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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 7/7/26 at 1:19 pm to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/7/26 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Jackpot: Russia’s largest oil refinery, the Omsk Oil Refinery, has suspended operations after a Ukrainian drone attack, Reuters reported. Sources said the CDU-10 crude distillation unit was damaged, while CDU-11 was shut down after supporting infrastructure was hit, disrupting about 75% of capacity.


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Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5844 posts
Posted on 7/7/26 at 1:41 pm to
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"A little spoiler: USF Birds have just lit up two more tankers in the Sea of Azov. Tankers number 9 and 10 for the current day, bringing the total to 12 vessels. "
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16353 posts
Posted on 7/7/26 at 2:42 pm to
These refineries have a lot of crude units for their size as if they were built with 1901 technology. Not that cost effective for normal operations.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 3:38 am to
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quote:

If they are attacking airfields it tells you all air defence is gone.

Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 3:40 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 4:11 am to
Damn, 9 more tankers last night in the Sea of Azov. 21 Russian vessels hit in 72 hours including 19 shadow-fleet tankers.

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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 4:24 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 4:27 am to
#2, in Tartarstan.



LINK
This post was edited on 7/8/26 at 6:12 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 4:29 am to
#3, Ufa again.

Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 4:50 am to
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quote:

Zelensky: Ukraine is quite rightly responding to Russia for its attacks on our country and for prolonging the war.

Today, our long-range sanctions have reached the Saratov region, Tatarstan and Bashkortostan, the distance from the front line is about 800, 1400 and 1500 kilometers.

Also – to the Voronezh region, which is about 300 kilometers from our border.

The Saratov oil refinery was hit. The SSO soldiers hit the oil refinery in Tatarstan. Russians should feel that their state is waging this war.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4919 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 6:15 am to
New wallpaper.



Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5844 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 7:09 am to
Elon's goons are blocking Exilenova+ account.

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EDIT: They may have found a workaround, though no new posts on their account. It appears that other X accounts may be posting info sourced from the Exilenova+ telegram account.
This post was edited on 7/8/26 at 7:31 am
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21127 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 7:23 am to
It seems clear that a page has been turned.

- Three more refinery hits last night

- Nine more tankers hit in the sea of Azov

- Video released of 200 trucks blown up already in July in or around Crimea

If the mid-range campaign stops all shipping through the Sea of Azov and isolates Crimea from logistical support, and if the long-range strike campaign cripples the Russian economy as Russians can no longer buy gasoline, how is Russia going to continue the war? A mobilization won't fix those problems.

This was CNN two days ago on the fuel shortages:

Almost every Russian region hit by fuel crisis, as Ukraine escalates drone attacks

quote:

Moscow — Almost all of Russia’s 83 regions are seeing gasoline shortages or reported disruptions to supply, according to a CNN analysis, with many gas stations imposing rationing as the Russian government races to get ahead of a ferocious campaign of Ukrainian drone attacks targeting its refineries.
The fuel crisis, which escalated first in Russian-controlled Crimea and prompted a state of emergency and a full ban on fuel sales to ordinary people on June 21, is now reaching across Russia’s 11 time zones.

CNN analyzed official statements from regional mayors and governors as well as national and local media reports and found more than 50 of its internationally recognized regions officially reporting supply problems, with unofficial reports of disruptions in almost all of them.
quote:

Ritolia estimates Russian gasoline production is currently running at around 20% below domestic demand because of the Ukrainian strikes, with refinery runs (the amount of crude oil refineries are processing) at multi-year lows.

“In this race between the repairers and the attackers the balance is shifting,” said Sergey Vakulenko, who spent 25 years in the Russian oil and gas industry and is a senior fellow at the Berlin-based Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center think tank. He noted that Ukraine had not only increased the frequency of attacks in recent weeks, but also the number of drones used. “The Russian oil industry’s resilience is being stretched dangerously thin,” he wrote in a recent article.


In theory, Russia could handle a 20% drop in refining capacity. In reality, there's a normal system of distribution, and the refinery strikes have wrecked the normal logistics of which fuel goes where. So, there are some locations that still have plenty, while others have none.


EDIT: When we are talking about this: - Nine more tankers hit in the sea of Azov, it should be clarified that these are smallish "river tankers" involved in Russian internal logistics, not shipping oil to other countries for export.
This post was edited on 7/8/26 at 7:35 am
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16353 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 8:04 am to
quote:

EDIT: When we are talking about this: - Nine more tankers hit in the sea of Azov, it should be clarified that these are smallish "river tankers" involved in Russian internal logistics, not shipping oil to other countries for export.


I pointed this out that they had about the same capacity as an inland barge in the USA. They are not built to even sail in the Black Sea.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
4006 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 8:19 am to
quote:

If you can't see a difference between Trump's wild swings on issues and merely listening to someone and adjusting based on information I don't know what to tell you. The latter should be celebrated, the former should not.


I agree, very much. Trump's opinion is simply "what the last person who talked to him and flattered him beforehand told him." That's how Netanyahu got him to attack Iran... twice. Every other US President passed on the same pitch since the late 90s, in Trump's first term it was headed off by advisors a couple of times... he doesn't surround himself with anybody who knows more (or will argue with him) anymore, so here we are...

And that doesn't change the fact that he hates being on the losing side of anything. Which is why he's soured on Netanyahu and Israel for getting him into a mess that is much more complicated to extricate himself from than he was led to believe.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5844 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 8:31 am to
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5844 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 9:19 am to
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8570 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 11:24 am to
The situation in Crimea is more interesting to me in the short term than the oil situation. Things are deteriorating there quickly.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8570 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 11:27 am to
quote:

And that doesn't change the fact that he hates being on the losing side of anything.


"He hates being on the losing side" and "he changed his tune on Ukraine because he thinks they are winning" are two different arguments.

If he just flip flopped on things so he isn't on the losing side he could have easily changed his tune on Birthright citizenship since it was clear he was going to lose that one. There was a lane he could have taken where he said "actually it would be better if we got Congress to change it and close loopholes instead of just dumping it". Instead, Trump sat in on the case, which will be one of the things throughout history that will be remembered about his presidency.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5844 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 1:26 pm to
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