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re: If RFKJ drops out of the race and endorses Trump, how much of his support moves to Trump?
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:22 pm to OMLandshark
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:22 pm to OMLandshark
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/16/26 at 5:46 pm
1
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:23 pm to OMLandshark
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/16/26 at 5:46 pm
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:25 pm to dallastiger55
quote:
Most won’t vote. It might benefit Trump a tad. Many will go to Harris
A non-vote is a ballot filled out for Kamala. RFK should push that you don't have to vote for president, but at least get to the polls and vote for something. Use your ballot, because if you don't, it's going to get used and you have no say who for.
This post was edited on 8/21/24 at 7:27 pm
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:27 pm to Huskertiger2
quote:
1-2% which is huge in swing states.
156 million voted in the 2020 election. If we get that turnout 1-2% translates into 1.56 to 3.12 million extra votes for Trump.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:29 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
The bill gave a blank check to Ukraine and Israel, so frick off.
That blank check is assured anyway. Get used to it. Target the real opposition unless you are a dem.
BTW, Ukraine is holding ground in Russia and sending Moscow drones. Little ole Ukraine
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:36 pm to Asleepinthecove
I’ve seen posts saying I’m voting kamala now and others say they aren’t voting now.
So I really don’t know.
So I really don’t know.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:36 pm to Asleepinthecove
Net advantage of 0.5-1% in the swing states which is enough to potentially swing a few his way.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 7:51 pm to Asleepinthecove
Probably not much
His supporters specifically don’t want Trump or Kamala
His supporters specifically don’t want Trump or Kamala
Posted on 8/21/24 at 8:08 pm to wareaglepete
quote:
RFK Jr. dropping out and endorsing Trump gives 0.5 to 1% advantage to Trump.
Probably about right, but that’s huge in a race like this.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 8:11 pm to Asleepinthecove
Any independents on the fence will go to Trump.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 8:14 pm to Asleepinthecove
RFK has been dropping since Kamala got in the race. A lot of people who normally vote dem, but couldn’t support Biden have already flipped to Kamala. There is a chance in states where RFK is still close to 5% maybe trump gets 1.5% advantage.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 8:41 pm to Asleepinthecove
after Kamala entered the race anyone left in the Kennedy camp were those hesitant Trump voters. The Bidens-Too-Old crowd immediately shifted back to Kamala. Kennedy's share is largely could vote for Trump types or won't show up at all..
Posted on 8/21/24 at 9:13 pm to Asleepinthecove
6 to 10% towards trump
Posted on 8/21/24 at 9:17 pm to Asleepinthecove
What percentage goes to Trump? 35
What percentage decides to not vote? 50
What percentage goes back to the Democrats? 15
What percentage decides to not vote? 50
What percentage goes back to the Democrats? 15
This post was edited on 8/21/24 at 9:19 pm
Posted on 8/21/24 at 9:22 pm to momentoftruth87
Having Kennedy’s endorsement is the only, sole endorsement in this whole election that would move the needle.
It really is the only meaningful one someone could get. A former rino coming out for kamala is meaningless (Paul Ryan Liz Cheney). Enough support moves to Trump that it improves his chances of winning. the majority of the 4-5% of the votes he’s getting currently would go to Trump when he gets his endorsement and gets a position meaning it is a net positive.
ETA I have the popcorn ready for Friday
It really is the only meaningful one someone could get. A former rino coming out for kamala is meaningless (Paul Ryan Liz Cheney). Enough support moves to Trump that it improves his chances of winning. the majority of the 4-5% of the votes he’s getting currently would go to Trump when he gets his endorsement and gets a position meaning it is a net positive.
ETA I have the popcorn ready for Friday
This post was edited on 8/21/24 at 9:24 pm
Posted on 8/21/24 at 10:03 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
I think the fact that Musk a moderate dem and RFK Jr the son of a dem Icon
would support Trump should cause undecided people to give him a closer look.
would support Trump should cause undecided people to give him a closer look.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 10:05 pm to AU66
quote:
Kennedy supporters on Twitter are pissed at the DNC.
So were bernie supporters
They all still bent over and voted for hilldog and biden
Posted on 8/21/24 at 10:22 pm to Asleepinthecove
Kennedy isn't the only independent on the ticket. There's two others (that I know of).
One is an absolute libtard campaigning as the 1st millennial running for pres. The other I haven't checked into.
Dunno how much that will change numbers, but it's factors to throw Into the mix.
One is an absolute libtard campaigning as the 1st millennial running for pres. The other I haven't checked into.
Dunno how much that will change numbers, but it's factors to throw Into the mix.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 10:28 pm to retooc
quote:
What percentage goes to Trump? 35
What percentage decides to not vote? 50
What percentage goes back to the Democrats? 15
That's about right. The net for Trump here is 0.8%.
The polls indicate that RFK Jr. is pulling 0.5 to 1% more from Trump than Kamala.
Posted on 8/21/24 at 10:49 pm to Asleepinthecove
He definitely will move some independent votes
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