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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 8/21/26 at 7:06 am to
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
4007 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 7:06 am to
Been thinking a lot lately about the old saying, “Russia is never as strong as she looks; Russia is never as weak as she looks.” Whoever said that was a really wise person.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5910 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 7:44 am to
In Ukraine's southern city of Kherson, Russians murdered an elderly woman as she sat reading a book in the yard of her home.
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This post was edited on 8/21/26 at 7:55 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5261 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 7:59 am to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16509 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 8:52 am to
quote:

Been thinking a lot lately about the old saying, “Russia is never as strong as she looks; Russia is never as weak as she looks.” Whoever said that was a really wise person.


Because it had lots of territory to absorb an invasion, not because its military punched even close to its weight class to be competitive
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
27535 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 8:54 am to
quote:

Yea I do fear unless Ukraine can set up or be supplied with sufficient patriot systems, Kyiv is going to be bombed into some form of submission by ballistic missiles over the next 12-18 months.



Terrorizing civilians isn't going to work no matter what the old KGB handbook says. It just pisses people off and makes them want revenge.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5261 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 9:27 am to
Another Christmas gift to the Turkish yards. From earlier this month. Owner is GR Ocean Shipping, Hong Kong. In ballast, so it was enroute to a Russian port when hit.
quote:

Drone-damaged Liberian bulker Great Ocean towed through Turkey’s Bosphorus after traffic halt

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LINK
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5261 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 9:31 am to
By the way, when does dove season start this year?

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Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
4007 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 11:39 am to
Spicy
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
4007 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 11:40 am to
Yowza
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5261 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 1:40 pm to
This is interesting. Damned interesting. There goes my weekend...
quote:

Ukraine expands partnership with ICEYE
quote:

The agreement provides the customer within Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence with expanded access to ICEYE’s high-resolution SAR [Synthetic Aperture Radar satellite] imagery to support faster, day and night, all-weather tactical decision-making for national security.
quote:

Helsinki, Finland – January 19, 2026 - ICEYE, the leader in European defense tech and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite operations, and a customer within the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine have signed a new agreement to significantly expand their cooperation in space-based intelligence.

The agreement ensures that the Ministry of Defence continues to receive a high volume of high-resolution satellite imagery through ICEYE’s world-leading SAR constellation, supporting the Ukrainian Armed Forces with persistent situational awareness on tactical timelines.
quote:

ICEYE’s technology is capable of high-resolution imagery of up to 16 cm from its Generation 4 satellites and large-footprint modes such as Scan Wide, which covers areas of 200 km by 300 km. Additionally, ICEYE’s electronic beam-steering technology enables dozens of high-resolution scenes captured in only minutes of satellite imaging time.
quote:

As of early December, 2025, 62 X-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellites have been launched since the first satellite in 2018
quote:

The ground resolution of the product ranges from 0.25 m to 3 m depending on acquisition configuration and dwell time (ICEYE US, 2025b). Since 2021, ICEYE has also offered a number of interferometry-capable repeat-pass acquisitions, known as the Ground Track Repeat (GTR) data.
quote:

The continuous growth of the ICEYE constellation capacity, in addition to other commercial SAR providers, represents a significant [originally intended] contribution to rapid response capabilities for natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes, and volcanic activities with ultra-high-resolution and frequent-repeat observations.[To say nothing of a NoRK TEL moving into firing position...]
quote:

The strengthened cooperation between Rheinmetall and SAR satellite company ICEYE, announced in September 2024, is already bearing fruit. To meet Ukraine‘s urgent demands for SAR satellite reconnaissance capabilities, Rheinmetall and Ukraine, supported by the German government, signed a contract. The agreement further increases the SAR data and other support Ukraine has been receiving from ICEYE during the war.

