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re: If election was today... this is the map I think
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:40 am to GeneralLee
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:40 am to GeneralLee
Trump is going to win Arizona. New numbers today show that the GOP has regained their 100,000 registered voter advantage after having it slip. The registration extension the court approved is actually helping the republicans. They outregistered DEMS again yesterday. I still can't understand how he loses PA this time after winning in 2016. There was a net gain of 188,000 republican voters and his improvement among AA voters should hold off the increase in turnout in Philly...if there is any increase. Also, most of the colleges in Philly are only online so less turnout from the college voters.
1
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:40 am to GeneralLee
I think Trump will carry Arizona. Otherwise it's a difficult chess board.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:44 am to GeneralLee
MN stays blue, MI, WI, and PA are going to be red. the MI governor and her shutdown shite show has motivated the red wave in that state. Trump wins by a little, not going to be a landslide.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:49 am to GeneralLee
He's a lot closer in MI than he is in PA.
And MN isn't even a tossup at the moment.
And MN isn't even a tossup at the moment.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:52 am
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:51 am to GeneralLee
quote:
I think Biden is probably ahead 5-7 points nationally right now which puts PA & AZ just out of reach for Trump.
You got anything else useful that you can pull out of your arse?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:53 am to GeneralLee
Dumbass
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:55 am to GeneralLee
Looks about right except for Florida going for Biden.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:00 pm to lsursb
quote:
I still can't understand how he loses PA this time after winning in 2016
Mail-in votes. PA has way more Democrat mail-in ballots than all the other states. It's a ridiculous discrepancy that can only be attributed to shenanigans.
Do you think people in PA are twice as lazy or twice as scared of Covid as every other state?
The Democrat machine is putting a lot of their rotten eggs in the PA basket. They know they probably can't win without flipping PA, and a lot of the intangibles were pointing Trump's way (as you indicated).
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:04 pm to CGSC Lobotomy
quote:
1. Nebraska is not splitting between Trump and Biden
Correct.
quote:
2. Arizona is not going Biden
Probably true...with the caveat that if there is bad news out of the Eastern and Central time zones before the polls close, many voters may go home after work instead of to the polls, and the GOP ends up losing the Senate seat also.
quote:
3. Minnesota will flip, based on the Iron Range.
No. MN isn't even a tossup currently.
quote:
4. It's highly likely Pennsylvania stays red.
Highly unlikely. Biden's lead is growing. Much better chace he keeps MI.
quote:
5. Whitmer is HATED in Michigan and that will push Michigan to Trump.
Agree. Trump keeps MI. If he keeps all the rest from 2016 and loses PA and WI, he should still be ok.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:05 pm to DrSteveBrule
quote:Rasmussen PJAR dropped from 53% (9/18) to 44% (10/7). That delta is real.
Just change the thread title to I think the polls are accurate
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:10 pm to KosmoCramer
That is laughable.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:17 pm to GeneralLee
Here is exactly where we stand
Posted on 10/7/20 at 12:51 pm to GeneralLee
You have to be the perfect combination of stupid and gullible to believe that.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 1:02 pm to ChexMix
quote:
Here is exactly where we stand
I concur, and he will get MI to put him over the top. And I'll still stand by my assertions that the HS and college football helped swing MI to Trump. Whitmer wanted to deprive every 12th grade football player in Michigan of their senior year. If you have a kid who is a spring sport athlete who lost their senior year, you know how heartbreaking that is. In a race that could be decided by 10,000 votes or less, it absolutely could be a factor. The SEC/ACC/Big 12 and especially ND, along with Southern high schools leading the way and showing it could be done will have been pivotal.
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