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Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:04 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
How many white collar jobs are going to be replaced by AI in the next 5 years? I've listened to a lot of "experts" over the past several years
Maybe you could ask Grok?
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:04 pm to dickkellog
quote:
what kind of a speeding ticket are you getting that you're hiring a lawyer for?
Pretty common here in Missouri to pay a lawyer the extras money to get the ticket reduced to a non moving violation to keep points from being taken from your license and raising your insurance.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:06 pm to SkiUtah420
quote:
Trump could truly go down as the GOAT if he were able to implement a Global AI Treaty to ensure its kept in check and allowed to help enhance the human experience as opposed to take it over
Right now the focus seems to be to beat China in the AI race at all costs
I've gone far enough down the rabbit whole where there are alleged discussions about potentially bombing data centers in other countries at some point
ETA - or at least threatening to bomb them
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 12:07 pm
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:07 pm to Powerman
quote:
Nothing to worry about. It's not like the tech oligarchs completely rebranded themselves to cozy up to the current administration or anything like that.
And don't question the firing of the woman in charge of the copyright office who was sounding alarm bells over AI, even though she was asked to do the study on future impacts.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:07 pm to RollTide4547
quote:
The majority of those under 30 admit to using some form of AI to solve their coding issues, instead of using that lump 3 feet above their A$$.
There are tools out there that can record your voice and articulate answers to questions on the fly right now. They aren't perfect, but it could pass as a human in a passive conversation.
For the first time ever, my team caught someone using an AI voice tool in a video interview for a tech related job. They aren't really good enough for an interview yet, but they are getting damn close.
Scenario - There were 4 of us interviewing this person in a call. The interviewee refused to put camera on, which raised some flags. Almost immediately I thought he was reading the tech related questions off of something. So I would interrupt his answer and ask him something about his experience, and that's when I noticed that the pace and tone of the responses were significantly different but the voice was the same.
The best part - the AI tool was using almost the exact phrases from an industry textbook that I wrote 7 years ago. It was reading my work back to me in his voice.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 12:09 pm
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:08 pm to Powerman
quote:
It really doesn't take a lot of deep thought to see what is popping up over the AI horizon. If you ain't working with your hands or holding a job that requires direct interactions with other people, you're vulnerable to AI replacement.
And with the investments being made in the arena it's likely to happen faster than a lot of people anticipate
The 5 year horizon you mention might be more like a 2 year horizon at this pace
Absolutely agree. I think in 5 years we will know the full scope and begin living in the new society that AI is shaping.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:09 pm to Gifman
quote:
Entry to mid level programming
I don't really agree with this given what I've seen from AI-driven programming. Even AI-assisted programming is fraught with screwing up trivial pieces of logic like plugging in the correct variables in the appropriate parameter of a function call. AI-driven coding is just speed running to technical debt. At some point you're going to need someone who actually knows something about computer programming besides prompting an AI tool to interrogate the work to confirm it actually works as intended.
I do not think LLMs or any immediate innovation likely over the medium term horizon is going to reach artificial general intelligence, so we're always going to need people who can reason with good logic and understand technical and business domains to solve problems.
However, I could see the tools leading some businesses to vastly reducing their junior developer/engineer hiring. I've just seen AI make too many "less than even year 0 junior dev" mistakes to believe it will stick. At some point they're going to see productivity stall because they're not cultivating future senior developer/engineers.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:10 pm to HonoraryCoonass
quote:
How many white collar jobs are going to be replaced by AI in the next 5 years? I've listened to a lot of "experts" over the past several years
Maybe you could ask Grok?
I'm too scared....Grok may not be truthful.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:12 pm to dewster
quote:
There are tools out there that can record your voice and articulate answers to questions on the fly right now. They aren't perfect, but it could pass as a human in a passive conversation.
How many college students are using AI for their papers and other coursework? I bet quite a few.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:18 pm to Bass Tiger
From my experience with the free to use Chat GPT, there’s still a wide range of how effective it can be. It’s amazing how it can give detailed, nuanced answers to complex questions in the snap of a finger, but when I asked it to plan my kid’s baseball lineup using certain parameters like “no one can be on the bench two innings in a row” it kept screwing it up over and over.
But yeah, shite’s changing fast and it’s frightening.
But yeah, shite’s changing fast and it’s frightening.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:18 pm to Norbert
quote:
All generations wrestle with innovation.
When it comes to increased efficiency, accuracy, and performance, AI will be a very helpful tool for humanity.
I think the job market will be scrambled for awhile but eventually resettle in unforeseen, difficult to predict ways.
The difference is in the past other jobs were created that people could pivot to
If AI can displace the majority of white collar jobs in 3 years, what do those people have to pivot to? Whatever you dream up in your head could probably also be better done by AI if these predictions are true.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:20 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
How many college students are using AI for their papers and other coursework? I bet quite a few.
Yep. We are about to see a world where newer doctors and lawyers who had AI handle the more challenging part of their coursework.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:20 pm to Bass Tiger
AI and automation will do ALL of our jobs eventually. That's the part they're having trouble telling us and dealing with.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:23 pm to Bass Tiger
quote:
I could really see the law profession taking a big hit with AI.