Since early October 2024, Ukraine receives new satellite images taken by ICEYE's SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) satellites, under the collaboration between Rheinmetall and ICEYE.
quote:

SAR satellites offer the advantage over conventional satellites that they can generate high-resolution images regardless of weather conditions or time of day. These are very detailed and make even the smallest objects on the earth's surface identifiable. This can bring decisive advantages for the armed forces in terms of surveillance, target acquisition, reconnaissance or their own positioning on the battlefield.
quote:

In 2025, ICEYE partnered with French group Safran.AI to apply artificial intelligence to SAR and optical data, including for Ukrainian military intelligence. The approach aims to reduce latency between satellite tasking, image capture, and operational decisions, reflecting how space intelligence is being pushed down to the tactical layer in active conflict.
quote:

Unfortunately, the ICEYE imagery is technically limited to Ukrainian territory. But "people's satellites" are taking images of thousands of Ru military sites, including one in Belgorod.
quote:

Throughout using the “people’s satellite” and access to the ICEYE satellite constellation, Ukrainian specialists have taken a total of 4173 images of enemy targets, including:

370 – airfields;
238 – air defense and radio reconnaissance positions;
153 – oil depots and fuel warehouses;
147 – missile, aviation weapon, and ammunition depots;
17 – naval bases.


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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5261 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 1:57 pm to
Ok, the assessment is out on last night's Perm refinery attack. Another AVT unit hit. -

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
5261 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 2:04 pm to
Taganrog oil terminal, Azov Sea coast. Was hit previously in June and last month.

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Posted by Stat M Repairman
Member since Jun 2023
3374 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 2:17 pm to
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This post was edited on 8/21/26 at 2:46 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16509 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Stat M Repairman


You do know that Zero Hedge is a Kremlin outlet based in Eastern Europe because that has been well known for 2 decades.

Oh wow a shopping mall!
Posted by Stat M Repairman
Member since Jun 2023
3374 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 2:47 pm to
Edited post to reflect BBC world as source as reasonable accommodation.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16509 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Edited post to reflect BBC world as source as reasonable accommodation.

Zero Hedge puts out facts often out of context. Articles are well crafted to psychologically appeal to late Gen X and why Tyler Durden is the always the author
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13231 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

Russian double-tap drone strikes kill 14 in Ukrainian mall, officials say


Unfortunately, that's exactly where this war is now. Ukraine has almost no ability to defend against ballistic missiles. But Russia has a very limited capacity for air defense too. Ukraine is fully capable of retaliating in kind and almost has to. It's been a pretty damn ugly war. And I think it's about to get uglier. Strategic bombing has never won a war, why will missile strikes (see Iran)? But Putin is desperate now with a cratering economy. As a politician and autocrat he'll likely double down on more civilian strikes. How will Russians react when it's returned in kind?

Nates map fetish is a grain of sand compared to this.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13231 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

I don't think that Chenier imported anything but it was the first to build out liquefaction into LNG.


Flash back to a post from last week. Chenier was designed to import, and a large part of the infrastructure was already built. And then fracking changed EVERYTHING. Chenier was broke because import was never going to happen after fracking. But then prices for export became lucrative. Crazy stuff! And so Chenier built conversion of natural gas to LNG (not difficult) and made big bucks. I don't think fracking is appreciated nearly enough. Suddenly the chemical plants along the gulf coast that were struggling and on death watch made money. And a bunch of it. And companies couldn't build new plants fast enough. There just weren't enough people to build them without prices reaching crazy levels.

It sucks for the plants that went bankrupt and torn down and shipped overseas. Lots of good plants and people, gone by the way side.

Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
4007 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Unfortunately, that's exactly where this war is now. Ukraine has almost no ability to defend against ballistic missiles. But Russia has a very limited capacity for air defense too. Ukraine is fully capable of retaliating in kind and almost has to. It's been a pretty damn ugly war. And I think it's about to get uglier. Strategic bombing has never won a war, why will missile strikes (see Iran)? But Putin is desperate now with a cratering economy. As a politician and autocrat he'll likely double down on more civilian strikes. How will Russians react when it's returned in kind?

Nates map fetish is a grain of sand compared to this.
In one post you (correctly) state that strategic bombing alone can't win wars, yet also minimize the importance of concrete, measurable, undeniable infantry advances that are displayed on the maps that I post. You are smart enough to realize that only infantry can truly take and hold territory, yet you ignore the necessary corollary of that fact because you can't allow yourself to reach the conclusion it would force you to draw that Russia not only can, but very likely will win this war and the West is powerless to stop it.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
43074 posts
Posted on 8/21/26 at 6:31 pm to
To prove your points it would be helpful to follow up and update your maps to highlight these game changing advances by the Russians.
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