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re: New Nevada numbers out minutes ago: GOP lead jumps big

Posted on 10/29/24 at 5:56 am to
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
83766 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 5:56 am to
quote:

New Nevada numbers out minutes ago: GOP lead jumps big


Why are we so focused on Nevada? Trump doesn't need it to win.

I'm guessing bc its one of a few that are releasing stats


The focus needs to be on Pennsylvania, that is the key to the WH unless there is a mixture of others flopping to her and vice versa.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
22807 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 6:12 am to
The ballot machine for the Dems is going to melt down from its 24/7 printing it will need to do
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
19251 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 6:14 am to
We’re going to end up with a bunch of blue counties in swing states with 150% turnout.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
22807 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 6:14 am to
That’s great news, would be even better if the low propensity voters are making up the new early vote and the older early vote becomes part of our Election Day wall
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9965 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 6:17 am to
People are shitting all over Jon Ralston but I respect him. He doesn't sugarcoat his numbers and offers definitive statistical analysis to back up his arguments. He may be a liberal but he's not a sunshine pumper or an unrealistic cheerleader.

As a fellow stats and data guy, I appreciate the transparency and unbiased analysis. It must pain him tremendously to put all of this into his blog updates but he does it anyway.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
39853 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 6:20 am to
quote:

Why are we so focused on Nevada? Trump doesn't need it to win.


Looking for trends I guess.

GA, MI, and I think PA don’t track registrations.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100763 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 6:43 am to
What is Ralston worried about? Clark mail won’t come in until Wednesday night and it will come in batches of 100k votes all for Harris because the voters almost forgot to send them out until last minute
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