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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
Posted on 11/26/25 at 3:48 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Posted on 11/26/25 at 3:48 pm to Coeur du Tigre
A remarkable sea change in German opinion. There is only one man i the world that could do this.
Thanks Vlad.
Thanks Vlad.
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More than half of Germany's population, namely: 56% — would approve sending Bundeswehr soldiers to Ukraine as part of a European peacekeeping mission if a peace treaty is concluded.
These are the results of the annual The Berlin Pulse survey conducted by the Forsa public opinion research institute on behalf of the Körber Foundation.
59% of respondents supported further arms deliveries to Ukraine.
Only 21% of those surveyed indicated that they believe Putin is fundamentally interested in achieving peace in Ukraine.
Against this background, judging by the survey results, Germans' anxiety about their own security is growing.
Thus, 47% of study participants assessed the military threat from Moscow as "very high", which is much higher than last year.
54% of Germans also fear that Russia will try to influence public opinion in their country.
At the same time, 72% of Germans approve of the German government's intention to double the country's defense spending over the next ten years.
0
Posted on 11/26/25 at 4:23 pm to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
8/ "And they HAVE NOT BEEN ROUTED. And they cannot be routed in a situation where the Russian Armed Forces only have the forces for tactical operations. Still, the forces for strategic operations are either completely absent or insufficient for their successful implementation.
Early this year, I made a series of posts in the old thread about Russia not having the combat power to exploit any breakthroughs at the front. This is precisely what I was referring to. At the time, I was talking about the apparent lack of Russian mechanized forces sitting in reserve to exploit breakthroughs.
The depots are empty, and Russia has almost exhausted its armor stocks. Yes, it has ramped up production, but nowhere near the level needed to support a real offensive operation. Those stockpiles had been building for decades and were a tremendous strategic asset to the Russian military. That's gone now.
Russia has been neutered for decades. It will take long-term, sustained manufacturing to rebuild its stockpiles. They can't go to war on any scale without large reserves of equipment and ammo. Yes, they still have the nukes, but they can't launch any type of conventional war.
The recent Ukrainian attacks on geothermal plants and power substations if continued, will start to cause a real problem for Russia. Winter is here.
Russia had better be glad Ukraine doesn't have the combat power to go on the offensive.
Posted on 11/26/25 at 4:38 pm to Chromdome35
Good article discussing the Russian armor situation.
Note: This article was published in early 2025; the numbers will have declined further since then.
https://theins.ru/en/politics/278468?utm_source=chatgpt.com
The closing paragraph is exactly what I'm talking about in my previous post.
Note: This article was published in early 2025; the numbers will have declined further since then.
https://theins.ru/en/politics/278468?utm_source=chatgpt.com
quote:
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has led to the bloodiest conflict in Europe since World War II. It has also resulted in the largest depletion of military equipment in 80 years. Vast stockpiles of primarily Soviet-era weaponry, originally designed at the height of the Cold War for use in a global confrontation with the Western world, have been exhausted at an unprecedented rate. According to the latest available estimates, Russia’s armed forces have already lost more than half of their available military hardware. If no unexpected developments occur, the most likely scenario involves a gradual decline in combat intensity by late 2025 or early 2026, driven by a basic shortage of tanks, armored vehicles, and artillery. Alternatively, the nature of the war may shift, with both sides relying more on missile and drone strikes against rear positions, while the front lines remain largely static.
---
For the Russian military, the primary source of heavy equipment remains Soviet-era stockpiles. New production is nowhere near sufficient to compensate for battlefield losses. T-90M tanks are the only model still produced from scratch, with an estimated 250 units built per year. Military analyst Andriy Tarasenko told The Insider that Russia likely produces no more than 300 new tanks annually — less than half of what is lost in offensives like the one on Avdiivka and Pokrovsk.
---
In the artillery category, Russia’s key limitation lies in its inability to manufacture gun barrels. As a result, there have been notable instances of Russia abandoning efforts to reactivate certain artillery systems from storage. For rocket artillery, the primary challenge is the production of a sufficient number of rockets to sustain operations.
A group of independent researchers using satellite imagery to analyze Russia’s Soviet-era equipment stockpiles at open storage bases released a comprehensive report at the end of 2024. Their findings indicate that over the course of the full-scale war, across key categories of military equipment (tanks, IFVs, APCs, and artillery systems), only 41% to 52% of pre-war reserves remain in storage.
