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How Likely Is Trump to Go to Prison? What Would That Look Like? Reporter Breaks it Down

Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:51 pm
Posted by RFK
Squire Creek
Member since May 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:51 pm
A NYT reporter broke down a handful of other cases with falsifying business records charges and here’s what he found (article is still behind paywall):

-Only 1 in 10 cases resulted in confinement.

-The average prison sentence was 6 months.

-The defendants in these cases were also charged with other felonies (Trump is only facing falsifying records charges).

However he opines that in all cases the falsification involved much less money than Trump’s, which arguably aggravates his crimes more if he is convicted.

If convicted, the author believes that Trump will serve 3-6 months in NY State prison, entirely under solitary conditions accompanied only by a limited secret service detail.

I would be curious to know if house arrest is an option depending on the length of the sentence. It seems a little much to send a former president to prison for what is essentially a white collar crime.

This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 2:59 pm
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72613 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

A NYT reporter


NGAF
Posted by AgentOrange186
Member since Jan 2018
50 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:53 pm to
I imagine it would look something like this
Posted by ninthward
Boston, MA
Member since May 2007
20406 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:54 pm to
still waiting for the actual crimes...
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
53771 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:55 pm to
I am reporter from North Carolina

My findings are Trump will be free to go based on the facts of the case, "It's been too bang long ago"

Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73555 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

Trump to Go to Prison? What Would That Look Like?


Would look like this

Posted by Datbawwwww
Member since Oct 2023
183 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:56 pm to
I’d think they would issue a sentence of house arrest and a SIGNIFICANT fine, it’s the judges discretion in most cases that are successfully prosecuted and more then often they issue jail time, however, just a fine is an option. So it’s possible they only fine him.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
14438 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

How Likely Is Trump to Go to Prison?


The same probability that you will stop creating shitty threads.



Zero.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
81617 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

accompanied only by a limited secret service detail.
This will be very interesting.
Posted by RFK
Squire Creek
Member since May 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:00 pm to
Did you even read the summary? This is objective reporting based on empirical evidence.

Bottom line, I think Trump’s chances of prison are slim if convicted. If he does receive prison, it will be apparent there is political vengeance at play.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 3:01 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118758 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

still waiting for the actual crimes.


This.

Apparently the "hush money" payments are illegal because they were used to cover a crime or crimes. But Alvin has not elucidated said crimes.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118758 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

This is objective reporting based on empirical evidence.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
7687 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:07 pm to
He is charged with incorrectly describing an expense in a company the he himself owns. That is the so-called “crime.” The whole thing is fricked up beyond belief.
Posted by LSU Jax
Gator Country Hell
Member since Sep 2006
8856 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:11 pm to
How many of those cases involved a former president currently running for reelection who would then be able to appeal which would drag out well past the actual election?
Posted by NorthGwinnettTiger
Member since Jun 2006
51820 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:29 pm to
The SS is not allowing a former president to be in jail. This is stupid.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
15599 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:31 pm to
He's not going to prison. If he wins the election, all this shite goes away.
If he loses, they drop most of it all. If he decides to run again in 2028 then they will fire it up again.
Posted by stelly1025
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
8509 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

How Likely Is Trump to Go to Prison?


0%. They don't have the balls.
Posted by lsursb
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
11579 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:38 pm to
Does it have to be a unanimous jury? If so, maybe there is at least 1 morally decent person on the jury that realizes this is a sham trial.
Posted by OzonaOkapi
Patrolling the Edwards Plateau
Member since Apr 2024
400 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

The SS is not allowing a former president to be in jail. This is stupid.
SS is not some Praetorian Guard. The Constitution does not authorize a federal officer to prevent it.

Sometimes federalism gives you a result you do not like.

EDIT

Downvoters, make your case under the Constitution. I am interested to see it.
This post was edited on 4/23/24 at 4:14 pm
Posted by Tmcgin
BATON ROUGE
Member since Jun 2010
4969 posts
Posted on 4/23/24 at 3:44 pm to
I just want him to do one night for contempt
and see him with no hair/make up people. (sorry to you Bud Lite boycotters)

Oh yeah he wears heels too, he hates being only 6 1"
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