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Message
re: Kamala Harris Now Leads or is Tied with Trump in All But One Swing State Per Cook Report
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:26 am to Northwestern tiger
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:26 am to Northwestern tiger
Presidential polls were off by nearly 10% in the swing states in 2016. They were off by 5% in 2020, and that was after record-shattering voting at the top of the ballot in swing states. For example, you had a situation in PA where tens of thousands of drop box ballots had a vote for Biden with literally no other votes on the ballot. Even after that, the polls in PA were off by nearly 5%. Oddly enough, these polls almost always are skewed to the blue column.
Polls create a narrative for the media. I hate how addicted we are to them.
Polls create a narrative for the media. I hate how addicted we are to them.
1
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:29 am to ipodking
Bro don’t you know any poll that shows Harris ahead is fake. Trump will win in a blowout or it’s rigged
It’s fake news she’s gained ground every week and keeps out fundraising Trump.
Everyone on here doesn’t think she’s a threat so there’s nothing to worry about.
It’s fake news she’s gained ground every week and keeps out fundraising Trump.
Everyone on here doesn’t think she’s a threat so there’s nothing to worry about.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:30 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Bro don’t you know any poll that shows Harris ahead is fake
You said every Trump poll that he was up was fake
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:31 am to SDVTiger
Wake me in a few weeks - this means nothing today
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:33 am to Northwestern tiger
Because it is August.
Newness is king
Remember, at this point in the race, McCain and Palin were running away with it.
September will settle everything down. October will break someone.
Same as it ever was
Newness is king
Remember, at this point in the race, McCain and Palin were running away with it.
September will settle everything down. October will break someone.
Same as it ever was
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:36 am to Northwestern tiger
The media makes it look like she's ahead so when they cheat, it won't look so obvious.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:39 am to SDVTiger
quote:
You said every Trump poll that he was up was fake
It's a lot easier to believe the one out of 100 that says Trump is up is fake than to believe that the 99 out of 100 that say Harris is up are all fake.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:41 am to TigerFanatic99
quote:
It's a lot easier to believe the one out of 100 that says Trump is up is fake
For the last 6mnths hes been way ahead in all polls
They were called fake
You dummy
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:41 am to Northwestern tiger
I can’t even fathom a Harris/Walz presidency….its such a clown ticket. does not compute
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:46 am to Bandit1980
Looks like they're neither left nor right. LINK
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:48 am to Northwestern tiger
Keep in mind that Cook really does not like Trump. He’s expressed that every time I’ve heard him on Megyn Kelly’s podcast.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:52 am to SDVTiger
quote:
For the last 6mnths hes been way ahead in all polls
They were called fake
You dummy
Not by me. I've been rather consistent in following the trends across an accumulation of polls. I've always believed the majority and dismissed the extreme outliers.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 8:53 am to ipodking
These polls are two weeks old
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:00 am to Northwestern tiger
quote:
Economy crash might be needed tfor him to win.
Inflation dropped to 2.9%. He really has nothing to run on.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:02 am to RAB
quote:
Presidential polls were off by nearly 10% in the swing states in 2016. They were off by 5% in 2020, and that was after record-shattering voting at the top of the ballot in swing states. For example, you had a situation in PA where tens of thousands of drop box ballots had a vote for Biden with literally no other votes on the ballot. Even after that, the polls in PA were off by nearly 5%. Oddly enough, these polls almost always are skewed to the blue column.
Polls create a narrative for the media. I hate how addicted we are to them.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/
They were actually spot on with Pennsylvania in 2020. Within 2 points for Michigan, within 1 point for Arizona. They were pretty far off for Wisconsin.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:04 am to Mickey Goldmill
Mickey, what are your top 5 Harris/Walz platforms?
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:05 am to Mickey Goldmill
quote:
They were actually spot on with Pennsylvania in 2020.
Now do mid August 2020. They were 5% off.
This post was edited on 8/14/24 at 9:06 am
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:07 am to Northwestern tiger
Where are these “polls” even happening ?
If you look at polls on Twitter/X, it’s about 75% Trump on all of them
Polls are biased to where its polling at.
Polls are useless in predicting (see 2020 and 2016)
If you look at polls on Twitter/X, it’s about 75% Trump on all of them
Polls are biased to where its polling at.
Polls are useless in predicting (see 2020 and 2016)
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:08 am to dkreller
quote:
Kamala can’t lose!!!
This is probably closer to the truth than you think.
Posted on 8/14/24 at 9:24 am to RAB
quote:
Now do mid August 2020. They were 5% off.
That isn't being "off." Polls are a snapshot in time. Polls may show Harris leading right now, but that doesn't mean they stay that way. Sentiments change, voter enthusiasm can change, etc.
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