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re: It's Over - Trump Black Likely Voter Approval Ratings up 21% since Monday - 46%!
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:04 am to bayoubengals88
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:04 am to bayoubengals88
And if Trump got 45% of the Hispanic vote he'd win New Mexico!
Granted, he only got 28% last time so that would be a tall task.
Granted, he only got 28% last time so that would be a tall task.
2
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:06 am to GEAUXmedic
That looks like great news, but how can it increase that much in 5 days?
Not sure I trust that. No way it jumps 21 points in less than a week, unless something really big drops.. and I don't think the laptop would cause this in the black community.
Not sure about this one fellas, but I hope I'm wrong.
Not sure I trust that. No way it jumps 21 points in less than a week, unless something really big drops.. and I don't think the laptop would cause this in the black community.
Not sure about this one fellas, but I hope I'm wrong.
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 11:07 am
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:08 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Trump Black Likely Voter Approval Ratings up 21% since Monday - 46%!
C'mon now. Trump will not get anywhere near 46% of the black vote. 15-20% would be incredible and would secure the election
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:17 am to SlickRick55
quote:
I wonder how much of this is due to people like Candace, Herschel Walker, Klack, Leo, and the likes?
I have a huge crush on Kimberly Klacik.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:22 am to bayoubengals88
I really don’t believe Trump wins NM. It’s almost like the Hispanics there respond differently than Hispanics in TX and more like those in CA. Cubans will carry FL.
While I do believe Trump will greatly increase his support from AAs, there’s no way I believe 46%. It would be shocking but amazing.
While I do believe Trump will greatly increase his support from AAs, there’s no way I believe 46%. It would be shocking but amazing.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:25 am to SlickRick55
And... if 46% will admit that to a pollster then what are the actual number of blacks supporting Trump? Probably 60.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:26 am to GEAUXmedic
Maybe its just me but I have no idea how a white person let alone a white male votes for that guy or that party.
They are losing voters when they should have been trying to expand the voter base.
They are losing voters when they should have been trying to expand the voter base.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:29 am to GEAUXmedic
Let's say Trump siphons off 20% of the black vote from Biden. Based off 2016 numbers, that would be 4.6M votes. Applied to the popular vote numbers that would put Biden at 61.25M votes and Trump at 67.58M votes.
Obviously that's a serious oversimplification, and we know popular vote is irrelevant, but a swing in votes that big right out of the gates would pretty much end Biden's night before it's even started.
We need those vote swings in PA and MI big time for insurance against all those dead people who will be voting.
Obviously that's a serious oversimplification, and we know popular vote is irrelevant, but a swing in votes that big right out of the gates would pretty much end Biden's night before it's even started.
We need those vote swings in PA and MI big time for insurance against all those dead people who will be voting.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:29 am to LSUGrrrl
quote:Like I demonstrated, 15% (AA) and 40% (Hisp.) get Trump 312 EVs. That's the 2016 map + Nevada.
While I do believe Trump will greatly increase his support from AAs, there’s no way I believe 46%. It would be shocking but amazing.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:30 am to ibldprplgld
quote:
Let's say Trump siphons off 20% of the black vote from Biden. Based off 2016 numbers, that would be 4.6M votes. Applied to the popular vote numbers that would put Biden at 61.25M votes and Trump at 67.58M votes.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:31 am to GEAUXmedic
If true, we're looking at a DJT landslide.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:32 am to bayoubengals88
quote:
NBC Swingometer
i spent way too much time playing with that thing.
crazy that a 5% swing for the black vote gets Trump the W. A 10% swing from hispanics gets a bigly W.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:35 am to bayoubengals88
Hilary got 89% in 2016, Trump got 8%.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:35 am to fjlee90
quote:
I predict 15-17% of the black vote breaks for Trump this year.
That would still be huge. Wasn't his support around 6% in 16?
I still find the 15% to 17% amount hard to believe. Could be just my circle of blacks that I know but they're 99% Biden...hope I'm wrong.
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 11:37 am
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:37 am to i am dan
quote:
That looks like great news, but how can it increase that much in 5 days?
It could be a correction instead of a jump like someone else mentioned.
Also, that 50 Cent endorsement is a big deal.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:39 am to RD Dawg
Ice Cube and 50 Cent doing work!
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:39 am to BoarEd
quote:
Also, that 50 Cent endorsement is a big deal.
50 Cent is his slave name. By the time Trump is done, he’s gonna go by Dollar
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:41 am to ibldprplgld
quote:Trump doubling black support would be a literal landslide situation, which is why I’m skeptical.
Hilary got 89% in 2016, Trump got 8%.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:43 am to Scruffy
quote:You have good reason to be.
Trump doubling black support would be a literal landslide situation, which is why I’m skeptical.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 11:44 am to bayoubengals88
My future daughter in law and her sister are voting for Donald Trump. There grandmother is not happy about this.
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