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re: New Louisiana poll: JBE 48 Rispone 46 Undecided 6
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:56 pm to Mickey Goldmill
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:56 pm to Mickey Goldmill
All recent polls show JBE with a 2-3.5% lead over Rispone. Combined with the large black early voter turnout, it appears JBE has the edge at this point.
0
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:58 pm to TigersSEC2010
Don't think so. Even if Rispone gets 2/3s of the undecideds, the race is essentially tied.
This post was edited on 11/11/19 at 4:59 pm
Posted on 11/11/19 at 4:58 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Wrong. Many Abraham voters will either vote JBE or not at all. Rispone's smear campaign against Dr Abraham cemented that.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:00 pm to TigersSEC2010
The undecideds never break to the incumbent
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:00 pm to LSUgrad1998
This poll is showing JBE will get somewhere between 10-15% of the Abraham vote. This is probably about how it will end up.
This post was edited on 11/11/19 at 5:03 pm
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:00 pm to LSUgrad1998
quote:
Wrong. Many Abraham voters will either vote JBE or not at all. Rispone's smear campaign against Dr Abraham cemented that.
Then why does Rispone have 46% now?
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:01 pm to saints5021
Lsugrad is a fricking clown ... like your liberal arse understands an Abraham voter
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:03 pm to saints5021
quote:
Lsugrad is a fricking clown ... like your liberal arse understands an Abraham voter
I mean, the poll asked that specific question and 10% of Abraham voters said they were voting for JBE this time.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:05 pm to SirWinston
quote:
We think first precincts / early voting will look good for JBE and then like in Kentucky Rispone will rally
No. The early votes are rural with the urban centers coming in after. Last to come in are always urban black areas in Baton Rouge and then lastly New Orleans East.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:07 pm to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
I mean, the poll asked that specific question and 10% of Abraham voters said they were voting for JBE this time.
Sure but compare that to:
quote:
Wrong. Many Abraham voters will either vote JBE or not at all. Rispone's smear campaign against Dr Abraham cemented that.
I don't think 10% counts as "many" in most semi-literate coherent minds.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:07 pm to Rock the Casbah
If the idiots of Louisiana give the sloth another four years, this state is fricked. We’re losing the productive citizens by the assload on a daily basis. We’re almost left with nothing but liberals and leeches.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:08 pm to saints5021
54% approval rating is damn good. JBE wins 52-48%.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:08 pm to Cosmo
quote:It's the way they ask the question, it's difficult to answer no/negative towards JBE. something like "Does a budget surplus for LA sound good." They called me a month or so ago asking similarly-structured questions about JBE's "accomplishments", I answered honestly knowing it would help JBE in the polls and I'm no fan of JBE.
The biggest shocker to me is the 54% approval for JBE Insanity
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:11 pm to jcole4lsu
quote:
54/38 approval rating tells me JBE probably squeaks out the slimmest of victories. Thats a hard number for a challenger to overcome.
No incumbent Governor has ever won a runoff, that's a hard number for an incumbent to overcome.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:12 pm to LSUgrad1998
I think this is pretty close to where it'll end up.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:13 pm to saints5021
quote:
understands an Abraham voter
The ones in the 5th Congressional district that Abraham represents and others in NW Louisiana that know of him very well understand quite well. Now the southern supporters may go more for Rispone, but not the North. Why do you think Trump is visiting Monroe and Shreveport? I assure you that of the Abraham voters across North Louisiana, JBE will get more than 10% of them.
This post was edited on 11/11/19 at 5:17 pm
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:15 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
If that's what the polls are saying then Rispone got this. I also see.Rispone signs eveverywhere but I've yet to see one sign for JBE.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:17 pm to Seldom Seen
Perhaps, you are not in the right neighborhoods 
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:23 pm to TigersSEC2010
quote:
If the idiots of Louisiana give the sloth another four years, this state is fricked.
Yep, will raise taxes on what's left of Louisiana. I'll be looking to relocate.
Posted on 11/11/19 at 5:28 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Rispone needs to hammer on the abortion issue. Call the ad actions over words and focus on JBE's pro-choice appointments.
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