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If election were today, what percentage of black vote do you think Trump would get?

Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:45 am
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
25004 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:45 am
For reference, in 2016, he got 6%.

What's your legitimate estimation as if you were betting something significant, not your pie in the sky wish?

Mine? 15%

ETA: Pew Research says he got 6%, but other publications say 8%. LINK
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 10:02 am
Posted by aubie101
Russia
Member since Nov 2010
3090 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:46 am to
10%
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
26570 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:46 am to
36%
Posted by Knight of Old
New Hampshire
Member since Jul 2007
10978 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:46 am to
At least 15%...
Posted by GregMaddux
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2011
18212 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:46 am to
quote:

6%.

Posted by Colonel Angus
Member since Aug 2007
1627 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:47 am to
8%
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13104 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:47 am to
10-15%. Which may be more than enough to get to 270 EV's.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45810 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:47 am to
I think 12-15%
Posted by Turbeauxdog
Member since Aug 2004
23189 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:47 am to
Maybe a tick more than normal , maybe
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:47 am to
20%
Posted by cbtullis
Atlanta
Member since Apr 2004
6257 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:47 am to
12 percent
Posted by DeltaDoc
The Delta
Member since Jan 2008
16089 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:48 am to
8-10%
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
16740 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:49 am to
8-10%
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
81756 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:49 am to
I think he’d get close to 20% (mostly all from older black men) but that we’d only know he got about 10% because so many wouldn’t admit it.

I’m really interested to see how he does with Hispanics. I think he will be way up.
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 9:50 am
Posted by claremontrich
Member since Nov 2016
2001 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:49 am to
8-10%

Posted by 7thWardTo314
Member since May 2017
1278 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:49 am to
0%.


Cause anyone who votes for trump isn’t black.
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:50 am to
7%. A few have left the plantation.
Posted by Magician2
Member since Oct 2015
14553 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:51 am to
He got 8% in 2016

And I think he would get 10-12%
Posted by FATBOY TIGER
Valhalla
Member since Jan 2016
8901 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:51 am to
quote:

in 2016, he got 6%.


He won with that so, 6% works.
Posted by JPinLondon
not in London (currently NW Ohio)
Member since Nov 2006
7855 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 9:52 am to
I really don't know.

There are signs pointing to him getting 12% to 18%.

And there are efforts out there to turn out every black that sat home for Hillary, and get them to vote for Biden, whether in-person, via mail-in vote, ballot harvesting, etc.

If they overwhelm the numbers, he could get 5%.

The overwhelming majority of the news sources blacks tune into are fabricating lies daily about Trump, and have done so for years now.

The LIE of "fine people on both sides" is, unfortunately, effective to blacks. Even though it is an absolutely false narrative.
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