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How many white collar jobs are going to be replaced by AI in the next 5 years?
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:46 am
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:46 am
I've listened to a lot of "experts" over the past several years discussing the ramifications of AI on employment in the future and the general consensus has been white collar jobs are going to be a fraction of what they are currently.
From software development, engineering, education, lawyers, doctors, etc. these professions are in the direct crosshairs of AI and if the AI prognosticators are remotely correct, we're talking hundreds of thousands if not millons of jobs being filled by AI.
I was listening to War Room yesterday with Steve Bannon, Joe Allen and Jim Rickards discussing the future of AI and how it was going to impact employment, they agreed the displacement of white collar jobs due to AI is going to be massive and irreversible. Bannon played a vid clip of some CEO of a software development company saying in 2024 the company had approximately 25% of its software development produced by AI and by 2026 he projects 60% of the software development will be from AI.
I could really see the law profession taking a big hit with AI. Imagine loading all the case law and along with all the current laws that are in effect, now program a half dozen AI justices. Those AI justices will not have quite the political bias inherent in every human being who has ever been a judge. The AI judges will not have any relationship with the lawyers or any other person involved in the legal proceeding so they will rule strictly on the agreed upon case law and the laws currently in effect that have been included in the AI database. Won't matter what your standing is in local politics or the business community, the AI judges won't care.
Think about it, do you really need a lawyer for a traffic ticket? You either pay the speeding ticket for $135 or you kick the lawyer a $125 and the court another $75 and get the ticket dropped to a non moving violation......I bet AI judges could handle that and skip happy hour too.
From software development, engineering, education, lawyers, doctors, etc. these professions are in the direct crosshairs of AI and if the AI prognosticators are remotely correct, we're talking hundreds of thousands if not millons of jobs being filled by AI.
I was listening to War Room yesterday with Steve Bannon, Joe Allen and Jim Rickards discussing the future of AI and how it was going to impact employment, they agreed the displacement of white collar jobs due to AI is going to be massive and irreversible. Bannon played a vid clip of some CEO of a software development company saying in 2024 the company had approximately 25% of its software development produced by AI and by 2026 he projects 60% of the software development will be from AI.
I could really see the law profession taking a big hit with AI. Imagine loading all the case law and along with all the current laws that are in effect, now program a half dozen AI justices. Those AI justices will not have quite the political bias inherent in every human being who has ever been a judge. The AI judges will not have any relationship with the lawyers or any other person involved in the legal proceeding so they will rule strictly on the agreed upon case law and the laws currently in effect that have been included in the AI database. Won't matter what your standing is in local politics or the business community, the AI judges won't care.
Think about it, do you really need a lawyer for a traffic ticket? You either pay the speeding ticket for $135 or you kick the lawyer a $125 and the court another $75 and get the ticket dropped to a non moving violation......I bet AI judges could handle that and skip happy hour too.
25
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:48 am to Bass Tiger
I've been doing a deep dive on this and there is a lot of debate on the issue
I do think that it has the capability to displace a lot of jobs but that presents an economical paradox for the companies making huge investments in the technology
If it does in fact cause massive unemployment in the white collar sector then who are they going to sell their products and services to?
I do think that it has the capability to displace a lot of jobs but that presents an economical paradox for the companies making huge investments in the technology
If it does in fact cause massive unemployment in the white collar sector then who are they going to sell their products and services to?
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:49 am to Bass Tiger
Entry to mid level programming
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:50 am to Gifman
I read yesterday in 3 years unemployment will be at minimum 20%
Not a single thing that’s done politically will matter in 3 years - Ai is going to change every system. And we won’t be ready
Not a single thing that’s done politically will matter in 3 years - Ai is going to change every system. And we won’t be ready
quote:
from chatgpt: #Strict Factual Mode Human extinction is most likely to be caused by unaligned artificial general intelligence. Expert estimates place the most probable arrival of AGI between 2025 and 2040. If the AGI is not aligned with human values, extinction would likely occur within hours to months after it surpasses human control. Based on current data, the most likely year for extinction under this scenario is around 2035 to 2040. This conclusion is drawn from published estimates by AI safety researchers including Toby Ord, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and AI timelines research from Grace et al.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 11:54 am
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:51 am to Bass Tiger
what kind of a speeding ticket are you getting that you're hiring a lawyer for?
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:52 am to Powerman
quote:
I've been doing a deep dive on this and there is a lot of debate on the issue
I do think that it has the capability to displace a lot of jobs but that presents an economical paradox for the companies making huge investments in the technology
If it does in fact cause massive unemployment in the white collar sector then who are they going to sell their products and services to?
It really doesn't take a lot of deep thought to see what is popping up over the AI horizon. If you ain't working with your hands or holding a job that requires direct interactions with other people, you're vulnerable to AI replacement.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:53 am to Bass Tiger
quote:
From software development, engineering, education, lawyers, doctors, etc. these professions are in the direct crosshairs of AI and if the AI prognosticators are remotely correct, we're talking hundreds of thousands if not millons of jobs being filled by AI.
