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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 6/15/26 at 1:18 pm to
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1939 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Another aspect of this is that Ukraine has repeatedly attacked the same refineries several times in succession, further delaying repairs.

“That is a newish trend. I’d say we’re starting to see that more and more in 2026 than previously,” Isaac Levi, a Russia analyst at the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), told RFE/RL.

Previously, he said, attacks took refineries out of action for “three, four, five days,” but this was no longer always the case.

A recent case is Tuapse, an oil-exporting port and refinery complex on the Black Sea, which was hit three times in April and then twice in May.

RFE/RL video reports have shown enormous black smoke plumes billowing over the city and thick oil sludges seeping into the sea. Prior to these attacks, its central crude distillation unit was hit on New Year’s Eve, 2025, while an oil terminal was hit in November 2025.
Ukraine'
quote:

The reason may not just be the increase in attacks -- but also better targeting.

Nikhil Dubey, a senior research analyst at Kpler, a commodity intelligence company, said the key was not just attacks on refineries -- but a switch to attacking particular parts of them.

“That refinery has various units. Let's say one is the distillation column. Simple, where you heat the crude and different products come out,” he told RFE/RL.

“It's a mother unit or primary unit because that is the unit which receives crude. Whatever streams come out from that unit, they are not marketable in nature…. You can't directly put that stream in your gasoline tank.”

This is where refinery secondary units come in, for example, the hydrocracker, which can remove sulfur from the stream to produce diesel. It’s full of more sophisticated parts that also take much longer to replace.

“These are the items which are not readily available on the plant site, right? Once you have damaged that machinery, you have to place an order...because it is specialized equipment, it needs lead time,” Dubey said.

Lead times can last weeks or months, and Western sanctions on components have made them longer.
s new refinery tactic fueling Russia's gasoline crisis Oilprice.com
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16084 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

“It's a mother unit or primary unit because that is the unit which receives crude. Whatever streams come out from that unit, they are not marketable in nature…. You can't directly put that stream in your gasoline tank.”

This is where refinery secondary units come in, for example, the hydrocracker, which can remove sulfur from the stream to produce diesel. It’s full of more sophisticated parts that also take much longer to replace.


First step is the crude unit, or if very heavy crude a vacuum unit can be the first instead of 2nd. The hydrocracker does remove sulfur but it is used instead of a Cat Cracker if you want a little more diesel and a little less gasoline.

Gasoline in today's tanks is a combination of Isomerate. reformate, alkylate and naphtha then additives according to distributor. Pre catalytic converters, it was straight run gasoline from the crude unit and tetra ethyl lead to keep the engine from knocking.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3956 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 7:06 pm to
quote:


I have said it for over a year. Russia has already lost. Both sides are losers.

Putin’s war has become a total disaster for both sides.



If there is still a sovereign Ukraine, then Ukraine has not lost. That's the simple fact.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42746 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:08 pm to
quote:

If there is still a sovereign Ukraine, then Ukraine has not lost. That's the simple fact.

But they are suffering. Hundred of thousands are dead. Their economy is ruined.

I admire them for stopping Russia, but they are losing too.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
56230 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

If there is still a sovereign Ukraine, then Ukraine has not lost. That's the simple fact.

Ukraine will be left with a shrunken population and a birthrate so low that it’s just a matter of time before Muslims take it over. This war is loser for both sides. Absolutely tragic.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13163 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

Russia will be left with a shrunken population and a birthrate so low that it’s just a matter of time before Muslims (and Chinese) take it over.


Fixed it for you. Russia is the one with the Muslim population problem. Russia disbanded after Ukraine left rather than have a majority Muslim USSR. Without Ukraine, Russia has zero chance of being a significant player again. That's what this war is about.

Putin, the master strategist, couldn't have screwed the pooch any worse.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
56230 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 9:11 pm to
quote:

Fixed it for you. Russia is the one with the Muslim population problem. Russia disbanded after Ukraine left rather than have a majority Muslim USSR. Without Ukraine, Russia has zero chance of being a significant player again. That's what this war is about.

You didn’t fix it; you changed it. Both statements are correct.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13163 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

Both statements are correct.


Where are the Muslims going to come from to get to Ukraine? The current population is maybe 2% and they have no significant borders with Muslim nations. Now do Russia.
Posted by No Colors
Sandbar
Member since Sep 2010
13493 posts
Posted on 6/15/26 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Ukraine will be left with a shrunken population and a birthrate so low that it’s just a matter of time before Muslims take it

Russia has a Muslim population of about 12%
Ukraine has a Muslim population of about 2%.

The Ukraine birthrate exceeds the Russian.

Ukraine is building the largest arms manufacturing industry in Europe. Russia is losing their legacy petroleum business.

Ukraine will recover from this. It's highly doubtful that Russia will.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:40 am to
[embed]The facility processes about 12.8 million tonnes of oil per year, or roughly 245,000-250,000 barrels per day, and supplies around 35-40% of fuel consumed in Moscow and the surrounding region.[/embed]


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This post was edited on 6/16/26 at 2:42 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:43 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:46 am to
Those deer rifles employed by the Russian AD ain't getting it done. The four rings of Pantsirs are useless as well.


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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:49 am to
quote:

A Russian Tu-22M3 strategic bomber crashed during a scheduled flight in Russia’s Irkutsk region due to 'engine problems'.


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This post was edited on 6/16/26 at 3:23 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:51 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:52 am to


LINK
This post was edited on 6/16/26 at 2:55 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 2:58 am to
Any organization that has any level of input into the Russian missile production needs to be flattened, along with the surrounding four block area.


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Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 3:17 am to
Wow. Two points - first, the Ukrainians know how to override EW output and secondly, that warhead was an all business one-and-done. Woof.


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quote:

422nd Separate Unmanned Systems Battalion "LUFTWAFFE" have now demonstrated the destruction of a second Russian "Volna Kupol Garant" electronic warfare system designed to disrupt Starlink communications.

According to Serhii "Flash" Beskrestnov, adviser to Ukraine's Minister of Defense on defense technology, the system works by transmitting powerful interference towards individual Starlink satellites, preventing them from receiving signals from user terminals on the ground.

Its main limitation is that each complex can effectively suppress only a single satellite at a time, providing coverage of roughly 20 square kilometers. To achieve this, the "Volna Kupol Garant" employs multiple large satellite antennas mounted on trailers and consumes significant amounts of electrical power.


Developed by the Simferopol-based company "Russian Dome", the system was reportedly sold to the Russian military for approximately $1.5 million per unit.

The first destruction of such a system was showcased earlier today by SBU's Alpha Group and the 422nd Separate Unmanned Systems Battalion.
This post was edited on 6/16/26 at 4:19 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 3:42 am to
The major arms display convention in Paris.

Where's the new Russian high tech systems...? Oh... they're being displayed at the Chinese section.


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This post was edited on 6/16/26 at 4:13 am
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 4:03 am to
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quote:

Ukraine began signing new Defense Forces contracts with fixed service terms, guaranteed deferments after completion and an updated pay system. Civilians, mobilized troops, active servicemembers and current contract soldiers can apply from today. For serving troops, contract terms will range from 6 to 24 months, with deferments based on service length and combat experience.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4587 posts
Posted on 6/16/26 at 4:31 am to
Two days after the seizure of a Russian shadow fleet tanker in the English Channel by UK Marines...

This will only give Starmer a PR boost when he needed one desperately. Which may show that further seizures are the correct direction for this administration.

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