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Started By
Message
more Black and Democratic voters in the first two days speaks volumes to me.”
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:14 am
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:14 am
Quote from John Couvillon, of Baton Rouge-based JMC Analytics, in the Advocate. What do you think this means?
19
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:16 am to Jimmy2shoes
Honestly won't know until the results are out. If Trump ends up with a larger than 15% of the AA vote, then it tells you that they are sick of the Dem platform and are starting to open their eyes to think on their own.
If, it's less than 15%, then it's status quo but the AA population wanted to make sure they were able to get out to get OMB out of office.
If, it's less than 15%, then it's status quo but the AA population wanted to make sure they were able to get out to get OMB out of office.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:17 am to Jimmy2shoes
It means that they are liking early voting and want to get it out of the way. Reading anything else into it is absolutely meaningless.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:17 am to Jimmy2shoes
Nothing. This election is different because of the pandemic. It's an apples to oranges comparison. If we get to election day and turnout still blows previous elections out of the water, then there may be something we can glean from this.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:19 am to Jimmy2shoes
Seems as if John thinks that by early voting your vote counts for more than if you vote at a later time.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:30 am to Jimmy2shoes
There are two different possible takes on increased black turnout in early voting:
1. It’s indicative of greater black enthusiasm and forshadows higher than normal black turnout on election day, likely meaning more votes for democrat candidates.
2. It’s an indication that people don’t want to vote on election day, so they’re voting early to get it over with. There will be no noticeable increase or decrease in overall votes cast, just a difference in when they were cast.
1. It’s indicative of greater black enthusiasm and forshadows higher than normal black turnout on election day, likely meaning more votes for democrat candidates.
2. It’s an indication that people don’t want to vote on election day, so they’re voting early to get it over with. There will be no noticeable increase or decrease in overall votes cast, just a difference in when they were cast.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:32 am to Jake88
quote:
It means that they are liking early voting and want to get it out of the way.
exactly!
a lot of people "expect" there to be a longer than normal wait on the 3rd. So they are going early (they would normally go on the 3rd)
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:33 am to kingbob
Baton Rouge is 100% going to be Blue for Biden Harris. Baton Rouge and New Orleans. They are two democratic Cities. Where you make up the difference is Ascension, Livingston, Caddo, Bossier and Lake Charles area.
Don't be surprised when you see Baton Rouge is Blue! BR is Blue and the Powers that be are ok with it.
Don't be surprised when you see Baton Rouge is Blue! BR is Blue and the Powers that be are ok with it.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:34 am to boomtown143
quote:
a lot of people "expect" there to be a longer than normal wait on the 3rd. So they are going early (they would normally go on the 3rd)
That's my hope. Going to the early election site is a PIA for me and way out of my way. Election day location for me is a 1-2 minute walk.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:37 am to Jimmy2shoes
quote:
What do you think this means?
He is trying to sound profound when he really has no idea regarding the significance.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:39 am to Jimmy2shoes
quote:
What do you think this means?
Propaganda and a united front of lies from media and dishonest city officials work on stupid people. Why are they stupid? Because they are needed that way to be useful.
IMO
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:42 am to Jimmy2shoes
I'll admit that the almost 200k women voters has me concerned. Bored, white women cause a lot of problems
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:47 am to Jimmy2shoes
It means blacks and marxists don’t want to vote in person.
Trump will carry LA.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 8:47 am to Jimmy2shoes
quote:
What do you think this means?
That the majority of blacks and democrats want law and order as well
Posted on 10/20/20 at 9:08 am to Uncs
The city is blue but the suburbs in the parish are red. EBR Parish is roughly 50/50, so it’s a swing parish in elections. Plus, the mayor/president primary is on the ballot.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 9:09 am to Jimmy2shoes
Baton rouge turning blue....
Oh wait.
Oh wait.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 9:11 am to Uncs
quote:
Where you make up the difference is Ascension, Livingston, Caddo, Bossier and Lake Charles area.
You forgot the 2 biggest parishes that will go red: Jefferson (#2 in population) and St. Tammany (#4 in population) and those ranks were the same in voters in 2016. Jefferson basically cancels out EBR and ST doesn't cancel Orleans but cancels the majority of it.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 9:11 am to Uncs
quote:
Where you make up the difference is Ascension, Livingston, Caddo, Bossier and Lake Charles area.
Jefferson parish gonna be very red
Posted on 10/20/20 at 9:16 am to Uncs
I’m pretty sure that you would have to go back several presidential elections to find a time when Baton Rouge wasn’t blue.
Posted on 10/20/20 at 9:20 am to Jimmy2shoes
As long as they only vote once and are eligible to vote it doesn't mean anything.
Unless the implied bias in early voting is AAs and Democrats are too stupid or lazy to do so on the appointed day and by doing early voting it vastly increases their turnout.
Unless the implied bias in early voting is AAs and Democrats are too stupid or lazy to do so on the appointed day and by doing early voting it vastly increases their turnout.
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