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Started By
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 4:09 am to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 12/10/25 at 4:09 am to Coeur du Tigre
Remember, all data from official Ru Ministry of Finance -
Expenditures in the middle of a war that will determine Putin's survival and they have to cut spending two months in a row. They've now:
- Finally exhausted the National Wealth Fund; and
- Milked all the liquidity out of the banks with their one-way REPO issues.
Once they stop paying the bond servicing (interest) obligations, the end will be fast. Putin will have to start selling chunks of Siberia to the Chinese. At pennies on the ruble, if we know anything about the Chinese. That students, is called the 'Long Game'.
LINK
quote:
Today, the results of Russia's federal budget execution for November were released.
Revenue: -0% y/y
Expenses: -12% y/y
A 12% drop in expenses [in the middle of a regime-existential war] is a sensation!
quote:
The budget deficit in November was small, only 86 billion, but this was caused by a 12% year-on-year reduction in expenditure.
quote:
The overall data is presented in tables. Over just 11 months, revenues grew by 0.7%, while expenditures grew by 12.5%. As a result, the deficit is 3.9 trillion rubles higher than last year.
quote:
With revenues falling, Russia is forced to begin cutting spending to somehow meet its planned budget deficit. Cutting spending will further weaken fiscal momentum and lead to an economic downturn.
quote:
All these events are taking place against the backdrop of a meteoric rise in domestic public debt. Bond volume has grown by 100% over four years, leading to rising debt servicing costs. With falling oil prices, declining revenues, and rising debt servicing costs, Russia is heading for collapse.
Expenditures in the middle of a war that will determine Putin's survival and they have to cut spending two months in a row. They've now:
- Finally exhausted the National Wealth Fund; and
- Milked all the liquidity out of the banks with their one-way REPO issues.
Once they stop paying the bond servicing (interest) obligations, the end will be fast. Putin will have to start selling chunks of Siberia to the Chinese. At pennies on the ruble, if we know anything about the Chinese. That students, is called the 'Long Game'.
LINK
0
Posted on 12/10/25 at 6:05 am to AU86
Interesting how no one had any rebuttals for this post.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 6:08 am to cypher
quote:
Zelenskyy says Ukraine could hold elections in 60 to 90 days if the U.S. and Europe provide security so people can vote.
IMO, Will never happen during the war. The amount of security he will demand will be impossible to provide.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 6:10 am to T1gerNate
quote:
Ukraine is quietly losing Siversk
Well no one here has been interested in discussing anything about the front that isn't "well it's taken the Russians a long time to do X!" In months
Posted on 12/10/25 at 7:35 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Well no one here has been interested in discussing anything about the front that isn't "well it's taken the Russians a long time to do X!" In months
It’s because Russian gains have been so slow that it’s not a major factor. The gains are easily taken in by Ukraine who makes adjustments.
We’ve discussed this before, who is going to run out of manpower or the will to fight first? Ukraine isn’t running out of land for Russia to capture any time soon.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 7:40 am to doubleb
quote:
The gains are easily taken in by Ukraine who makes adjustments.
This is fricking retarded.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 8:36 am to texag7
quote:
The gains are easily taken in by Ukraine who makes adjustments.
This is fricking retarded.
It’s been this way for over two years.
There have been no breakthroughs, no big gains, and nothing but small gains that occur and give Ukraine time and space to reorganize. Russia isn’t mobile enough to move at a faster rate; thus allowing Ukraine to make the necessary defensive adjustments.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 9:47 am to doubleb
quote:
The gains are easily taken in by Ukraine who makes adjustments.
Like what kind of adjustments? Be as specific as possible.
This post was edited on 12/10/25 at 9:48 am
Posted on 12/10/25 at 10:14 am to VolSquatch
quote:
Like what kind of adjustments? Be as specific as possible.
Come on what kind of question is that?
You don’t think Ukraine has done a good job of reworking their defenses in order to shop wholesale Russian advances? They repeatedly reworked their defenses, and supplemented their troops to stop breakthroughs.
You disagree?
Your turn, analyze the aftermath of the battle for Bakmuth. This was the biggest city captured by Russia after 2022. Bakmuth was reported to be a key point on the front and a gateway to the West.
This post was edited on 12/10/25 at 10:35 am
Posted on 12/10/25 at 10:58 am to doubleb
quote:
Come on what kind of question is that?
You don’t think Ukraine has done a good job of reworking their defenses in order to shop wholesale Russian advances? They repeatedly reworked their defenses, and supplemented their troops to stop breakthroughs.
You disagree?
I asked for examples. If it's that obvious you should be able to provide some. I didn't give any indication of my opinion on it.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 11:09 am to VolSquatch
quote:
I asked for examples. If it's that obvious you should be able to provide some. I didn't give any indication of my opinion on it.
I wouldn’t think a guy as up to date and as smart as you would have to ask such an obvious question.
