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If election was today... this is the map I think

Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:19 am
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:19 am


If Trump can get his act together, there's still time to get to this:

Posted by DrSteveBrule
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
12006 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:20 am to
Just change the thread title to I think the polls are accurate
Posted by 4TheLoveLSU
North Carolina
Member since Oct 2019
2317 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:20 am to
Trump gets way more than that.... wake up!
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
25310 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:20 am to
I think WI and NH goes red before MN.
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29284 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:21 am to
In your mind what does he have to do that he hasn't already done to get from 248 to 289?
Posted by momentoftruth87
Member since Oct 2013
71141 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:22 am to
What's going to change in weeks?
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:22 am to
No, if the fake news polls are accurate with a Biden 10-15 point lead, we'd be looking at:



I think Biden is probably ahead 5-7 points nationally right now which puts PA & AZ just out of reach for Trump.

But I'm hoping by election day that lead is down to 2-3 and Trump can get back above 270 EV's.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:27 am
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
8491 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:22 am to
The second map plus NV, WI, and NH. MI will be a tossup either way. I don't think this election is going to be close.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:23 am to
Wow you suck at this.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

In your mind what does he have to do that he hasn't already done to get from 248 to 289?


Not act like a madman in the second and third debate and give suburban females some reason to vote for him.

Cool down on the twitter bomb posting.

Make it a Trump vs Biden election. (as it's Trump vs anybody but Trump election at the moment).
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68030 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:25 am to
Of Biden had a 15 point lead nationally, he'd win Ohio, Missouri, Florida, Iowa and possibly Indiana.
Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:25 am to
You claim to support President Trump (I still think you are a liar like all Marxist/Democrats are liars) and then breathlessly report every negative point you ever find here on this forum

GFY LIAR
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

You claim to support President Trump (I still think you are a liar like all Marxist/Democrats are liars) and then breathlessly report every negative point you ever find here on this forum


One can support Trump but still try to argue how he could be performing better. He needs to realize that he has his base sown up and now getting 3-4% of the suburban female vote back is the difference between him getting a second term or him losing and being criminally charged by the SDNY next year.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76476 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:32 am to
quote:

No, if the fake news polls are accurate with a Biden 10-15 point lead, we'd be looking at:


Current RCP no toss ups is this:



But with Texas, all of Nebraska, and ME 2 going Trump.
Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:34 am to
Breathlessly reporting every single negative info in this regard put the lie to your complaint
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79974 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:35 am to
1. Nebraska is not splitting between Trump and Biden

2. Arizona is not going Biden

That's 13 right there, which makes it Biden 277, Trump 261

3. Minnesota will flip, based on the Iron Range.

That makes it Trump 272, Biden 266

4. It's highly likely Pennsylvania stays red.

That makes it Trump 292, Biden 246

5. Whitmer is HATED in Michigan and that will push Michigan to Trump.

That makes it Trump 308, Biden 230

Also, no one since the U.S. expanded to 50 states has won the election without winning Florida or Ohio.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:37 am
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73210 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:36 am to
Trump is taking NY and HI
Posted by trumpforever
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2020
6 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:37 am to
I am pretty sure if Trump flips Minnesota he would also have won Michigan and Wisconsin. Minnesota is definitely in play for Trump this election but the rest of the rust belt is likely to stay red if that happens.
Posted by JJJimmyJimJames
Southern States
Member since May 2020
18496 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:38 am to
quote:

Current RCP no toss ups is this:


Wow, that looks EXACTLY like September and October 2016..

Posted by weptiger
Georgia
Member since Feb 2007
10313 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:38 am to
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