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Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:12 pm to doubleb
Seems Lyman, which was initially taken by Russia in 2022, then taken back by Ukraine in probably the largest Ukrainian victory of the 2023 summer counteroffensive, seems about to be retaken by Russia again. The town has been destroyed I think but it remains an important fortification and logistics crossroads town.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:13 pm to T1gerNate
Actually Ukraine took Lyman back in the fall 2022 Kharkiv counteroffensive not summer counteroffensive 2023. I misremembered that because Lyman fell after Izium and Kupyansk.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:32 pm to doubleb
Rybar cope? They still haven't taken Kupyansk or Pokrovsk They have sent small teams in to raise a flag and take a photo who are then killed by drones
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:33 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
Seems Lyman, which was initially taken by Russia in 2022, then taken back by Ukraine in probably the largest Ukrainian victory of the 2023 summer counteroffensive, seems about to be retaken by Russia again.
Keep us posted. Let us know when the Russians do take it.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 2:38 pm to CitizenK
quote:
They still haven't taken Kupyansk or Pokrovsk
Pokrovsk fell to Russia like two months ago. Even ISW acknowledges this. Russia has now advanced beyond Pokrovsk. No one serious disputes this.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:02 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
Pokrovsk fell to Russia like two months ago. Even ISW acknowledges this. Russia has now advanced beyond Pokrovsk. No one serious disputes this.
Ukraine still occupies part of it FACT Ukraine has not cleared out all of Kupyansk because they are using the starving Russians trapped there as bait.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:58 pm to CitizenK
To be fair here, you can claim victory over something while there are pockets holding out - we claimed victory and control over islands in WWII while there were still pockets of japanese holding out, sometimes for months.
But T1ger, even if that is true, that was two months ago. Have they done anything since?
To give you a comparison, following the breakout from Normandy in August 1944, Patton's Third Army covered roughly 600 miles in about 45 days, often advancing faster than supply lines could keep up. Have the Russians advanced 600 meters in the last 45 days?
So, again, why should anyone really care if this is what we're looking at? Outside of a few more feet taken, what is the significance here, because it's not helping them tactically, operationally, or strategically.
But T1ger, even if that is true, that was two months ago. Have they done anything since?
To give you a comparison, following the breakout from Normandy in August 1944, Patton's Third Army covered roughly 600 miles in about 45 days, often advancing faster than supply lines could keep up. Have the Russians advanced 600 meters in the last 45 days?
So, again, why should anyone really care if this is what we're looking at? Outside of a few more feet taken, what is the significance here, because it's not helping them tactically, operationally, or strategically.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 6:59 pm
Posted on 2/5/26 at 7:26 pm to CitizenK
The Independent - Wargame simulating Russian attack on Nato suggests Kremlin could ‘achieve goals’ within days
The situation gamed by ex-Nato officials suggests the US would oppose triggering Article 5 if Moscow invaded Lithuania
This has always been the expected route: tear through the Sawalki Gap in Lithuania over to Kaliningrad (and to the east from Kaliningrad), isolating the Baltic states from Poland, then blockading them in the Baltic and pouring Russian troops into all 3 states.
The situation gamed by ex-Nato officials suggests the US would oppose triggering Article 5 if Moscow invaded Lithuania
This has always been the expected route: tear through the Sawalki Gap in Lithuania over to Kaliningrad (and to the east from Kaliningrad), isolating the Baltic states from Poland, then blockading them in the Baltic and pouring Russian troops into all 3 states.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:06 pm to Lee B
quote:
pouring Russian troops into all 3 states.
For the layman, please translate. How do you define pouring Russian troops?
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:10 pm to doubleb
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:36 pm to cypher
I urge you to read that full post. The numbers quoted are staggering in volume.
30K kills via drone in one month...this is the future of warfare
I wonder what the combined value of all of this equipment was?
If the 41,381 drones expended cost $1k each, then the cost to Ukraine was $41.3M. All that destroyed Russian equipment and 30k troops for 41M...thats a bargin.
quote:
For the second time since the start of the invasion, the enemy has suffered greater manpower losses than it mobilized.
22,000 – volume of replenishment of the occupying army in January 2026 (mobilized / contracted).
30,618 enemy personnel – verified result of the Unmanned Systems units of the Defence Forces of Ukraine (not USF only) in January, in terms of destruction.
-8,618 – negative worm balance.
30K kills via drone in one month...this is the future of warfare
quote:
At the same time, in January the Birds pecked:
1,012 enemy pilot launch points and 1,404 pieces of enemy pilot equipment,
2,128 enemy reconnaissance and strike wings,
478 artillery units,
80 tanks,
88 APCs / IFVs,
44 SAM / MLRS units,
27 radars,
1,705 units of logistics vehicles,
and a pile of other military junk – all reflected on the online counter in a total of 27,762 units.
I wonder what the combined value of all of this equipment was?
quote:
Expenditure by the Grouping:
37,054 FPV drones
1,119 night bombers
1,301 interceptor wings
971 interceptor copters
936 Mavic drones
140,677 combat sorties conducted – on average 4,500 per day, 3 sorties per minute throughout January.
• 303 worms per day on average
• 896 targets per day on average
If the 41,381 drones expended cost $1k each, then the cost to Ukraine was $41.3M. All that destroyed Russian equipment and 30k troops for 41M...thats a bargin.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:49 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
If the 41,381 drones expended cost $1k each, then the cost to Ukraine was $41.3M. All that destroyed Russian equipment and 30k troops for 41M...thats a bargin.
Russia cannot encircle and strangle even pockets. That is a given. Thus no major breakthroughs however hard Rybar and its followers try to paint the picture. Russia had lots of breakthroughs in in the Spring and Summer of so22 only to be chopped up each time.
Then again, with the use of donkeys for logistics what can you expect from a primitive military. I wonder if Russia had adopted the WWII standard for shipping, Pallets. Last time I saw it was lots of boxes and crates all handled by hand. That's at least 3 transfers by hand one at a time. At least they are ready to load onto a donkey when they arrive.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 9:23 pm to CitizenK
I watched the latest Diesen, Russsian think tank Norwegian, interview of Col Macgregor. Macgregor still thinks that Russia will take Odessa whenever Putin decides to. How are they going to get to Odessa? What a douche canoe retard Macgregor has become.
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:07 am to cypher
quote:
Magyar's update
Great find, my weekend is made.
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:08 am to Chromdome35
quote:Exactly.
I urge you to read that full post. The numbers quoted are staggering in volume.
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:13 am to Coeur du Tigre
Some messages are subtle... some aren't.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. quote:
Russian media reported a murder attempt on Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseev in Moscow. He was shot several times in the back and hospitalized, officials said. The attacker fled. Alekseev is a senior military intelligence officer and a deputy to Igor Kostyukov, who leads Russia’s negotiating group in the UAE.
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:17 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 2/6/26 at 3:25 am to Coeur du Tigre
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