The closing paragraph is exactly what I'm talking about in my previous post.
quote:
Having burned through an enormous amount of military resources in a localized war with Ukraine, the Kremlin will face an almost insurmountable challenge if it is seriously preparing for a new Cold War with the West. To maintain combat readiness, Russia would need to replenish not only frontline units, but also storage reserves, and given the depletion of its Soviet-era stocks, it would need to do this with newly manufactured vehicles, which are far more complex and expensive to produce. By even the most conservative estimates, rebuilding the Russian military’s combat potential would require massive investments in its core assets and take decades to complete.
This post was edited on 11/26/25 at 4:46 pm
Posted on 11/26/25 at 9:31 pm to Chromdome35
Covert Cabal had a Youtube I posted several days ago regarding this. Also, since almost all was stored outside for decades and not in a dry desert atmosphere like the US Sierra Nevada Depot, much of it was nothing but hunks of rust.
Though Russia didn't go 100% war economy, it came close enough to that so it will be difficult to switch its economy back. It's not like there is a market for the same manufacturing to sell tractors, locomotive, and airplanes. Also, price caps will need to be removed so everything will cost more and it already costs a lot more than 4 years ago.
So as much as it hurts Russia to be on war footing, it may hurt Putin more to have peace.
Though Russia didn't go 100% war economy, it came close enough to that so it will be difficult to switch its economy back. It's not like there is a market for the same manufacturing to sell tractors, locomotive, and airplanes. Also, price caps will need to be removed so everything will cost more and it already costs a lot more than 4 years ago.
So as much as it hurts Russia to be on war footing, it may hurt Putin more to have peace.
Posted on 11/27/25 at 12:44 am to CitizenK
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The U.S. believes it was Ukrainian intelligence that recorded and leaked Steve Witkoff’s call with Putin’s aide to the media, according to journalist Serhiy Sydorenko from European Pravda.
Well, it's going to be one of those mysteries....
But one thing that's not mysterious, the TACO / Witoff duo has lost control of their communication channels (no surprise) and thus any credibility. Just another TACO clown show.
Posted on 11/27/25 at 8:08 am to Coeur du Tigre
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Bosnian Defense Minister Zukan Helez refused to let the military aircraft carrying Hungarian FM Szijjártó to land in the country, he wrote on his Facebook page.
"For years, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and Minister Szijjártó have been openly supporting the former president of the administrative entity of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Republika Srpska, Milorad Dodik, in his actions that undermine the sovereignty, territorial integrity, and unity of Bosnia and Herzegovina," he wrote.
Helez also added that the Hungarian side did not provide "any clear explanation" as to why Szijjártó was arriving specifically on a military aircraft.
quote:
We all know who the Hungarian representatives are visiting in Bosnia.
They are supporting their big friend Milorad Dodik who proudly boasts of his links with russia. Yet, the current US government has lifted sanctions imposed on Dodik for his separatist actions.
Dodik with Brokdik -
Posted on 11/27/25 at 8:22 am to Coeur du Tigre
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If tweet fails to load, click here. Dayum... that's Grozny as in Chechnya. Will the lid finally come off? Just what Putin needs right now.
Posted on 11/27/25 at 9:25 am to Coeur du Tigre
Ukraine is still making Russia pay as Russian advances are proceeding at a foot pace. There are no imminent breakthroughs or collapses.
Russia continues to insist on their original position during negotiations despite their huge losses. Donetsk could fall in August of 2027.
ISW big update
Russia continues to insist on their original position during negotiations despite their huge losses. Donetsk could fall in August of 2027.
quote:
Key Takeaways
Data on Russian forces’ rate of advance indicates that a Russian military victory in Ukraine is not inevitable, and a rapid Russian seizure of the rest of Donetsk Oblast is not imminent.
Recent Russian advances elsewhere on the frontline have largely been opportunistic and exploited seasonal weather conditions. Ukrainian forces have proven effective at constraining Russian advances and conducting successful counteroffensives, particularly when well-staffed and well-equipped.
Kremlin officials continue setting conditions to reject any peace deal that does not concede to all of Russia’s maximalist demands.
The Kremlin is reportedly concerned that the United States will correctly interpret Russia as unwilling to meaningfully engage in negotiations and accept any peace deal that compromises its ability to achieve its maximalist claims.