But we all know you lurk here to troll.
It has been acknowledged by everyone that has followed the war that by the time Russia gains control of a key city or town that Ukraine has been able to counteract that stopping Russia from making significant gains as a result.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 11:15 am to doubleb
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Xitter is really falling off
This post was edited on 12/10/25 at 11:22 am
Posted on 12/10/25 at 11:21 am to doubleb
Russia is trying to accomplish the take over of the four oblasts through diplomatic means because they have been unable to do it on the battlefield. They are also facing economic issues as well as manpower issues.
Why Trump is trying to bail out Putin makes no sense. His negotiating tactics have put tgd US on Russia’s side.
ISW
Why Trump is trying to bail out Putin makes no sense. His negotiating tactics have put tgd US on Russia’s side.
quote:
Key Takeaways
The Kremlin is significantly intensifying its cognitive warfare effort to present the Russian military and economy as able to inevitably win a war of attrition against Ukraine.
The Kremlin’s cognitive warfare effort aims to achieve several of Putin’s original war aims through a negotiated settlement, as Russian forces are currently unable to achieve them on the battlefield.
Russian forces have gained 0.77 percent of Ukrainian territory since the start of 2025 while suffering disproportionately high personnel costs.
Russia’s resources are not endless as Putin is trying to assert, and Putin currently appears to be facing difficult decision points regarding the strategic sustainment of Russian force generation.
Putin is very likely preparing to attempt to offset Russia’s near-exhaustion of voluntary recruitment in 2026 by mobilizing elements of Russia’s strategic reserve to sustain combat operations in Ukraine.
The Kremlin remains unlikely to undertake a single large-scale mobilization at this time, however, and is most likely to persistently recruit reservists on a rolling basis.
A Kremlin official suggested that Russia may try to renege on any future peace agreement it signs with Ukraine due to the Ukrainian government’s alleged “illegitimacy” – as ISW has long warned.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky commented on the latest 20-point US-proposed peace plan.
Ukraine continued discussions with its European allies on December 8 about the ongoing peace negotiations.
Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman and Pokrovsk and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Oleksandrivka.
ISW
Posted on 12/10/25 at 11:52 am to doubleb
quote:
wouldn’t think a guy as up to date and as smart as you would have to ask such an obvious question.
But we all know you lurk here to troll.
Seems like you're getting a little flustered here. And you still didn't answer my question. You can't even give me one little nugget of an adjustment they made?
quote:
It has been acknowledged by everyone that has followed the war that by the time Russia gains control of a key city or town that Ukraine has been able to counteract that stopping Russia from making significant gains as a result.
Ok, how did they do it?
Posted on 12/10/25 at 12:04 pm to VolSquatch
I get flustered because I try to act like an adult, but then you divert to playing kid games. You start trolling again just to start an argument.
It has gotten old.
It has gotten old.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 12:09 pm to doubleb
quote:
nothing but small gains that occur and give Ukraine time and space to reorganize. Russia isn’t mobile enough to move at a faster rate; thus allowing Ukraine to make the necessary defensive adjustments.
What defensive adjustments? Continuing to factually lose more land?
You do know the objective to push Russia in the opposite direction correct?
We’re told here Russia has zero tanks left and rides donkeys to battle. How is Ukraine losing land daily to an army with donkeys and no tanks?
Posted on 12/10/25 at 12:15 pm to texag7
quote:Link?
We’re told here Russia has zero tanks left and rides donkeys to battle.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 12:17 pm to T1gerNate
quote:
What a complete buffoon you are. This is from The Kyiv Independent:
quote:
Siversk is a small city (pre war population of about 10,000) but plays an important role in Ukraine’s defense of northern Donetsk Oblast. It helps shield the larger urban cluster of Sloviansk and Kramatorsk to the west, which anchor Ukraine’s defensive “fortress belt” in Donetsk. Military analysts say that if Russia consolidates gains around Siversk, it could increase pressure on that defensive line by opening up new avenues of attack
Right.
So, let's see how much longer it takes for them to take it. From what I can gather, they've been fighting over it since 2022. Christ, it only took the Allies 11 months to go from Normandy to Berlin, so it shouldn't have taken the Russians, what? four years? to take this town so far.
Posted on 12/10/25 at 12:18 pm to texag7
quote:
What defensive adjustments? Continuing to factually lose more land?
You do know the objective to push Russia in the opposite direction correct?
We’re told here Russia has zero tanks left and rides donkeys to battle. How is Ukraine losing land daily to an army with donkeys and no tanks?
OH THANK GOD
I WAS WORRIED SICK
Posted on 12/10/25 at 12:25 pm to VolSquatch
quote:
Interesting how no one had any rebuttals for this post.
Honestly, there's not a whole lot to it. It's just some name calling and angry spite.
Can't do much with that.....
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