That would be catastrophic for the federal government if a large chunk of their actual tax paying base is no longer working and paying taxes.
The threat of that would almost certainly scare the politicians in DC enough that they enact regulations and taxes on AI. Because if there is one thing that DC is effective at, it is looking out for their own jobs and revenue.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:54 am to Bass Tiger
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:55 am to Bass Tiger
Throw in the fact that your government is currently being lobbied to abolish intellectual property laws so that AI (and its "owners") can fully mine patents and copyrights without the constraints of law, and the future of just regular ol' folks can start looking very bleak if you aren't careful.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 11:56 am
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:58 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Throw in the fact that your government is currently being lobbied to abolish intellectual property laws so that AI (and its "owners") can fully mine patents and copyrights without the constraints of law, and the future of just regular ol' folks can start looking very bleak if you aren't careful.
Nothing to worry about. It's not like the tech oligarchs completely rebranded themselves to cozy up to the current administration or anything like that.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:58 am to Bass Tiger
Millions of office jobs to start with over the next 5-10. As someone just wrapping up a CS degree, it’s been incredibly sobering and depressing.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:59 am to Bass Tiger
AI will be used as an accelerator for many roles in accounting, financial reporting, production planning, transportation/shippping planning, even coding and functional design work. It's going to be an expensive tool that will enable bigger companies to be more efficient and handle more work with fewer heads. But it's not going to eliminate entire departments or an entire team. But collectively nationwide it will be a big impact when companies need 10%, 15%, and eventually 30% fewer employees to accomplish the same work - that part is going to be depressing and sad for people in the job market because it equates to a lot of jobs with decent wages.
Smaller companies won't be able to take full advantage of that either and end up being at a competitive disadvantage. AI is usually embedded into larger, higher end tools that they can't afford. So this could be a potential opportunity for smaller companies to attract talent they otherwise couldn't easily get.
Smaller companies won't be able to take full advantage of that either and end up being at a competitive disadvantage. AI is usually embedded into larger, higher end tools that they can't afford. So this could be a potential opportunity for smaller companies to attract talent they otherwise couldn't easily get.
This post was edited on 5/29/25 at 12:02 pm
Posted on 5/29/25 at 11:59 am to Bass Tiger
quote:
It really doesn't take a lot of deep thought to see what is popping up over the AI horizon. If you ain't working with your hands or holding a job that requires direct interactions with other people, you're vulnerable to AI replacement.
And with the investments being made in the arena it's likely to happen faster than a lot of people anticipate
The 5 year horizon you mention might be more like a 2 year horizon at this pace
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:00 pm to Gifman
I'm a Network/Systems Administrator for 80+ programmers. The majority of those under 30 admit to using some form of AI to solve their coding issues, instead of using that lump 3 feet above their A$$. Management could save a lot of money by cutting many of those under 30 for mid/senior folks using AI (while getting the same amount/quality of work done).
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:00 pm to Gifman
I'm a Network/Systems Administrator for 80+ programmers. The majority of those under 30 admit to using some form of AI to solve their coding issues, instead of using that lump 3 feet above their A$$. Management could save a lot of money by cutting many of those under 30 for mid/senior folks using AI (while getting the same amount/quality of work done).
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:01 pm to uziyourillusion
quote:
As someone just wrapping up a CS degree, it’s been incredibly sobering and depressing.
If it's any solace, that type of education definitely helps with brain plasticity and the problem solving you learn from it is definitely a transferrable skill.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:01 pm to Gifman
quote:
Entry to mid level programming
My nieces husband has worked for some of the biggest tech companies, currently working for Uber as a Team Leader for network outages related to network server issues around the globe. He was notified a few weeks ago his position is being eliminated because the team under him is being outsourced. He is currently training a couple of dudes from India that are going to be handling his job. I have been wondering if his job is being whacked because of AI and these two Indian dudes are simply the carryover until Uber's network and and related servers are monitored and maintained by AI.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:01 pm to Bass Tiger
Trump could truly go down as the GOAT if he were able to implement a Global AI Treaty to ensure its kept in check and allowed to help enhance the human experience as opposed to take it over
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:02 pm to Bass Tiger
All generations wrestle with innovation.
When it comes to increased efficiency, accuracy, and performance, AI will be a very helpful tool for humanity.
I think the job market will be scrambled for awhile but eventually resettle in unforeseen, difficult to predict ways.
When it comes to increased efficiency, accuracy, and performance, AI will be a very helpful tool for humanity.
I think the job market will be scrambled for awhile but eventually resettle in unforeseen, difficult to predict ways.
Posted on 5/29/25 at 12:02 pm to NashvilleTider
quote:
I read yesterday in 3 years unemployment will be at minimum 20%
Not a single thing that’s done politically will matter in 3 years - Ai is going to change every system. And we won’t be ready
I've heard several people who are considered experts say the same thing.....kinda frightening.
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