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Started By
Message
re: Iowa Selzer poll has Kamala in the lead
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:16 pm to TakingStock
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:16 pm to TakingStock
I've already voted.
0
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:16 pm to RLDSC FAN
He loses Iowa, Harris wins in a landslide.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:17 pm to WAY2GOLSU
quote:
I want to believe this isnt accurare, but ...this just isn't good. I don't think it is beneficial to deny it just because I don't want it to be true.
Ever since she was on Halperin's show in August and admitted to not releasing a poll because her bosses told her she couldn't I said I will never trust her again
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:17 pm to Tuscaloosa
quote:
an impossible shift with no major seismic event between then and now.
Uhh replacing a candidate is a pretty huge event
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 6:18 pm
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:17 pm to 3HourTour
Dem -6.3%
Rep +6.6%
Early voting data as of -3 days out compared to 2020
Trump wins easily
Rep +6.6%
Early voting data as of -3 days out compared to 2020
Trump wins easily
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:17 pm to 3HourTour
Even if it's a close win, it doesn't bode well for the other Midwest states
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:17 pm to RLDSC FAN
Calling horse crap. Trump will win Iowa easily.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:18 pm to Macfly
Even if this was legitimate and keeping in mind that Halperin says Wisconsin is Trump’s to lose, Trump still wins with NC/GA/WI/NV even if he lost Iowa and Pennsylvania.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:18 pm to Iowatiger209
It’s not just about Iowa
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:18 pm to RLDSC FAN
I wonder what Selzer's price was for this. I mean, she was already a leftist but I cannot imagine retiring herself with this poll without a massive golden parachute.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:19 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Look
At
The
Voting
Data
Not
Polls
At
The
Voting
Data
Not
Polls
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:19 pm to Proximo
That’s
Not
How
This
Works
Not
How
This
Works
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:19 pm to RLDSC FAN
Its not close Emerson has it Trump +11
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:20 pm to Jwho77
Nah this doesn't even phase me as it makes zero sense
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:21 pm to NawlinsTiger9
Trump has a 12% favorable swing in early voting compared to 2020, WHICH HE WON, and it isn’t how it works
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:21 pm to SirWinston
It's a last stand for this leftist wave so they are going out with a bang.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:22 pm to RLDSC FAN
quote:
Apparently a very reliable pollster
So ignoring the fckanery of pollsters showing +1s again and again this is how actual polling works.
808 voters, MoE of 3.4%
Thats everything from Trump up 3.8% to Harris up 9.8%
Those are all valid for the MoE.
Selzer is a good poll, they are actually polling and releasing, polls are not that accurate.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:22 pm to SirWinston
She’s done as a pollster if trump wins the election.
This is the definition of going all in.
This is the definition of going all in.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:22 pm to RLDSC FAN
Lolololololololololol
Trump will win Iowa by 10 pts.
Trump will win Iowa by 10 pts.
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:22 pm to Proximo
Here's the article:
So neither campaigns which have their own internal polling have spent any time in the state whatsoever and we are supposed to believe this result?
quote:
The results come as Trump and Harris have focused their attention almost exclusively on seven battleground states that are expected to shape the outcome of the election. Neither has campaigned in Iowa since the presidential primaries ended, and neither campaign has established a ground presence in the state.
A victory for Harris would be a surprising development after Iowa has swung aggressively to the right in recent elections, delivering Trump solid victories in 2016 and 2020.
So neither campaigns which have their own internal polling have spent any time in the state whatsoever and we are supposed to believe this result?
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