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re: Markets may be turbulent tomorrow due to contraction in the AI sector

Posted on 1/27/25 at 9:14 am to
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 9:14 am to
quote:

There are all sorts of related data privacy concerns


You must be listening to Jim Cramer panic this morning He is so upset that he is calling for President Trump to ban everything China. "Free Market Capitalism"
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 9:21 am to
quote:

You must be listening to Jim Cramer panic this morning
Cramer is a nitwit, but I did see the Sorkin-Wang Davos interview last week.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
30951 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 9:28 am to
Everybody should sell all their NVDA, MSFT, APPL, GOOG, TESLA, META now. If anyone has any INTC, I will buy it all for $2 now. Anything related to AI and isn't Chinese going to drop 50% + get out now. Please let your friends know. If y'all need help dumping shares, let me know. I'm willing to fall on my sword so you guys can prosper.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Everybody should sell all their NVDA, MSFT, APPL, GOOG, TESLA, META now. If anyone has any INTC, I will buy it all for $2 now. Anything related to AI and isn't Chinese going to drop 50% + get out now. Please let your friends know. If y'all need help dumping shares, let me know. I'm willing to fall on my sword so you guys can prosper.
Posted by Bwmdx
Member since Dec 2018
3319 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:04 am to
If what deepseak actually did what is reported then I would expect AI companies to follow their model but be able to scale up with brute force. In the end this will propel AI forward.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:09 am to
quote:

If what deepseak actually did what is reported then I would expect AI companies to follow their model but be able to scale up with brute force. In the end this will propel AI forward.
100%.
This was all about training efficiency. Performance will improve proportionate to hardware/chips employed.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:19 am to
quote:

In the end this will propel AI forward.


Yes. Having a product like Deepseek which is free and open source will do that


quote:

able to scale up with brute force


Majority of people will not pay for a product when a close in performance product is available for free. The big tech companies spent billions with the idea they will be able to charge money for the products services. Deepseek renders that business model DOA
Posted by Decatur
Member since Mar 2007
31758 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:19 am to
quote:

DeepSeek is opensource AI built by 200 people for $6 million


Anyone tracked down the “$6 million” source?
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:28 am to
quote:

If what deepseak actually did what is reported then I would expect AI companies to follow their model but be able to scale up with brute force.


Of course but that scale up was supposed to include profits from subscriptions and ads and sale of hardware...lots of it.

Because of opensource DeepSeek a lot of the profits on the front end from subs and ads will be lower and the profits from hardware sales will also be lower.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19637 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Anyone tracked down the “$6 million” source?

I saw some quotes.. I think his name was Truss M. Ebrothaman if I'm spelling that last name right.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:45 am to
quote:

True story: I sold all of my NVDA shares Friday afternoon
Okay, just hopped back in at $117.6. Rock and Roll
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
128028 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 10:47 am to
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:00 am to
quote:

Anyone tracked down the “$6 million” source?
Several outlets are reporting it, apparently originating straight from the company's claims.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:06 am to
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
57778 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:17 am to
All I know is my VRT got murdered this AM.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133634 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:38 am to
quote:

Okay, just hopped back in at $117.6. Rock and Roll


I got too impatient and got back in at $123 which is about $20/share under what I sold at on Friday. It's only 250 shares. Oh, well.

I'm considering averaging down by buying another 250 shares if the price goes back under $119 this afternoon.

Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19637 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:42 am to
quote:

DeepSeek developed and open sourced an equal or better product and have it out for free, likely killing the business model

We are in the infancy stages of AI imo.. what is known today will be nothing to what is known 5 years, 10 years, 20 years down the road.. I don't think anyone truly knows the full capability at this point.. People can speculate all they want, but it's most likely way bigger than even imagined..

Now that is just my opinion, and maybe I am wrong there.. I personally am skeptical if true machine learning is taking place at this point.. In my limited experience (and to be fair, it is very minimal) the coding was the actual brain and therefore, there is a lot of bias that goes into every model that is built.

But once a new discovery is made, especially if it is on an open source platform, that discovery will be integrated into every future model.. and rather quickly, which will evolve into something new, and that is what appears to be happening here..

The game will be constantly changing, even when we think someone has reached the pinnacle.. the whole thing is flat out scary.. Without a doubt, my profession (Accounting) can be completely automated. 100% complete automation. It is rule based and therefore with the right rules, there isn't anything a monkey couldn't do.. if properly trained.

TLDR: 10-20 years from now, the technology we are using today will likely be completely obsolete. This is a new world we are living in..
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:56 am to
quote:

I got too impatient and got back in at $123 which is about $20/share under what I sold at on Friday. It's only 250 shares. Oh, well.
Yep. Sold @$146 Fri. Picked up 425 today, so a toe back in the water. But for us, selling on Fri to buy back in on Monday is really unusual.
This post was edited on 1/27/25 at 12:00 pm
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
135663 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 11:59 am to
quote:

We are in the infancy stages of AI imo.. what is known today will be nothing to what is known 5 years, 10 years, 20 years down the road.. I don't think anyone truly knows the full capability at this point.. People can speculate all they want, but it's most likely way bigger than even imagined..

Yeah, nothing got "killed" by DeepSeek. Far from it.
Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
15050 posts
Posted on 1/27/25 at 12:06 pm to
Answer Bot =/= AI
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