I handle real estate transactional work and I don't see any future where my work isn't completely handled by AI in the next 10 years if not a lot sooner.
1. We research and analyze title (AI can handle)
2. We draft documents to complete the transaction (AI can handle)
3. We record documents with the appropriate clerks after execution (if we get to eNotary being a thing in Louisiana for authentic acts or change the law regarding authentic acts, AI can handle)
4. We disburse funds (AI can handle).
I practice some other areas where I think AI will be less likely to take over those areas and I will likely move more heavily into those areas until I retire. But I'm 20 years minimum from retirement.
I've also thought about picking up a trade - plumbing or electrician. Or both.
ETA: I've got a computer science degree but I'm so far out of practice I would not know where to begin and I understand it will be and already is heavily effected by AI.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 12:25 pm
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:40 pm to Bass Tiger
Here’s what my brother and I are seeing with post covid humans tho.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:40 pm to Bass Tiger
AI is a huge deal and will be transformational but don't forget 10 years ago we were told in less than 5 years the road would be full of driverless cars and all the truckers would be out of a job and it would be a huge problem
And that will still likely happen at some point BUT the point is it didn't and hasn't happened nearly as quickly as everyone thought. This won't either
And that will still likely happen at some point BUT the point is it didn't and hasn't happened nearly as quickly as everyone thought. This won't either
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:42 pm to Bass Tiger
AI is such a complicated topic. There is no easy answer. And there are huge problems that people seem to be unconcerned with at the outset. Everybody is chasing bigger revenue, greater productivity, and all of those "awesome" metrics" that seek to squeeze every last ounce out of the human race. It kind of sucks.
Open AI is straight evil, people should know that. There are better, more ethical companies doing AI, but OpenAI is not. There's no toppling that beast now, but Altman is pretty openly trying to "own," the coordinating structure of the world. All of it. Even Google never really had that ambition. He's going to put continuous AI in the pockets of every human, that tracks everything at all times.
The answer to the question is yes, lots of jobs are going to be replaced by AI within 5 years.
But the result is a remarkably messy, disconnected and ugly world. AI is not better. And while it will replace things, it's awkward, incomplete, it hallucinates on the regular, and will continue to do so, It simulates good answers and good outputs - but there is nothing good under the hood. The code is not good that it outputs. Papers are disconnected and it messes up sources. It all sounds the same. And on and on and on.
Additionally, since training data for AI is the internet and inputs itself - and those things are becoming more and more dependent on AI - AI models are just feeding themselves bad content.
It's going to take a long time to sort through this and The growing pains of AI are going to last a long long time. AI does not "think," it's not there, and won't be there for a long time. It assimilates. It annotates, it combines. It doesn't "create."
It will assemble, not create, it's own reality, continuously - filled with errors, misconceptions, biases planned and unplanned. Therefore it will consume ours.
And I say all of this as someone in the AI space.
Open AI is straight evil, people should know that. There are better, more ethical companies doing AI, but OpenAI is not. There's no toppling that beast now, but Altman is pretty openly trying to "own," the coordinating structure of the world. All of it. Even Google never really had that ambition. He's going to put continuous AI in the pockets of every human, that tracks everything at all times.
The answer to the question is yes, lots of jobs are going to be replaced by AI within 5 years.
But the result is a remarkably messy, disconnected and ugly world. AI is not better. And while it will replace things, it's awkward, incomplete, it hallucinates on the regular, and will continue to do so, It simulates good answers and good outputs - but there is nothing good under the hood. The code is not good that it outputs. Papers are disconnected and it messes up sources. It all sounds the same. And on and on and on.
Additionally, since training data for AI is the internet and inputs itself - and those things are becoming more and more dependent on AI - AI models are just feeding themselves bad content.
It's going to take a long time to sort through this and The growing pains of AI are going to last a long long time. AI does not "think," it's not there, and won't be there for a long time. It assimilates. It annotates, it combines. It doesn't "create."
It will assemble, not create, it's own reality, continuously - filled with errors, misconceptions, biases planned and unplanned. Therefore it will consume ours.
And I say all of this as someone in the AI space.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:43 pm to Bass Tiger
I can understand being judged strictly on the crime comitted and the actual law based on case history. The problem is see is who and what is put into the system concerning the actual crime. Can anyone envision the extreme left entering in the data?
Posted on 5/29/25 at 1:12 pm to rickyh
quote:
I can understand being judged strictly on the crime comitted and the actual law based on case history. The problem is see is who and what is put into the system concerning the actual crime. Can anyone envision the extreme left entering in the data?
That's why I said you would need several AI judges that are programmed by a large panel of legal experts representing liberal and conservative views, a little complicated but certainly not insurmountable. Essentially you would give the legal wrangling to several AI judges and hopefully get a consensus, however, in certain cases I would allow the AI consensus to be reviewed and challenged by human legal experts.
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