconsin - Trump 45 Biden 44
quote:
PENNSYLVANIA Biden 48% Trump 43% @trafalgar_group
LINK
Most accurate pollster in 2016.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 12:39 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:36 pm to Magician2
You misspelled bullshite.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:36 pm to Magician2
Trump just needs to win one of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Minnesota.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:38 pm to Eat Your Crow
I don’t see Minnesota happening. I think Trump wins Wisconsin. Michigan and Penn up for grabs.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:38 pm to Magician2
They weren’t this close prior to 2016 where they?
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:41 pm to BobBoucher
I believe this is the poll that basically nailed the electoral vote in 2016. However, they had a few states flip-flopped to get to the exact result (they had Wisconsin for Hillary).
I think it is (somehow) much harder this time around to find people willing to answer a poll and say they are voting for Trump than it was in 2016, though.
The polls, as a whole, are going to be astronomically off.
I think it is (somehow) much harder this time around to find people willing to answer a poll and say they are voting for Trump than it was in 2016, though.
The polls, as a whole, are going to be astronomically off.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:42 pm to bamarep
quote:
You misspelled bull shite.
Every poll to you is bullshite.
This fricking pollster is the only one that fricking called trump winning Michigan and Pennsylvania. They literally predicted 306 electoral votes the day before the election.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:43 pm to Magician2
quote:
This fricking pollster is the only one that fricking called trump winning Michigan and Pennsylvania. They literally predicted 306 electoral votes the day before the election.
It would be interesting to see their polling back in 2016 from April-August. I would love to see how much the gap closed between then and their last release before the election.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:44 pm to Magician2
No way Penn is going to vote to kill their economy.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:44 pm to Magician2
quote:
This fricking pollster is the only one that fricking called trump winning Michigan and Pennsylvania. They literally predicted 306 electoral votes the day before the election.
What did their polls show before the debates 4 years ago?
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:45 pm to Eat Your Crow
quote:
It would be interesting to see their polling back in 2016 from April-August. I would love to see how much the gap closed between then and their last release before the election.
I imagine it did. But this pollster deserves the benefit of the doubt when it comes to trump and polling. Anything can chance.
The polls they've put out have been great if you are in trumps camp.
Especially with Covid and Floyd protests. All the other polls have trump down 15 points nationally to Biden and 20 points under water in approval. It's nice to seem something else that is more reflective of his chances.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:46 pm to Magician2
I prefer the open polls on Twitter where white woke liberals get surprised with their uncensored polls
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:49 pm to Magician2
quote:
I imagine it did. But this pollster deserves the benefit of the doubt when it comes to trump and polling. Anything can chance.
The polls they've put out have been great if you are in trumps camp.
Especially with Covid and Floyd protests. All the other polls have trump down 15 points nationally to Biden and 20 points under water in approval. It's nice to seem something else that is more reflective of his chances.
Agreed.
The farther we get from Covid/Floyd, the better Trump will poll. This is a good baseline in states like Florida and Wisconsin, and even Michigan. If Trump isn't really losing in those states after all that's happened, he's likely going to sweep all three, in my opinion.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:49 pm to Magician2
Those are all great numbers for Trump.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:49 pm to Magician2
Pennsylvania worries me some because the whole “I’m from Scranton” BS. If I were Trump I would hit that narrative hard. He left you high and dry as a young man, Senator and VP but now he says he’s going to do wonderful things for you.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:52 pm to Magician2
If you give Trump the six points Rasmussen gives him in his favor due to people openly not saying they will vote for Trump. Then he’s in very very good shape in all these states and overall.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:55 pm to Magician2
May God instill wisdom upon the swing voters minds!
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