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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:06 pm to
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42606 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:06 pm to
What are we seeing here?
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
3316 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:12 pm to
Seems Lyman, which was initially taken by Russia in 2022, then taken back by Ukraine in probably the largest Ukrainian victory of the 2023 summer counteroffensive, seems about to be retaken by Russia again. The town has been destroyed I think but it remains an important fortification and logistics crossroads town.
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
3316 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:13 pm to
Actually Ukraine took Lyman back in the fall 2022 Kharkiv counteroffensive not summer counteroffensive 2023. I misremembered that because Lyman fell after Izium and Kupyansk.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 2:27 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15671 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:32 pm to
Rybar cope? They still haven't taken Kupyansk or Pokrovsk They have sent small teams in to raise a flag and take a photo who are then killed by drones
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42606 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

Seems Lyman, which was initially taken by Russia in 2022, then taken back by Ukraine in probably the largest Ukrainian victory of the 2023 summer counteroffensive, seems about to be retaken by Russia again.


Keep us posted. Let us know when the Russians do take it.
Posted by T1gerNate
Member since Feb 2020
3316 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

They still haven't taken Kupyansk or Pokrovsk


Pokrovsk fell to Russia like two months ago. Even ISW acknowledges this. Russia has now advanced beyond Pokrovsk. No one serious disputes this.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15671 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Pokrovsk fell to Russia like two months ago. Even ISW acknowledges this. Russia has now advanced beyond Pokrovsk. No one serious disputes this.


Ukraine still occupies part of it FACT Ukraine has not cleared out all of Kupyansk because they are using the starving Russians trapped there as bait.
Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2298 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:58 pm to
To be fair here, you can claim victory over something while there are pockets holding out - we claimed victory and control over islands in WWII while there were still pockets of japanese holding out, sometimes for months.

But T1ger, even if that is true, that was two months ago. Have they done anything since?

To give you a comparison, following the breakout from Normandy in August 1944, Patton's Third Army covered roughly 600 miles in about 45 days, often advancing faster than supply lines could keep up. Have the Russians advanced 600 meters in the last 45 days?

So, again, why should anyone really care if this is what we're looking at? Outside of a few more feet taken, what is the significance here, because it's not helping them tactically, operationally, or strategically.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 6:59 pm
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3945 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 7:26 pm to
The Independent - Wargame simulating Russian attack on Nato suggests Kremlin could ‘achieve goals’ within days
The situation gamed by ex-Nato officials suggests the US would oppose triggering Article 5 if Moscow invaded Lithuania

This has always been the expected route: tear through the Sawalki Gap in Lithuania over to Kaliningrad (and to the east from Kaliningrad), isolating the Baltic states from Poland, then blockading them in the Baltic and pouring Russian troops into all 3 states.

Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42606 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

pouring Russian troops into all 3 states.


For the layman, please translate. How do you define pouring Russian troops?
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5645 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:10 pm to
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8164 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:36 pm to
I urge you to read that full post. The numbers quoted are staggering in volume.

quote:

For the second time since the start of the invasion, the enemy has suffered greater manpower losses than it mobilized.

22,000 – volume of replenishment of the occupying army in January 2026 (mobilized / contracted).

30,618 enemy personnel – verified result of the Unmanned Systems units of the Defence Forces of Ukraine (not USF only) in January, in terms of destruction.

-8,618 – negative worm balance.


30K kills via drone in one month...this is the future of warfare

quote:

At the same time, in January the Birds pecked:
1,012 enemy pilot launch points and 1,404 pieces of enemy pilot equipment,
2,128 enemy reconnaissance and strike wings,
478 artillery units,
80 tanks,
88 APCs / IFVs,
44 SAM / MLRS units,
27 radars,
1,705 units of logistics vehicles,
and a pile of other military junk – all reflected on the online counter in a total of 27,762 units.


I wonder what the combined value of all of this equipment was?

quote:

Expenditure by the Grouping:
37,054 FPV drones
1,119 night bombers
1,301 interceptor wings
971 interceptor copters
936 Mavic drones

140,677 combat sorties conducted – on average 4,500 per day, 3 sorties per minute throughout January.
• 303 worms per day on average
• 896 targets per day on average


If the 41,381 drones expended cost $1k each, then the cost to Ukraine was $41.3M. All that destroyed Russian equipment and 30k troops for 41M...thats a bargin.


Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15671 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

If the 41,381 drones expended cost $1k each, then the cost to Ukraine was $41.3M. All that destroyed Russian equipment and 30k troops for 41M...thats a bargin.


Russia cannot encircle and strangle even pockets. That is a given. Thus no major breakthroughs however hard Rybar and its followers try to paint the picture. Russia had lots of breakthroughs in in the Spring and Summer of so22 only to be chopped up each time.

Then again, with the use of donkeys for logistics what can you expect from a primitive military. I wonder if Russia had adopted the WWII standard for shipping, Pallets. Last time I saw it was lots of boxes and crates all handled by hand. That's at least 3 transfers by hand one at a time. At least they are ready to load onto a donkey when they arrive.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15671 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 9:23 pm to
I watched the latest Diesen, Russsian think tank Norwegian, interview of Col Macgregor. Macgregor still thinks that Russia will take Odessa whenever Putin decides to. How are they going to get to Odessa? What a douche canoe retard Macgregor has become.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15671 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 10:59 pm to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4329 posts
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:07 am to
quote:

Magyar's update


Great find, my weekend is made.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4329 posts
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:08 am to
quote:

I urge you to read that full post. The numbers quoted are staggering in volume.
Exactly.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4329 posts
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:13 am to
Some messages are subtle... some aren't.


Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.

quote:

Russian media reported a murder attempt on Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseev in Moscow. He was shot several times in the back and hospitalized, officials said. The attacker fled. Alekseev is a senior military intelligence officer and a deputy to Igor Kostyukov, who leads Russia’s negotiating group in the UAE.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4329 posts
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:17 am to
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4329 posts
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:25 am to
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