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re: If your life depends on the Fed rates, perhaps you should ask mommy for more allowance

Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:18 pm to
Posted by extremetigerfanatic
Member since Oct 2003
5851 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:18 pm to
This is for the people arguing it’s so hard to buy a house now.

ChatGPT for this info:

The US avg cost of an 1100 sqft home in 2001: $95,000

The US avg cost of an 1100 sqft home in 2024: $250,000

The 23 year avg increase of that price: 4.29%

The yearly increase in the avg US income per person for the same timeframe:
3.65%

I don’t have a dog in the fight. But those numbers don’t look crazy.

Maybe the issue is not with rates. Or even housing prices specifically.


It’s odd someone will argue “hey how much was first house though?” Without also asking “what was your salary that year?” as well


Yeah. My first house was $89,900. But my annual salary that year was also like $25,000. At a corporate desk job.
This post was edited on 7/31/25 at 4:26 pm
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
60727 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

first mortgage was at 8%. The current 6.5% would have been a gift.
mine was 7.7 on a 60k home.

Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
19196 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

Maybe the issue is not with rates. Or even housing prices specifically.


The issue IMO is that we had nil interest rates from 2008 to just a few years ago. All of that money sloshing around had to go somewhere and housing became a target.

There is no easy way to unfrick this problem.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

So cut the 1% nad let us pay less on Gov debt whike raking in billions from Tariffs. Maybe the debt everyone cries about can start to be paid off
If money printing was good, counterfeiting would be not only legal, but encouraged.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

One friggin point would do an awful lot to boost home sales and the economy in general.
So would sending everyone a $50,000 check. When did it become the Fed's mandate to ensure people can comfortably pay for a house? This is a policy only Bernie would back. I guess we're Keynesians now?
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
21825 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

This is for the people arguing it’s so hard to buy a house now.

ChatGPT for this info:

The US avg cost of an 1100 sqft home in 2001: $95,000

The US avg cost of an 1100 sqft home in 2024: $250,000

The 23 year avg increase of that price: 4.29%

The yearly increase in the avg US income per person for the same timeframe:
3.65%

I don’t have a dog in the fight. But those numbers don’t look crazy.

Maybe the issue is not with rates. Or even housing prices specifically.

Add to what you've pointed out here is that the real estate cycle isn't new and we happen to be at a point in the cycle where it's difficult for new buyers, but do the analysis you just did for 2010-2015 and you'll find that period was one of the best for buying in decades.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

So basically, you’re fine without almost an entire generation being unable to afford a house until things level off?
The problem isn't interest rates, it's the nominal prices. While it's fun to say "an entire generation is unable to afford a house" the way to make it affordable will destroy most of the wealth of older generations. This is why "fairness" is a silly metric. And manipulating the money supply for the sake of "affordability" is are recipe for disaster.

Flooding the money supply with worthless dollars won't make anything more affordable. It has the opposite effect, actually.

quote:

Right now, I just think Powell is either a TDS-infected democrat or politicized RINO who believes that lowering their interest rate will help Trump and the “Trump economy.“

MAGA folks: The Trump economy is awesome and on fire!
Also MAGA folks: We need monetary stmulus to help Trump's economy!

It's beautiful.
This post was edited on 7/31/25 at 4:59 pm
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52914 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:00 pm to
I wish the rates were 15%, ultra low rates and 90 month car financing drives pricing up sky high becsuse people are buying things they cant really afford.
Posted by Zendog
Santa Barbara
Member since Feb 2019
6337 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:00 pm to
my wife's livelihood (mortgage loan processor) basically relies on a low late so you can go frick yourself
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62605 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:00 pm to

quote:

Could part of the answer to help this generation that's finding it difficult to buy their first house be to build 1300 sq ft homes with a carport, linoleum flooring, and no bells/whistles?
They won't live in that.
Posted by timdonaghyswhistle
Member since Jul 2018
20797 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

One friggin point is not gonna change your life


Then why not give it?
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26944 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

my wife's livelihood (mortgage loan processor) basically relies on a low late so you can go frick yourself


Let's set national economic policy based on how much money the people at Rocket Mortgage will make. Seems like a solid enough plan.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
21825 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

They won't live in that.

Yup. A major part of the "unprecedented difficulty to get into the housing market" is the unprecedented demands - size and features - of first time buyers.

Posted by Zgeo
Baja Oklahoma
Member since Jul 2021
3174 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:08 pm to
It would help the USA with the national debt
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
26944 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Yup. A major part of the "unprecedented difficulty to get into the housing market" is the unprecedented demands - size and features - of first time buyers.



I bought my first house in 1992. It was 3x my salary as an engineer not long out of college, I had an 8% rate, 1800 square feet, formica countertops, shite cabinets, vinyl flooring in the kitchen and contractor grade appliances.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
19196 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:09 pm to
My parents first home was a trailer…and mom worked as a teacher and dad at the State of GA. That was acceptable back then.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19202 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

We’ve had historically low rates since 2008 and it’s has fricked us royally.

This was an issue of demographics, not monetary policy.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
53829 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

We’ve had historically low rates since 2008 and it’s has fricked us royally.

This was an issue of demographics, not monetary policy.


Most people who are whining about 6.75% interest rates on a 30 year mortgage are not factoring in how many residential homes were snapped up by institutional real estate investors/speculators since the Financial Meltdown of 2008/2009. Last stat I saw was approximately 20% of all residential real estate is still being purchased by real estate investment companies, which drives up the cost. Now factor in 30 million illegals, many who have bought homes over the past 20 years and who are frequently living 2-3 families in a home.


This ^^^^^ shite drives up residential real estate costs.
Posted by DrrTiger
Gulf of America
Member since Nov 2023
2374 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

my wife's livelihood (mortgage loan processor) basically relies on a low late so you can go frick yourself


If I were your wife, I’d be more concerned that AI will make that position extinct in the not too distant future.
Posted by Zendog
Santa Barbara
Member since Feb 2019
6337 posts
Posted on 7/31/25 at 5:23 pm to
frick off dipshit
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