Recent Ukrainian counterattacks may further delay Russian forces’ seizure of Pokrovsk, though the situation in Pokrovsk remains serious and dynamic at this time. Russia continues setting conditions to deploy active reservists to combat against Ukraine.
Russia’s long-range strike campaign is increasingly killing and injuring civilians.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Hulyaipole. Russian forces recently advanced near Lyman.
ISW big update
Posted on 11/27/25 at 10:15 am to Coeur du Tigre
Who is going to shoot retreating Russians if Akmat is gone?
Posted on 11/27/25 at 11:47 am to doubleb
quote:
ISW big update
ISW is the GOAT.
Thanks for posting!
Posted on 11/27/25 at 3:36 pm to Coeur du Tigre
Witkof is a traitor to the United States.
And if JD Vance knew about this and condoned it, or even supported it, then JD Vance is a traitor to the United States.
And if JD Vance knew about this and condoned it, or even supported it, then JD Vance is a traitor to the United States.
Posted on 11/27/25 at 4:43 pm to Leopold
Did Russian tanks overrun Ukraine while I took a 3 hr nap?
Posted on 11/27/25 at 7:43 pm to Leopold
quote:
Witkof is a traitor to the United States. And if JD Vance knew about this and condoned it, or even supported it, then JD Vance is a traitor to the United States.
Posted on 11/27/25 at 10:07 pm to Leopold
quote:
Witkof is a traitor to the United States.
Well, Vladimir Putin says that he isn't. So that settles it
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Posted on 11/27/25 at 11:27 pm to texag7
These people are insane. They are as nutty as that damn lunatic Bill Kristol.
Scary.
Scary.
This post was edited on 11/27/25 at 11:38 pm
Posted on 11/28/25 at 2:26 am to AU86
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[Also] Ukrainian drones have attacked Taganrog again, high likely targetting the area of the Beriev Aviation Building Plant again which was hit two days ago.
Posted on 11/28/25 at 2:36 am to Coeur du Tigre
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By partnering with BAE Systems, Poland is building three new munitions factories capable of producing NATO-standard 155mm shells, which Ukraine burns through by the thousands.
At anywhere from 150,000-200,000 155mm shells per year, this places Poland at the center of Europe’s rearmament effort.
Posted on 11/28/25 at 2:59 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
Putin will meet Hungarian PM Viktor Orban in Moscow today, Kremlin spokesman Peskov has confirmed. The visit, previously announced by Orban, underscores Budapest’s continued alignment with Moscow under the guise of energy and “peace” talks.
Now we know why TACO prevented Swiss trader Gunvor from buying the sanctions-distressed Lukoil properties in Europe and granted Orban's request to be excepted from the Russian oil sanctions.
LINK
This post was edited on 11/28/25 at 3:32 am
Posted on 11/28/25 at 3:09 am to Coeur du Tigre
Good. This will clarify Yermak's position and stop all the doubts originating with a huge Russian propaganda campaign.
quote:
“Today, NABU (the National Anti-Corruption Bureau) and SAP (the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office) are carrying out procedural actions at my home.
There are no obstacles for the investigators. They have been granted full access to the residence, and my lawyers are present on site, cooperating with law enforcement. I am providing full assistance on my part.”
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Ukrainian anti-corruption investigators are conducting a search at the Kyiv residence of Presidential Chief of Staff Andriy Yermak, according to FT. The investigation relates to suspected corruption in the energy sector.
Yermak confirmed the search, saying NABU and SAPO have full access, his lawyers are cooperating, and he’s offering full support.
Posted on 11/28/25 at 3:41 am to Coeur du Tigre
More detail on the drone attack on the Akhmat bases in Grozny this week. As the opposition party NIYSO has chimed in [they have an opposition party in Chechnia?], maybe we should put the word drone in brackets.
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Barracks on the territory of the military town attacked in Grozny (Republic of russia) - ASTRA
The roof collapsed and one of the service buildings on the territory of the military town on Kadyrov Avenue caught fire. The function of the attacked barracks is unknown. Note that it is located in the center of the town, and it is the only non-elongated building on the territory of the unit. Earlier, activists of the opposition movement NIYSO reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine struck the military town. According to the channel, the location of the 291st motorized rifle regiment in the Shatoy district was also attacked. - ASTRA
quote:
Akhmat bases were also hit in other locations. Probably a strike on Military Unit 65384, where the 291st Guards Motor Rifle Regiment is stationed. - exilenova+
This post was edited on 11/28/25 at 3:43 am
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