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re: Nate Silver’s latest election model update has Kamala Harris winning for the first time

Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:30 pm to
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
66509 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:30 pm to
The polling is fake. Her initial bump happened way too fast for it to be real. She’s stagnated ever since so the only move she’s made in the polls was a fabrication.
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76602 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

Scruffy, you're the man, but this ain't it. You know damn well you can't trust these things.
Disregard Nate Silver.

This isn’t the only poll showing him slipping.
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
3997 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:33 pm to
I think Nate changed his methods after 2016 because of how fricking wrong he was
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
50951 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

There was no fight, though


Oh sure there was, in his eyes.

The minute he heard the governor wife’s story about how she wasn’t voting for him he was going to respond.

That’s just how he is, how he has always been, and how he will always be.

Any perceived slight, he will respond.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
88778 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

Trump needs to get his stuff together. He's turning back into bad Trump and it is hurting him
smh man
Posted by Covingtontiger77
Member since Dec 2015
11679 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:35 pm to
Been over since they announced she would be the one taking Joetato’s place.


I kind of look forward to what she is going to do to this country.

The people their election will hurt most are the poors that they say they are trying to help most.


Good luck Blacks

Good luck to white suburb women that vote for her. Better get that resume polished up cause you are going back to work. Does Hooters hire 45 yr old alumni that have had 3 kids and are a little sloppy around the edges?
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89766 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:36 pm to
Trump was doing “well” when the media determined that Joe Biden need to be removed. so that was the narrative, Joe has to go

Trump is not “doing well” now, as the media has decided to prop up Harris. Trump is a meanie

None of this reporting and polling is real.

Especially pay for play Nate bronze and his goofy polls.

Kemp is a GOPe phony and trump is calling him out with good reason.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

Oh sure there was, in his eyes.


My statement stands.

quote:

The minute he heard the governor wife’s story about how she wasn’t voting for him he was going to respond.

That’s just how he is, how he has always been, and how he will always be.

Any perceived slight, he will respond.

He's increasing his chances of losing again.

Losing to Biden and Kamala would be quite the accomplishment. At least McCain and Romney lost to Obama, a real heavyweight.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

Kemp is a GOPe phony and trump is calling him out with good reason.

What benefit does Trump gain from randomly attacking Kemp?
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64670 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

Ok let's assume your fantasy about treason is correct.
There sure is a lot of litigation around this fantasy. I wonder why it's been so hard to get it dismissed?

quote:

Can Trump prosecute people for treason if he loses in 2024?
Is Trump the only person this matters to in America? I figure this is fairly important to anyone that doesn't want to become the next Venezuela.

quote:

How does attacking Kemp help him accomplish the goal of winning this time?
To start the conversation with ignorant people like you on who the real enemies of this country are.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:37 pm to
quote:

Is Trump the only person this matters to in America? I


Why did you avoid answering my question

quote:

To start the conversation with ignorant people like you on who the real enemies of this country are.


Again, how does that increase his chances of winning? How does this help him?

If Trump loses GA, he isn't winning

GA is a very Republican state for any Republican not named or directly associated with Trump
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:38 pm
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64670 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Again, how does that increase his chances of winning? How does this help him?
Democracy only works with an educated voting populace. This is the education. Unlike democrats, he's not running to hoodwink retards to vote for empty calories. He actually wants people to start paying attention.
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
50951 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Susie Wiles is really good and respected. I’m critical of Trump sometimes when it comes to campaigning, but choosing her definitely isn’t one. Trump would be smart to listen to her. Thinking she sucks or is against him is saying Trump willingly put someone incompetent in charge of his campaign. The GOP wins races across the country up and down the ballot and has a lot of good strategists.


Most of them do suck. I think that’s obvious for a while now.

I personally know a guy who makes a very nice living (over $100K) as a consultant and he flat out sucks and always has work. It’s a running joke in political circles how these people never lose a job even if they never win or accomplish anything.

Now, as I said, I’m sure there’s a couple decent ones in the bunch. Hopefully Trump will listen to them but again as I said he tends to do what he wants.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22368 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:39 pm to
Brian Kemp is an enemy of this country?

We shite on Democrats when they said this stuff about Trump leading up to the assassination attempt, but I guess it’s ok to say in order to defend a dumbass move by Trump.

Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
88778 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Focusing on the issues was crushing the DEMs
The Dems we’re crushing the Dems


Now they have a fresh candidate that they can dress up and sell your side. It’s all hands on deck to create excitement. Did you not expect it to show in polls?

We’re at fever pitch honeymoon stage omg yasss Queen and you’re out here attributing shite to Trump being the exact fricking person he’s been every single day of his life.

What is wrong with you?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

Unlike democrats, he's not running to hoodwink retards to vote for empty calories.

That's literally what he's doing, and he clearly got you hooked in good
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64670 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

GA is a very Republican state for any Republican not named or directly associated with Trump
Moot point. Win Atlanta, win Georgia.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466158 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

The Dems we’re crushing the Dems


They were supporting Biden and pushing the lie about his fitness until the debate.

quote:

Now they have a fresh candidate that they can dress up and sell your side.


My side?

quote:

and you’re out here attributing shite to Trump being the exact fricking person he’s been every single day of his life.

And that person lost in 2020

quote:

What is wrong with you?

I'm telling Trump how not to lose again to a worse candidate than Biden
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89766 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

What benefit does Trump gain from randomly attacking Kemp?


gaining more support from the people inside GA that dislike Kemp of course

and the growing number of people in GA that are becoming dissatisfied with GOPe BS in their state

Kemp practically endorsed the shenanigans during 2020, with his totally passive response

frick that guy
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
64670 posts
Posted on 8/4/24 at 6:42 pm to
quote:

That's literally what he's doing, and he clearly got you hooked in good
So you're just uneducated. It's whatever we can disagree.

Trump has his entire platform posted online for anyone to see.

Where is Kamala's?
This post was edited on 8/4/24 at 6:48 pm
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